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Good Morning,
Trump ordered a complete blockade of the Strait of Hormuz after US and Iran peace talks failed.
Trump also took some time to pump stocks on Truth Social. Incredible evolution of market dynamics this year, just when you thought it couldn't get any more absurd.
Mizuho published an insightful analysis on AI exposure, and the sub-sectors most likely to capture value in a layered field. Read more below.
Let's dive in.
Before The Bell

As of 4/10/2026 market close.
Learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot.*
Markets
US stocks closed mostly flat on Friday as traders digested a hot inflation reading and braced for US-Iran talks
S&P gained 3.6% in its best week YTD
Bank stocks fell 6% in their worst quarter since 2023
EM stocks rose 7.4% in their best week since Covid
Oil posted its biggest weekly drop since Covid
Earnings
What we're watching this week:
Today: Goldman Sachs
Tuesday: JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, J&J, CarMax
Wednesday: Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, ASML
Thursday: Netflix, TSMC, PepsiCo
Full calendar here
Prediction Markets
US and Iran failed to reach an agreement following weekend peace talks
Trade event contracts on Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market
Headline Roundup
US CPI spiked 3.3% YoY in March (CNBC)
US will blockade Strait of Hormuz after peace talks failed (CNBC)
Commodity traders lost 'billions' in early days of Iran war (FT)
Europe energy traders brace for 21-hour day as volatility surges (BBG)
Goldman's 'unwavering' support shows Gulf's lure for Wall Street (BBG)
Market's next test arrives with Q1 earnings on deck (WSJ)
Wall Street banks are set for a $40B trading haul on Iran volatility (FT)
Wall Street has a new CDS index to short private credit (RT)
Insurers are taking bigger risks than pre-2008 (WSJ)
Jamie Dimon called out PE for missing the IPO window (BBG)
Leveraged loan fund outflows jump as investors shun credit risk (RT)
SpaceX posted a $5B loss last year on xAI capex (TI)
US met with Wall Street execs to discuss Anthropic Mythos risks (CNBC)
Anthropic is weighing building its own AI chips (RT)
White House warned staff against market bets amid Iran war (RT)
Billionaires rally behind Bill Ackman over $2M 'shakedown' by ex-staffer (NYP)
Rory McIlroy won the Masters in first repeat since Tiger Woods (ESPN)
A Message from Mizuho
Artificial intelligence is no longer a standalone theme layered onto markets – it's becoming an operating condition that reshapes demand across sectors. But as AI adoption accelerates into 2026 and worldwide spending reaches a projected $2.5 trillion, not all exposure will be equal, and investor outcomes will increasingly depend on where capital ultimately accrues.
The primary winners are often not the most visible AI brands, but the companies closest to infrastructure, efficiency, and enablement – those that power, distribute, or monetize AI activity at scale. In 2026, the most direct AI beneficiaries are those positioned at emerging bottlenecks created by the rapid deployment of AI.
As models shift from episodic training to persistent use, spending is increasingly concentrated in inference, memory, networking, and utilization – segments where constrained supply and rising intensity drive outsized value capture.
