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Real estate services became the latest AI Grim Reaper victim, the software selloff is disrupting some M&A and IPO deals, carve-outs may be the big theme for 2026 M&A, CME plans to launch rare earth futures, Bill Ackman took a huge stake in Meta, and Musk reorganized xAI after six of twelve co-founders departed in the past year.

Mizuho published some insightful findings on the late-2025 biotech comeback and outlook for the sector ahead. Read it here.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 2/11/2026 market close.

Learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot.*

Markets

  • US stocks closed flat yesterday as traders digested a solid jobs report

  • UK's FTSE 100 hit a fresh ATH

  • US 10Y yield hit a five-week low

Earnings

  • McDonald's beat Q4 earnings and revenue estimates as its value strategy won back customers and pushed US same-store sales growth to 6.8% (CNBC)

  • Shopify beat Q4 revenue estimates on record spending in 2025 but missed on earnings and guided lower margins due to investments in AI (CNBC

  • AppLovin issued a Q4 beat-and-raise with revenue surging 66% on strong demand for its advertising services and AI powered tools (YH)

  • Cisco beat Q2 earnings and revenue estimates, but issued a tepid margin forecast due to increasing costs from a memory-chip shortage (CNBC)

  • Kraft Heinz beat Q4 earnings estimates but missed on revenue and halted plans to split the business for a $600M turnaround instead as challenges look 'fixable and within control' (CNBC)

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Today: Coinbase, Brookfield, Rivian, DraftKings, Applied Materials

    • Friday: Moderna, Wendy's 

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

  • "Ok Claude, predict the winner accurately."

  • Trade event contracts on Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market.

Headline Roundup

  • US is weighing quitting the USMCA trade pact from 2019 (BBG)

  • US January budget deficit fell to $95B (RT)

  • US unemployment fell to 4.3% in strong jobs report (CNBC)

  • US firms confront K-shape economy as wealthy lift spending (RT)

  • Carve-outs will take center stage in M&A this year (BBG)

  • Software selloff is disrupting some M&A and IPO deals (RT)

  • Thoma Bravo seeks software bargains in ongoing 'SaaSpocalypse' (BBG)

  • Real estate services stocks sink in latest 'AI scare trade' (BBG)

  • PE-backed firms are deferring loan payments at a higher rate (BBG)

  • AI race mints Aaa rating for Compass Datacenters in an industry first (BBG)

  • UK firms chase pound bond sales after Google's bumper deal (BBG)

  • Morgan Stanley raised CEO Ted Pick's pay by 32% to $45M (RT)

  • CME plans to launch rare earth futures (RT)

  • Musk overhauled xAI leadership after mass co-founder exodus (TC)

  • Mistral revenue hit $400M as Europe seeks AI independence (FT)

  • BMPS board member resigned after insider trading allegations (FT)

  • US colleges received $5B from foreign sources in 2025 (BBG)

  • Columbia admitted to admitting Epstein's girlfriend via 'irregular' process (BBG)

  • Trump-Netanyahu meeting ended with no agreement on Iran (FT)

A Message from Mizuho

Biotech is making money again. After a volatile year – for the markets broadly and biotech specifically – the sector had an extraordinary comeback, outperforming the S&P 500 and broader market index, and closing out 2025 with its best annual returns since the Covid-19 pandemic.

Considering biotech was a massive underperformer for much of 2025 only to roar back in the last few months begs the question: is the sector borrowing gains from 2026? And if the recovery persists, will the sector stay measured? The broader fundamentals suggest the recovery may have legs, but investors should keep their eyes on several key market dynamics.

Deal Flow

M&A / Strategic

  • $30B-listed Kraft Heinz halted plans to split into two

  • SoftBank-backed AI-powered contracting software firm Icertis is exploring a sale at a $5B valuation

  • Singapore SWF GIC is considering a sale of its 80% stake in a European data center JV in potential deal at a $2.4B valuation, including debt

  • Building products distributor QXO agreed to buy construction products firm Kodiak Building from PE firm Court Square in a $2.25B cash-and-stock deal

  • China's Dajia Insurance Group is seeking to sell the famed Waldorf Astoria hotel in NYC, months after it reopened following a $2B acquisition and an eight-year $6B renovation

  • Energy tech giant Baker Hughes is exploring a $1.5B sale of its Waygate Technologies unit 

  • German exchange operator Deutsche Boerse agreed to buy General Atlantic's remaining 20% stake in index provider ISS STOXX for $1.3B

  • UK REIT LondonMetric expressed interest in acquiring $617M-listed peer Picton Property Income

  • Hong Kong-based apparel manufacturer Epic Group is exploring a stake sale at a $500M valuation

  • Sports-focused PE firm Sportsology Capital Partners acquired a minority stake in MLB team Texas Rangers

VC

  • UK AI chip startup Olix raised $220M at a $1B valuation led by Hummingbird Ventures

  • Humanoid-robot maker Apptronik raised a $935M Series A at a $5.3B valuation from Google, Mercedes, B Capital, and others

  • Inertial-confinement fusion startup Inertia Enterprises raised a $450M Series A round led by Bessemer Venture Partners  

  • Ignium, a defense-focused merchant provider of weapons-system subsystems, raised a $300M round from Albion River and others

