YOLO Nvidia Bets Are In

Nvidia volatility surpassed Bitcoin's, a divided BoE cut rates, hedge fund allocation to China hit a five-year low, Google is hoarding Nvidia chips for YC-backed startups, and the 9/11 mastermind will avoid the death penalty.

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Nvidia volatility surpassed Bitcoin's, a divided BoE cut rates, hedge fund allocation to China hit a five-year low, Google is hoarding Nvidia chips for YC-backed startups, and the 9/11 mastermind will avoid the death penalty.

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Let’s dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 08/01/2024 market close.

Markets

  • US stocks tumbled yesterday as fresh economic data ignited recession fears

    • Russell 2000 suffered its worst day since February

    • Philadelphia Semiconductor index dropped 7.1% in its worst day since Covid

    • VIX touched its highest level YTD

  • Japan led Asian shares lower, with Nikkei 225 plunging to its lowest since February

  • US 10Y yield tumbled to its lowest since February

  • US 2Y yield slid to its lowest since May 2023

  • China 7Y yield fell below 2% for the first time ever 

  • Nvidia's 30-day implied volatility surpassed Bitcoin and Ether

Earnings

  • Apple beat Q3 EPS estimates with a 5% rise in revenue, though Chinese sales declined due to competition from local rivals (CNBC

  • Amazon beat Q2 EPS estimates but missed on revenue and issued weak Q3 guidance as sluggish retail growth offset strength in cloud and ads; shares fell 7% (CNBC

  • Intel plunged 20% after missing on Q2 EPS and revenue and Q3 guidance amid AI cost and competition struggles, suspended dividends, and mega layoff plans (CNBC

  • Coinbase beat Q1 EPS and revenue estimates on a 139% YoY increase in transaction revenue as trading volumes roared back to life thanks to a crypto euphoria (RT

  • Apollo Global fell 7% after reporting flat Q2 net income as losses from interest rate hedges offset record gains in fees (RT

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Today: ExxonMobil, Chevron

  • Full calendar here

Headline Roundup

  • BoE cut rates for the first time since Covid (FT)

  • Weak US economic data triggered recession fears (WSJ)

  • Hedge fund allocation to China hit a five-year low (RT)

  • Japan stocks see biggest weekly foreign outflow in ten months (RT)

  • US is investigating Nvidia over antitrust complaints (TI)

  • FTC will probe elevated grocery prices (RT)

  • US households invested in mutual funds rose to over 50% in 2023 (FT)

  • GPB Capital co-founders were found guilty of ponzi-like fraud (WSJ)

  • Google Cloud is hoarding Nvidia chips for YC-backed startups (TC)

  • Elliott's activist offer would allow Starbucks CEO to stay (CNBC)

  • UK charged four Glencore ex-execs over corruption (FT)

  • Shell's CEO says Europe’s energy crisis is over (FT)

  • DraftKings will implement a customer surcharge in high-tax states (BBG)

  • Spirit is laying off hundreds of pilots (WSJ)

  • Big Law is rallying behind Kamala Harris (FT)

  • 9/11 mastermind will avoid death penalty in US plea deal (AP)

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Deal Flow

M&A / Investments

  • PE firms TowerBrook Capital Partners and CD&R will take private hospital revenue cycle management firm R1 RCM in an $8.9B cash deal (BBG

  • BNP Paribas is in exclusive talks with French insurer AXA's asset management unit for $5.5B (BBG

  • Saudi-owned agri investor SALIC is in talks to acquire the remaining 65% stake in Temasek-owned Olam's agricultural products business it doesn't already own (WSJ

  • Brookfield agreed to acquire nVent Electric's heating cables business for $1.7B cash (BBG

  • CD&R is exploring a sale of card maker American Greetings for $1.5B, including debt (RT

  • Infrastructure engineering firm Arcosa will acquire the construction materials business of Stavola for $1.2B cash (BW

  • Japan's Otsuka Pharmaceutical will acquire for US drugmaker Jnana Therapeutics in a $1.1B deal (RT

  • Marketing firm Outbrain will acquire telecom Altice International's video advertising platform Teads in a $1B deal (BBG)  

  • 23andMe CEO Anne Wojcicki offered to buyout the firm for ~$200M cash (BBG

  • Hedge fund tycoon Paul Marshall is in advanced talks to acquire the Spectator magazine for ~$127M (FT

  • Reddit will acquire GenAI ad startup Memorable AI (BBG

  • Covariant, a maker of AI software for industrial robots, received takeover interest from Amazon (BBG

  • BharCap Partners agreed to acquire a majority stake in fintech Electronic Merchant Systems from founder Jim Weiland (BBG

VC

  • Protect AI, an AI/ML security company, raised a $60M Series B led by Evolution Equity Partners (BW)

  • Proptech startup MYNE raised a $44M Series A led by Limestone Capital (EU)

  • Axle Energy, a startup integrating renewable energy sources into grids, raised a $9M seed round led by Accel (TC)

  • Financial management platform Bourgeois Boheme raised a $7.2M seed round led by Graphit Lifestyle (EU)

  • Bee, a life admin wearable assistant, raised a $7M seed round led by Exor (FN)

  • SAF startup Sora Fuel raised a $6M seed round led by The Engine Ventures (BW)

  • When, an AI-powered offboarding solution, raised a $4.6M seed round led by B Capital (FN)

  • Heeyo, an AI chatbot and interactive platform for children, raised a $3.5M seed round from OpenAI Startup Fund, Alexa Fund, Pear VC, and more (TC)

IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Indian e-scooter maker Ola Electric drew $2B in bids for its $734M local IPO (RT

  • Indian retailer FirstCry is seeking to raise $500M at a $2.9B valuation in a local IPO (RT

  • Cerebras Systems, an AI chip maker, confidentially filed for a US IPO (BBG

  • British Airways parent IAG abandoned plans to buy Air Europa (BBG)

Debt

  • Deutsche Bank and RBC are preparing a $4.5B debt package to help fund TowerBrook Capital and CD&R’s LBO of R1 RCM (BBG

  • Deutsche Bank is seeking to sell a $1B US CRE loan portfolio (BBG

  • A consortium of Canadian indigenous communities is preparing a $720M bond offering to fund a stake purchase in TC Energy's natural gas pipeline system (BBG

  • UK grocery tech company Ocado sold $576M in bonds to address upcoming maturities (BBG

Fundraising

  • Quinbrook Infrastructure Partners raised $3B for a renewable energy-focused fund (WSJ

  • Bill Gates' Breakthrough Energy Ventures raised $840M for its third fund (AX

Crypto Corner

  • A crypto exec is pushing for industry support of Kamala Harris (CD)

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