Twist in the fate of rates

Traders are now weighing a rate INCREASE, the FTC banned worker non-competes, O&G M&A hit a record high, investors are exiting Cathie Wood's funds, Amazon launched a grocery subscription, and strong earnings helped lift markets.

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Good Morning,

Traders are now weighing a rate INCREASE, the FTC banned worker non-competes, O&G M&A hit a record high, investors are exiting Cathie Wood's funds, Amazon launched a grocery subscription, and strong earnings helped lift markets.

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Let’s dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 04/23/2024 market close.

Markets

  • US stocks rose for a second straight session yesterday on positive early earnings from popular mega caps

  • US 2Y yields touched 5% to hit a five-month high

  • Options markets are re-pricing a 20% chance of a Fed rate increase

Earnings

  • Tesla shares jumped ~12%, despite missing Q1 earnings and revenue estimates and reiterating a pessimistic FY outlook, as Musk announced plans to pull forward production of a new affordable EV (CNBC) 

  • Visa beat Q2 analyst estimates as consumers shrugged off worries of a slowing economy to swipe cards on everything from travel to dining (RT)

  • Spotify shares jumped 11% after beating Q1 estimates, swinging to a profit as it implements its ‘efficiency’ strategy (YF) 

  • PepsiCo beat Q1 earnings and revenue estimates as growth in international markets offset weaker demand in its North America market (CNBC)

  • GE Aerospace shares rose ~8% on a beat-and-raise thanks to strong sales from commercial aircraft engines and services (BBG) 

  • General Motors shares rose ~4% after on a Q1 beat-and-raise thanks to strong North American operations, driven by truck sales (CNBC) 

  • JetBlue Airways shares tumbled ~19% after lowering Q2 and FY revenue forecasts as it attempts to return to profitability (CNBC) 

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Today: Meta, Boeing, IBM, Ford, Chipotle, AT&T

    • Thursday: Microsoft, Alphabet, Intel, Snap Inc., American Airlines

    • Friday: ExxonMobil, Chevron, Abbvie

  • Full calendar here

Headline Roundup

  • Fund offering 'VC' exposure sends investors on meme-like ride (RT)

  • Jamie Dimon cautions over soft landing for ‘unbelievable’ US economy (FT)

  • US banned worker 'non-compete' agreements (RT)

  • Global EMN hedge funds report best quarter in 24 years (RT)

  • US oil and gas M&A hit a record high $51B in Q1 (RT)

  • Chinese speculators super-charge gold rally (FT)

  • JPMorgan AM surges to dominance in Europe active ETF market (FT)

  • JPMorgan named new heads of China securities unit (RT)

  • Cathie Wood’s popular ARK funds are sinking fast (WSJ)

  • US business activity cooled to a four-month low (RT)

  • Eurozone business activity rose to an eleven-month high (FT)

  • FDIC ponders tighter checks on big ‘passive’ investors in US banks (FT)

  • US new home sales rebounded to a six-month high (RT)

  • US will sanction Chinese banks aiding Russia War effort (WSJ)

  • TikTok spent $7M on lobbying and ads to combat potential US ban (CNBC)

  • Microsoft launched a lightweight AI model (RT)

  • Advisers on trillions in IRAs must now put your interest first (WSJ)

  • Amazon launched a grocery subscription (TC)

  • NBA TV rights are up for grabs (TA)

  • Oracle is moving its world HQ to Nashville (CNBC)

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Deal Flow

M&A / Investments

  • Canada found major competition concerns with US grains merchant Bunge's proposed acquisition of Viterra, which would create a $34B company, including debt (RT) 

  • Communications infrastructure REIT Uniti Group is in advanced talks to reunite with telecom provider Windstream in a deal worth up to $15B, including debt (BBG) 

  • CVC Capital Partners is exploring options for its controlling stake in $11.8B Italian drugmaker Recordati (BBG)

  • US sued to block luxury goods group Tapestry’s $8.5B acquisition of Capri Holdings, which owns brands including Michael Kors (FT) 

  • IBM is in advanced talks to acquire $5.9B software company HashiCorp (BBG) 

  • Australian industrial conglomerate Seven Group Holdings is exploring an acquisition of Cleanaway Waste Management, which has a ~$4.3B market cap (BBG) 

  • PE firm PAI Partners will acquire a majority stake in UK music equipment maker Audiotonix from French PE firm Ardian in a ~$2.5B deal (FT) 

