Vine's Comeback Tour

Musk is bringing Vine back, Eurozone inflation hit 10.7% in October, the Great Resignation is cooling off, Biden wants more US oil production and less "windfall profits" (whatever that means), Swiss National Bank lost $143B YTD through September, Twitter will lay off 25% of its staff, Delta pilots voted to authorize a strike, and the FTC ordered Chegg to improve its security.

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Musk is bringing Vine back, Eurozone inflation hit 10.7% in October, the Great Resignation is cooling off, Biden wants more US oil production and less "windfall profits" (whatever that means), Swiss National Bank lost $143B YTD through September, Twitter will lay off 25% of its staff, Delta pilots voted to authorize a strike, and the FTC ordered Chegg to improve its security.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 10/31/2022 market close.

Markets

  • All three major US averages closed lower on Monday as investors turned focus to the Fed's policy meeting this week

    • However, the Dow booked its biggest monthly percentage gain since 1976 and biggest October percentage gain in 100 years

  • The dollar gained and pound dipped on expectations of another big Fed rate hike

  • Oil prices fell on expectations that US production could rise

  • US wheat futures jumped 6% on news of Russia's Black Sea pact withdrawalĀ 

  • Canada's TSX notched its largest monthly gain in nearly two years

  • Brazil's MSCI index rallied 4% on news of Lula's presidential victory

Earnings

  • What we're watching this week:Ā 

    • Today: Uber, Airbnb, AMD

    • Wednesday: Qualcomm, Robinhood, Estee Lauder

    • Thursday: Peloton, Nikola, Coinbase, Starbucks

    • Friday: DraftKings

  • Full calendar here

Headline Roundup

  • Eurozone inflation hit a record high 10.7% in October, with GDP growth shrinking to 0.2% in Q3 (FT)

  • The Great Resignation is cooling off (AX)

  • US oil production is at pre-pandemic highs nearing 12M bpd (RT)

  • Biden warns oil firms he'll seek tax on 'windfall' profits (BBG)

  • Chinaā€™s factory activity fell in October amid frequent Covid outbreaks (CNBC)

  • Swiss National Bank lost ~$143B in September YTD (RT)

  • Some eurozone countries eased trading rules for banks that manage their debt to help them cope with market conditions (RT)

  • JPMorgan estimates that banks will repay between $500-700B of ECB ultra cheap loans next month (RT)

  • US Russian oil price cap will hit cargoes unloaded after Jan 19 (RT)

  • Twitter will reportedly lay off 25% of workforce in first round of job cuts (WP)

  • Credit Suisse unveiled details of its $4B capital raising plan (RT)

  • iPhone production at major China plant could fall 30% amid Covid curbs (RT)

  • Delta Air pilots voted to authorize a strike (RT)

  • Musk instructed Twitter engineers to reboot Vine by end of the year (AX)

  • JPMorgan is piloting a platform for property managers that automates invoicing and receipt of online rent payments (CNBC)

  • Senator Chris Murphy called for probe into Saudi Arabia's stake in Twitter (AX)

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Deal Flow

M&A / Investments

  • Blackstone agreed to buy a majority stake in US industrial firm Emerson Electricā€™s climate technologies business at a $14B valuation (RT)

  • Veritas Capital agreed to buy Verisk Analyticsā€™ energy research and consulting unit Wood Mackenzie for $3.1B (RT)

  • US instrument maker Thermo Fisher agreed to buy British speciality diagnostics firm Binding Site in a $2.6B deal (BBG)

  • A US judge blocked the merger between book publishers Penguin Random House and Simon & Schuster, citing antitrust concerns in the $2.2B deal (NYT)

  • Hong Kong-based real estate PE firm Gaw Capital Partners is nearing a deal to buy several Blackstone-owned warehouses in Japan for ~$540M (BBG)

  • Italian aperitif specialist Campari agreed to buy a 70% stake in US bourbon maker Wilderness Trail Distillery for $420M, with plans to buy the remaining 30% by 2031 (BBG)

  • Canadian software company Alludo offered to buy Australiaā€™s Nitro Software for ~$320M (RT)

  • French media conglomerate Mediawan is in talks to buy a significant stake in actor Brad Pittā€™s production company Plan B Entertainment (BBG)