  • Secrets and NHI security startup GitGuardian raised a $50M Series C led by Insight Partners 

  • German AI-enabled industrial trade startup Andercore raised a $40M Series B from Atomico, Project A, Commerzbank, and others 

  • Inference Research, an AI-native quant trading startup, raised a $20M seed round led by Avenir Group

  • Integrate, a secure defense collaboration platform, raised a $17M Series A led by FPV Ventures

  • Meridian, an AI-powered financial-modeling spreadsheet startup, raised a $17M seed round at a $100M valuation from a16z, Litquidity Ventures, and others

  • Avenia, a fintech infrastructure startup for cross-border payments and stablecoins, raised a $17M Series A from Quona, Fluent Ventures, and others 

  • Voice-AI platform Simple AI raised a $14M seed round led by First Harmonic 

  • Spectrum-intelligence defense tech startup Tenna Systems raised a $13.5M seed round led by Costanoa 

  • Stablecoin payments platform Levl raised a $7M seed round led by Galaxy Ventures 

  • Mozart AI, a UK AI music-creation platform, raised a $6M seed round led by Balderton Capital

Get real-time updates on any startup, VC, or sector on Fundable.

IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Activist hedge fund Elliott built a stake in $50B-listed London Stock Exchange Group

  • Bill Ackman's hedge fund Pershing Square took a $2B stake in $1.7T-listed Meta and exited Nike, Chipotle, and Hilton

  • Energy infrastructure services firm Solv Energy raised $512M at a $5B valuation in an IPO

  • Portuguese insurer Fidelidade is eyeing a Portugal IPO at an over $3.6B valuation

  • Blue Owl Capital-owned data center company STACK Infrastructure is seeking a $2.1B loan

  • Global events and PR firm Richard Attias & Associates is weighing an IPO at a $1B valuation

  • Korean travel app Myrealtrip is planning a 2027 Korea IPO at an over $1B valuation

  • Indian solar module maker Goldi Solar is weighing a $350M India IPO 

  • Japanese crypto treasury firm Metaplanet is set to raise $137M in a share sale to pay down debt and buy more Bitcoin

  • Pakistan gas station operator and transporter Sitara Petroleum is seeking to raise $11.4M in a Pakistan IPO

Debt

  • Bolivia is in talks to raise $3.3B from the IMF 

  • PIMCO agreed to anchor $2.8B in senior debt financing to back CVC-backed Global Sport Group's broader $4.1B capital structure adjustments

  • Slovakia attracted a record $10.2B in orders for a $2.4B benchmark bond sale

  • China sold $2B of yuan bonds in Hong Kong with YTMs at the lowest since 2013

  • Gambling firm Bally's Corporation raised $1.1B in private credit from Ares, King Street, and TPG Credit

  • Blackstone sold a $1B private credit CLO at the tightest level this year

  • UK utility Anglian Water sold a $477M pound senior secured bond

  • UK retailer Marks & Spencer sold a $411M pound bond

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • Lenders to French supermarket giant Casino Group proposed a takeover plan that would slash debt and wipe out equity and inject $1.44B of fresh capital

  • Ukraine's state energy company Naftogaz is sounding out restructuring advisors on an $825M bond due July amid Russian attacks on its assets

Funds / Secondaries

  • Blackstone folded its hedge fund seeder unit into its wider $60B hedge fund business

  • Oaktree raised $2.4B for a targeted $4B fourth corporate special situations fund

  • Blue Owl raised $3B for its debut strategic equity and secondaries fund

  • Finland residential landlord Kojamo acquired a 60-unit residential rental portfolio from Finland pension fund Varma in a $1.1B deal

  • LatAm investment firm Patria Investments plans to raise $500M for a new LatAm-focused private credit fund 

  • French VC Elaia raised $142M for its targeted $355M fifth Digital Venture Fund to back pre-seed to Series B European B2B tech startups

  • EQT launched its second Asia MM fund

Crypto Sum Snapshot

  • Crypto lender BlockFills suspended withdrawals on faltering Bitcoin price

  • Bitcoin's 24/7 trading risk spikes while Wall Street sleeps

  • ETF issuers press ahead with crypto funds despite selloff

Crypto Sum compiles the most important stories on everything crypto. Read it here.

Exec’s Picks

  • ICYMI, we published a deep dive on one of Wall Street's most-trusted VDR providers, DFIN. Their overhauled VDR product is making waves for its leading UX, optimization, and speed and we broke down the key aspects of why it's making lives easier for dealmakers everywhere. Read it here.

  • With the release of 3M more Epstein documents, it's a good time to revisit Bloomberg's December investigation into Epstein's deep financial ties on Wall Street. Hedge funds, brokerages, billionaires, and more.

Financial Services Recruiting 💼

If you're a junior banker looking for your next career move, check out Litney Partners, a recruiting firm established by Litquidity and Whitney Partners (the oldest purely financial services executive search and consulting firm).

We aim to place strong candidates across private equity, hedge funds, venture capital, growth equity, credit, and investment banking.

We're currently seeking talent for some incredible roles. Head over to Litney Partners to drop your resume / create your profile and we'd love to get in touch!

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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