  • UK's JD Sports Fashion agreed to buy US sportswear retailer Hibbett for $1.1B (BBG) 

  • Ithaca Energy agreed to acquire almost all of Italian energy company Eni’s UK oil and gas fields in a ~$940M stock deal (FT) 

  • Coffee roaster Luigi Lavazza agreed to buy vending machine maker IVS Group in a  $697M cash deal (BBG) 

  • Metaverse firm Infinite Reality acquired the Drone Racing League for $250M (BBG) 

  • Redwood Capital Investments is nearing a deal to acquire BDT & MSD Partners' majority stake in Marquette Transportation (BBG)

  • Allfunds Group abandoned discussions over a potential sale of the European fund distribution platform (BBG) 

VC

  • AI search engine startup Perplexity is raising a ~$250M Series B at a $2.5B-$3B valuation (TC)

  • Community college startup Campus raised a $23M Series A extension led by Founders Fund (TC)

  • Repairable laptop startup Framework raised a $17M Series A-1 led by Spark Capital (TC)

  • Outpost, a network of managed semi-truck parking facilities, raised a $12.5M Series A led by GreenPoint Partners (BW)

  • Industrial software company HighByte raised a $12M Series A led by Standard Investments (PRN)

  • 401GO, a retirement plan provider, raised a $12M Series A led by Next Frontier Capital (BW)

  • Zefir, a Paris-based proptech startup, raised $12.1M in funding led by Zigg Capital, Sequoia Capital, and more (FN)

  • Summer Health, a digital health platform, raised an $11.7M Series A led by 7wire Ventures and Lux Capital (PRN)

  • Prophet Security, an AI-powered platform that triages, investigates, and responds to security alerts, raised an $11M seed round led by BCV (BW)

  • Texture, a data collection and sharing platform for renewable energy, raised a $7.5M seed round from Abstract Ventures, Day One Ventures, Equal Ventures, and more (TC)

  • Aquabattery, a climate tech startup developing a saltwater LDES solution, raised a $6.6M seed round led by EIT InnoEnergy (FN)

  • Prime Intellect, a provider of an open and decentralized AI platform and protocol, raised a $5.5M seed round led by Distributed Global and CoinFund (FN)

  • Bump, a platform helping creators manage and grow their businesses, raised a $3M seed round from ImpactX, Capitalize, and Serac Ventures (TC)

  • SustainAble Exchange, a sustainable commerce platform, raised a $2M seed round led by Jeff Hallstead (PRN)

IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Brazil’s Eletrobras obtained bondholders’ approval for a $780M public share sale of its stake in power grid operator CTEEP (BBG)

  • Microsoft-backed cloud and data security startup Rubrik’s $713M IPO is ~20x oversubscribed (BBG) 

  • Independent renewable energy provider Nexamp secured a $520M capital raise led by Manulife Investment Management (VC)

  • Supermarket chain Spinneys' UAE franchisee Spinneys 1961 is seeking to raise $375M at a ~$1.5B valuation in its Dubai IPO (RT)  

  • Hong Kong’s biggest IPO of 2024 flopped as shares of Chinese bubble tea chain ChaPanda dropped 38% in its trading debut after raising $331M (FT)

  • Fidelidade-Companhia de Seguros, a Portuguese insurer controlled by China’s Fosun International, is planning a 2025 IPO (BBG)

Debt

  • Morocco’s state-owned phosphates giant OCP aims to raise $5B-$7B through 2027 via bond sales and an IPO of its chemicals unit (BBG) 

  • Goldman Sachs held talks with private credit lenders to help shore up Beyond Meat liquidity and is seeking ~$250M (BBG) 

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • Fisker may file for bankruptcy protection in 30 days amid debt obligations (RT)

  • Venezuela hired Rothschild & Co. to advise on its $154B foreign debt obligations (BBG)

Fundraising

  • Industrial MM PE firm The Sterling Group raised $3.5B for its its sixth PE fund (FN) 

  • Investment firm Fundamental Advisors is seeking $1.5B for its latest flagship fund to invest in municipal assets (WSJ) 

  • Early-stage VC Crosslink Capital closed its tenth flagship VC fund at $350M (FN) 

  • PE firm Strattam Capital closed its third flagship PE fund at $308M to invest in founder-led tech companies (FN) 

Crypto Corner

  • Crypto lobbyists sue SEC over 'dealer' definition (CD)

  • FTX to auction off another unspecified amount of Solana tokens (BBG) 

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