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Voting-Implied Volatility
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Good Morning,
Market volatility picked up ahead of today's elections, on a day where banks are granting PTO for employees to vote.
Speaking of voting, GET OUT AND VOTE! 🇺🇸🇺🇸
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Let's dive in.
Before The Bell
As of 11/04/2024 market close.
Markets
US stocks slipped yesterday as traders brace for volatility and volume on today's elections
Rates volatility hit its highest level in over a year
Earnings
Palantir jumped 14% after beating Q3 earnings and revenue estimates and forecasting a strong Q4 thanks to unrelenting AI demand (CNBC)
Marriott missed Q3 estimates and cut its FY profit forecast as weak travel in China offset strong group and international demand (RT)
What we're watching this week:
Today: Supermicro, Apollo
Wednesday: Qualcomm, Arm, Novo Nordisk, CVS
Thursday: DraftKings, Airbnb, Rivian
Full calendar here
🇺🇸 Election Forecast
Election markets priced in a final ~56% chance of a Trump victory today.
Put your money where your mouth is! Get out and vote and bet the election while you're at it too.
Headline Roundup
Banks are granting PTO to employees to vote (RT)
CEOs are being sacked more quickly over poor stock performance (RT)
Wall Street frets as Big Tech AI CapEx tops $200B annually (FT)
Europe-focused hedge funds posted their largest monthly loss in one year (RT)
Equity funds saw their biggest weekly outflow in five weeks (RT)
Eurozone manufacturing contracted for a 28th-straight month (RT
German firms' hiring plans dropped to a post-Covid low (RT)
Blackstone targets new European markets in global wealth push (RT)
BlackRock becomes latest to file for Vanguard's ETF-mutual fund structure (FT)
Australian police raided PwC's Sydney office (RT)
Boeing workers voted to end a seven-week strike (CNBC)
Banco Sabadell sued PE firm Cerberus for ~$400M over soured RE deal (FT)
Franklin Templeton hit by further outflows amid Western probe (FT)
OpenAI is in talks with California to become for-profit (BBG)
Dollar Tree CEO Rick Dreiling stepped down amid struggles (RT)
BNPL group Affirm launched in UK (FT)
Homebuyers are older than ever (CNBC)
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Deal Flow
M&A / Investments
Silver Lake and Bain Capital are among suitors for a minority stake in Intel's programmable chips business Altera, which Intel acquired for ~$17B in 2015
Canadian telecoms giant BCE agreed to acquire US-based Ziply Fiber for $3.6B
Stonepeak will take airfreight carrier ATSG private at a $3.1B EV
Blackstone is in advanced talks to acquire $2.2B-listed shopping center REIT Retail Opportunity Investments
Australian power generation operator Zashvin will acquire an additional 33% stake in Australian coal mining JV Jellinbah from miner Anglo American for $1.1B
German construction firm GP Günter Papenburg plans to pursue a takeover of $1.2B-listed European steel producer Salzgitter
UK insurer and asset manager M&G bought a 65% stake in European real estate investor BauMont
VC
Robotics AI startup Physical Intelligence raised a $400M round at a $2B valuation from Jeff Bezos, OpenAI, Thrive Capital and Lux Capital
DeepRoute.ai, a Chinese autonomous driving tech startup, raised $100M from an unidentified Chinese automaker
Cintoo, a cloud-based reality data management and collaboration solutions provider, raised a $42M Series B led by Partech
Andium, a remote-field monitoring and communications startup, raised a $21.7M Series B led by Aramco Ventures
Yazen Health, a Swedish obesity-focused healthcare platform, raised a $19.5M Series A led by Evli Growth Partners and Helsana HealthInvest
Conflux Technology, a heat transfer and additive manufacturing startup, raised a $11M Series B led by Breakthrough Victoria
Dutch PropTech startup iDWELL raised $10.6M in funding from Knight Capital
IOTA Software, an industrial and business data visualization software, raised a $10.4M Series A-2 led by Altira Group
Digital fund operation platform Fundcraft raised a $6.6M Series A extension led by 3VC and MiddleGame Ventures
Plato, a German AI-powered ERP platform for wholesalers, raised a $6.5M pre-seed round led by Cherry Ventures
Algebrik AI, a digital loan origination platform, raised a $4M Series A
IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades
India's Reliance Industries is planning a 2025 IPO its Reliance Jio telecom unit at a potential $100B+ valuation in what could be India's largest-ever listing
Middle Eastern grocer Lulu Retail upsized its Abu Dhabi IPO to $1.7B, UAE's largest IPO this year
Oman's state energy firm OQ plans to sell up to 49% of its methanol and LPG unit OQ Base Industries in a local IPO at a $1B to $1.5B valuation
Canadian women's clothing retailer Groupe Dynamite is preparing a local IPO
Debt
Credit investor GoldenTree agreed to buy an $872M portfolio of UK consumer loans
Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed
Franchise Group, the owner of brands including The Vitamin Shoppe and Pet Supplies Plus, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy
TGI Fridays is in talks with potential buyers after filing for Chapter 11
Fundraising
Shamrock Capital raised $1.6B across two new PE funds
Capital Dynamics closed its sixth flagship secondaries PE fund at $1.1B
Coatue is seeking to raise $1B for its flagship fund to invest in AI
BlueFive Capital is seeking to raise $1B for a permanent capital fund focused on EM financial services firms
Crypto Corner
Exec’s Picks
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Ben Carlson shared some great examples on why it's probably best to ignore financial advice from hedge fund managers, even if they put their money where their mouth is.
Reddit has been crushing it for perhaps every reason that's NOT AI. Check out what Jack Raines has to say about this ironic internet twist.
Bloomberg Odd Lots sat down with Bernstein's Bob Brackett to discuss what the nuclear power revival means for the price of uranium.
Financial Services Recruiting 💼
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We aim to place strong candidates across private equity, hedge funds, venture capital, growth equity, credit, and investment banking.
We're currently seeking talent for some incredible roles. Head over to Litney Partners to drop your resume / create your profile and we'd love to get in touch!
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