Together with

Good Morning,

PE GPs are now demanding "super carry," quant funds are beating the S&P, Korean investors lost $1.7B from leveraged ETFs, US is probing Wells Fargo over efforts to boost Black homeownership, and Warren Buffett reportedly binge-watches late-night YouTube going down rabbit holes like O'zbekiston Got Talent.

After receiving endless requests in the past few months, we decided to launch a second version of Off-Market. Just in time for the fall. Or cuffing season, as some of you like to call it 👀

Meet Stuut, the a16z-backed AI coworker for order-to-cash. Finance teams at Honeywell, ZoomInfo, and NCR Voyix use it to increase cash flow 40% on average. Your firm should check it out.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 10/7/2026 market close.

Learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot.*

Markets

  • US stocks retreated from ATHs as high yields kept traders on guard

    • US software stocks touched fresh YTD highs as AI disruption worries fade 

  • US yields had the biggest quarterly surge since 1994

  • US Treasury auctioned 10Y bonds at a 5.3% yield, the highest this century

    • 10Y yield touched 5.35%, its highest since 2002

    • 30Y yield returned to 5.72% to its highest since 2002

  • UK 30Y gilt yield rose past 6% against 

  • France 30Y soared 14 bps back above 5.4%

Earnings

  • Levi's beat Q3 earnings estimates and hiked its profit guidance on tariff refunds but gave a less optimistic sales outlook on slight weakness in its D2C segment ahead of a crucial holiday quarter (CNBC)

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Today: PepsiCo

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

  • Is Sam Altman not embarrassed?? It's almost 2027 and Anthropic just continues to mog OpenAI everyday

  • Get a $25 bonus with code LIT on signup, only on the Polymarket US app

Headline Roundup

  • Warren Buffett binges late-night YouTube just like us (WSJ)

  • AI boom puts US earnings on course for third quarter of 25% growth (FT)

  • PE managers demand "super carry" as 20% feels not enough (BBG)

  • Return of M&A is affecting secondaries market (PB)

  • Quant funds are beating the S&P 500 YTD (CNBC)

  • Hedge funds deliver mixed September results on AI swings (RT)

  • Bull case for risky stocks tied to economy expected to flourish (BBG)

  • Bonds are in rare competition with stocks (BBG)

  • African governments launch rating agency to challenge global 'big three' (FT)

  • Japan will slash hundreds of stocks from TOPIX index in record revamp (FT)

  • Korean investors lost $1.7B from leveraged ETFs (BBG)

  • Samsung investors want evidence profit boom has staying power (BBG)

  • Blue Owl will launch a 'big push' into insurance (FT)

  • HSBC plans sweeping job cuts in UK wealth in AI push (FT)

  • K&E will stop disclosing financial performance (FT)

  • SEC warns asset managers over collaborating on activist campaigns (BBG)

  • Anthropic launched third Claude 5.5 model to expand lineup before IPO (RT)

  • US is probing Wells Fargo over efforts to boost Black homeownership (WSJ)

  • EU looks to capture Big Tech through tax on large corporations (FT)

  • China slapped down EU request for voluntary curbs on hybrid exports (FT)

  • Marco Rubio urged western countries to uphold traditional values (FT)

A Message from Stuut

Give your cashflow a raise

Stuut is the AI coworker for order to cash, helping finance teams collect more cash and spend less time chasing it. It handles collections, cash application, payments, and deductions end to end, so overdue balances shrink and your team gets time back.

The results? On average, Stuut's customers see a 40% cash-flow increase, 47% faster DSO, and 70% fewer manual tasks. That means more cash coming in, fewer follow-ups on your team’s plate, and more time for the work that needs their attention. Stuut connects to your existing finance systems and gets to work in days.

Backed by a16z. Trusted by Honeywell, PerkinElmer, ZoomInfo and many many more.