Deal Flow
M&A / Strategic
BlackRock's GIP, Brookfield, EIG Partners, KKR, Stonepeak, and Australia's Macquarie are considering offers for a stake in Kuwait Petroleum Corp.'s pipeline network as part of a $7B lease deal
GFL Environmental is close to acquiring Canada's Secure Waste Infrastructure Corp. in a $4.3B mostly stock deal, including debt
Japan approved $4B in additional subsidies to quicken Rapidus Corp.'s entry into the AI chipmaking space
Chinese conglomerate Fosun International is weighing a potential $3.2B sale of its 20.45% stake in Portugal's largest listed bank BCP
PE firm Leonard Green & Partners is close to acquiring construction consultancy Cumming Group from New Mountain Capital at a $3B valuation, including debt
Over a dozen suitors including WE Soda, Magris Resources, and U.S. Silica Holdings are interested in mining giant Rio Tinto's US boron assets, which could fetch $2B
An unit of Abu Dhabi's International Holding Co. will acquire a majority stake in UK hospitality empire Caprice Holdings, which includes iconic restaurants and private members' clubs, for over $1.3B
$1.2B-listed Swiss contract drugmaker PolyPeptide is attracting takeover interest from EQT, KKR, and Advent
Spanish renewables giant Iberdrola paused a $1B minority stake sale in a solar energy portfolio on valuation concerns
UK student housing landlord Unite Group hired Goldman Sachs to accelerate asset sales to $540M this year
Brazilian healthcare firm Hapvida Participacoes e Investimentos is seeking to raise $400M from a sale of its southern Brazil operations
Stripes-owned bagel chain PopUp Bagels raised funds from Tiger Global at a $300M valuation
Canadian AI startup Cohere and German AI startup Aleph Alpha are in talks to merge
Botswana is still keen on buying a controlling stake in diamond giant De Beers from miner Anglo American potentially dampening interest from some private investors looking to acquire De Beers
State-owned Egyptian Natural Gas Holding Company will acquire the entire output of the Aphrodite gas deposit in Cyprus from Cyprus' state-owned Newmed Energy
Glencore acquired a 45% stake in an aluminum plant in South Carolina
VC
MillTech, a next-gen FX hedging and cash investment solutions provider, raise a $60M minority investment at a $325M valuation from Apax Digital Funds
Elorian, an AI research and product lab focused on visual reasoning, raised a $55M seed round at a $300M valuation co-led by Striker Ventures, Menlo Ventures, and Altimeter
True Footage, a residential appraisal and appraiser services company, raised a $40M Series C led by Cox Enterprises
Mastra, a TypeScript agent framework startup, raised a $22M Series A led by Spark Capital
SimpleChain, a purpose-built Layer 1 network for real-world assets, raised a $15M seed round from family offices and institutional investors
Access the complete VC deal flow and data on Fundable
IPOs / Listings / Issuances / Block Trades
Space surveillance startup HawkEye 360 filed for an IPO; the startup was valued at $2B in a recent $173M Series E round
Malaysia's IOI Properties Group plans to establish a REIT holding its retail, hotel, and office assets, followed by a $500M Malaysia IPO
Organic juice maker Suja Life filed for an IPO
Quadria Capital-backed Indian eye care chain Maxivision Eye Hospitals is preparing for an India IPO
Indonesia's richest man Prajogo Pangestu began selling small stakes in his listed companies including Petrindo Jaya Kreasi, Green Era Energy, and Barito Renewables Energy due to tighter ownership rules
Activist hedge fund Third Point sold its entire stake in CRE data firm CoStar and will not pursue a proxy fight
SPAC / SPV
Blackstone plans to raise $2B in an IPO of SPAC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust to acquire data centers
Crypto treasury firm The Ether Machine terminated its $1.6B merger with Dynamix Corporation due to unfavorable market conditions
Debt
Barclays is sounding out investors for a refinancing of Apollo-backed photo-sharing platform Shutterfly after talks with private credit lenders lost momentum
Funds / Secondaries
Ares plans to raise $20B for its fourth flagship US direct lending fund, significantly smaller than its $34B previous vintage
PE firm Warburg Pincus launched a reported $1.8B fund to invest in European defense assets with early backing from insurer Munich Re
Tech PE firm Vista Equity Partners is raising $250M for a software distressed debt fund
Crypto Sum Snapshot
Bhutan sold 70% of its Bitcoin in the past 18 months and stopped Bitcoin mining
SpaceX holds $600M in Bitcoin
Crypto Sum compiles the most important stories on everything crypto. Read it here.
Exec’s Picks
VC firm NEO is up 7.5x on its first vintage from 2018 and up 6.5x on its second vintage from 2021. A rare performance from any VC fund during the ZIRP era, and especially rare considering the 650% gain…Check out WSJ's profile on Neo.
a16z published some interesting insights on the state of VC in Q1. Check it out here.
OFF-MARKET❤️🔥
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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.













