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Bored Ape SEC Probe
US consumers' inflation expectations hit its lowest level in a year, corporate bond ETFs are plunging to new lows, the average US mortgage is above 7%, Biden will reevaluate the US's relationship with Saudi Arabia, the BoE is giving pension funds 3 days to balance positions, China and India call for Russian de-escalation in Ukraine, and the SEC is probing Bored Ape creator Yuga Labs.
Recession in 6-9 months?
Investors are pulling out of UK property funds, China's central bank extended $44B of currency swaps with the ECB, Cathie Wood criticized the Fed's rate hikes in a recent letter, Jamie Dimon said a recession is coming in 6-9 months (lol), the IRS is waiving penalties for some inherited retirement accounts until 2023, and Portugal will start taxing crypto gains.
Total Recall: Rivian Edition
The US added 263k jobs in September, Hurricane Ian may have caused $67B in insured losses, Biden signed off on a new data transfer framework between the US and Europe, Tesla sold a record number of China-made vehicles, Rivian recalled almost all of its vehicles, Chinese holiday home sales are down bad, and Twitter locked Kanye West's account.
Biden Eases on Pot
BoE said pension funds were near disaster before they intervened, US apartment demand had its first Q3 drop in 30 years, Porsche is now Europe's most valuable automaker, Biden is forgiving previous offenses for marijuana possession, Amazon is hiring 150k workers ahead of the holiday season, and Adidas is "reviewing" its relationship with Kanye (🎵 nobody knows what that means, but it's provocative 🎵).
LBO Financing Dry Spell
US national debt topped $31T, US trade deficit hit its lowest level in over a year, mortgage applications dropped 14% last week, global bond funds are facing their largest outflows in two decades, Apollo and Sixth Street are no longer in talks with Musk about financing his Twitter purchase, and Seattle overtook Boston as the US's 3rd richest city by household income.
The Musky Takeover
Musk revived his Twitter bid, Ray Dalio stepped down, stocks rebounded big time, US job openings fell by 1.1M in August, Manhattan apartment sales fell 18% in Q3, Amazon froze corporate hiring in its retail business, and Apple will be force to use USB-C ports in Europe.
Kim K Gets Fined, Elon Gets Dragged
Liz Truss reversed her tax cut plans, ocean freight rates continue to fall, Poland wants trillions in WWII reparations from Germany, UBS CDS prices hit a decade high, GM sales rose 24% in Q3, Peloton is putting bikes in all Hiltons, Nvidia is ceasing activity in Russia, and Kim K got clapped by the SEC.
Credit Suss
Credit Suisse's CDS spreads keep climbing and their CEO issued statements over the weekend saying they're in a good position, Europe reported double digit inflation, M&A activity is down YoY, Russia banned SoundCloud, Gazprom suspended gas flows to Italy, Brazil's presidential race is going to a runoff at the end of this month, and fintech startups are still hiring despite the funding slowdown.
Everything Is Priced In
Bonds rallied after the BoE announced emergency bond-buying measures, mortgage refinancing is down 84% YoY, EU executives want to impose more sanctions on Russia, Costco wants the $1.50 hotdog and soda combo to last forever, the US government is urging citizens to leave Russia immediately, and Lebron is buying a professional pickleball team.
The Name is Bond, UK Bond
The US is reshoring some jobs from China, the 10Y US treasury yield rose above 4%, the Bank of England is going on a bond buying spree, Intel is challenging Nvidia's graphics chips, Lyft is freezing hirings, JPMorgan is increasing its UK workforce, and FTX won the auction for Voyager's assets.
The "Everything" Selloff
Bearish sentiment is high globally, Walmart is entering the metaverse through a partnership with Roblox, yields on US savings accounts keep climbing, apartment rents are falling, fake meat sales are dropping, Lumber is no longer a "meme-stock" commodity, traffic congestion is hitting pre-Covid levels in the US, and Celsius has a novel bankruptcy plan that includes turning debt into a new cryptocurrency.