Deal Flow

M&A / Strategic

  • Apollo submitted a non-binding offer ‌for the privatization of German state-owned energy firm Uniper, which could fetch a $11.2B valuation

  • Germany's biggest power producer RWE played down prospects of taking a major role in Uniper amid its partnership with KKR on a bid

  • Canada's Weston family agreed to acquire UK ‌pharmacy chain Boots from Walgreens-owner Sycamore Partners for $8.9B, including debt

  • South Africa's biggest insurer Sanlam offered to acquire the 37% stake it doesn't already own in peer Santam for $1.2B cash

  • Russian state-owned nuclear energy firm Rosatom will acquire founder Sergey Shishkarev's stake in his Russian transport and logistics group Delo to take full control for $900M

  • Brookfield will acquire and develop the portfolio of Indian industrial parks firm ESR Indian for $444M

VC

  • Indian photonic quantum startup Quanfluence raised a $10M funding round led by Chiratae Ventures

  • Authors First, a media technology startup, raised a $10M seed round from Brand Foundry, Robert Hamwee, The Family Office of David Blitzer, and others

  • Altro Health, a clinical wellness infrastructure startup, raised a $7M seed round led by NFX

Access the complete VC deal flow and data on Fundable

IPOs / Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • The Netherlands plans to cut its stake in $40B-listed ABN Amro Bank by half to 10.5%

  • Vietnamese banks are planning $7B in share sales

  • AI chipmaker Biren is seeking to raise $515M in another Hong Kong share sale

  • Chinese smartphone maker Transsion is seeking to raise $430M in a Hong Kong listing

  • Spanish miner Abenojar Tungsten announced plans for a London IPO

  • Rwanda tungsten miner Trinity Metals is in talks for a US IPO

  • Medical device maker Centinel Spine filed for an IPO

  • FireFly Robotics filed for a direct listing

  • Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin is likely to IPO in the coming years

SPAC / SPV

  • Korea Quantum Computing will merge with Charlton Aria Acquisition Corp. at an $80M pre-money equity value

Debt

  • Paramount's $52B debt deal for Warner Bros. offers few safeguards to investors

  • Morgan Stanley is offloading parts of a $3B loan meant to fund Royal Caribbean Cruises' purchase of a 50% stake in Sandals Resort International

  • Blackstone-backed data center firm AirTrunk raised a $1B green loan led by SMBC, MUFG, ​United Overseas Bank, and others

  • State-owned QatarEnergy secured a $3B loan from Chinese banks

  • Ghana raised $290M in its first cocoa bills sale since a debt default

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • The co-founder brothers of collapsed auto parts supplier First Brands will blame each other for fraud in their federal criminal trial  

  • 2x major winner Jon Rahm quit LIV Golf in a blow to the league's Chapter 11 exit plan

  • Creditors to car rental firm Hertz Global are organizing across at least two groups ahead of potential debt negotiations 

  • Struggling financial software firm ION will not deploy aggressive LME tactics and will seek to make all creditors whole as it struggles with its $11B debt pile

Funds / Secondaries

  • Lesser-known Texas-based VC firm Disruptive is raising $10B for a new fund

Crypto Sum Snapshot

  • SEC approved first-ever 3x leveraged Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs

  • Crypto firm Ripple takes on Wall Street with swap financing for leveraged ETFs

Crypto Sum compiles the most important stories on everything crypto. Read it here.

Exec’s Picks

  • Tax season is a nightmare, and if you've got non-W2 income (K-1s, carry, a rental) you probably relate. If you're tired of a firm that only reacts, check out OLarry. They offer year-round advisory and filing all for one flat fee. Some friends have already switched. Get a free consultation.

  • It's getting harder to ignore the wealth effect and Ben Carlson has some interesting views on the same. Check out his take on the growing wealth across households in America.

OFF-MARKET❤️‍🔥

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Financial Services Recruiting 💼

If you're a junior banker looking for your next career move, check out Litney Partners, a recruiting firm established by Litquidity and Whitney Partners (the oldest purely financial services executive search and consulting firm).

We aim to place strong candidates across private equity, hedge funds, venture capital, growth equity, credit, and investment banking.

We're currently seeking talent for some incredible roles. Head over to Litney Partners to drop your resume / create your profile and we'd love to get in touch!

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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