  • Lockheed Martin made a $100M investment in spacecraft manufacturer Terran Orbital; Terran's stock rose 2.3% on the news (CNBC)

  • Billionaire Tilman Fertitta agreed to buy a 6.9% stake in hotel and casino company Wynn Resorts, boosting shares up 11% (BBG)

  • Host Hotel & Resorts is in exclusive talks to buy the Four Seasons hotel in Jackson Hole, Wyoming from Chinese insurer Dajia Insurance (BBG)

  • Blockchain firmĀ ValereumĀ gained approval to buy theĀ Gibraltar Stock ExchangeĀ (GSX) and turn it into a gateway to European capital for fledgling firms from Middle East, India, and Africa; terms of deal were not disclosed (RT)

VC

  • Micro factory startup Bright Machines raised a $132M Series B consisting of $100M in equity led by EclipseĀ Ventures and $32M in debt led by SVB and HerculesĀ Capital (TC)

  • Virtual mental health provider Valera Health raised $44.5M in growth equity led by Heritage Group (PRN)

  • Money Fellows, an Egyptian fintech startup digitizing money circles,Ā raised a $31M Series B led by CommerzVentures, MEVP, and Arzan Venture Capital (TC)

  • Invygo, a Middle East-based car rental startup, raised a $10M Series A led by MEVP (TC)

  • SoftwareĀ DefinedĀ Automation, a startup offering Industrial-Control-as-a-Service (ā€œICaaSā€) solutions, raised a $10M seed round led by Insight Partners (PRN)

  • Arnica, a startup improving software supply chain security, raised a $7M seed round led by Joule Ventures and First Rays Venture Partners (TC)

  • LUMIQ, a data analytics startup focused on the Indian financial services and insurance space, raised a $5.5M Series A led by Info Edge Ventures (PRN)

  • Topline Pro, a New York-based startup helping home service businesses scale online, raised a $5M seed round led by Bonfire Ventures (TC)

  • Zebra Labs, a startup helping Chinese celebrities enter the metaverse,Ā raised a $5M round from NetDragon and Sumitomo (TC)

  • Digital freight matching platform Newtrul raised a $5M round from SignalFire, Flex Capital, and othersĀ (PRN)

  • Nigerian proptech startup SmallSmall raised a $3M seed round ($2M in equity / $1M in debt) from Oyster VC, Asymmetry Ventures,Ā angels, and others (TC)

  • GoodShip, a startup digitizing contract freight,Ā raised a $2.4M round led byĀ FUSEĀ (BW)

IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Dubai private school operator Taaleem is seeking to raise $204M from a Dubai IPO (BBG)

  • Shares in geospatial and data analytics firm Bayanat surged 241% after raising $171M in its Abu Dhabi IPO (BBG)

  • Americana Group, the operator of KFC and Pizza Hut restaurants across the Middle East and North Africa, plans to sell a 30% stake in an Abu Dhabi and Riyadh dual listing (BBG)

Debt

  • Goldman Sachs' private-lending arm and Sixth Street Partners are leading a group of direct lenders providing part of the $5.5B acquisition financing for Blackstoneā€™s purchase of a majority stake in Emerson Electricā€™s climate tech business (BBG)

Bankruptcy / Restructuring

  • Movie theater chain Cineworld announced a bankruptcy settlement with its landlords and lenders, clearing way for the chain to borrow an additional $150M and make a $1B debt repayment (RT)

  • TheĀ StellantisĀ ā€“Ā Guangzhou Automobile GroupĀ JV that makes Jeeps in China will file for bankruptcy; the JV has liabilities of 111% of its assets of ~$1B (RT)

Fundraising

  • Investment firm Wafra raised $1.5B for Capital Generation IV, its fourth flagship fund that will acquire minority stakes in alternative asset managers such as PE firms (RT)

  • Third Nature,Ā a VC firm targeting startups decarbonizing the economy, is seeking to raise $35M for their debt fund (TC)

Crypto Corner

  • PE firm Apollo began holding crypto on behalf of clients through a partnership with digital asset platform Anchorage Digital in push to bring crypto to institutional investors (RT)

  • Crypto exchange Binance is creating an internal team to help Twitter fight bot accounts using blockchain and crypto (DC)

  • Hong KongĀ proposed allowing retail investors to trade in crypto and crypto ETFs (RT)

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