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The Catholic Church officially rejected Anthropic's lobbying efforts to proclaim AI models as conscious.

Today's letter is brought to you by F2, the agentic operating system for global credit. ICYMI: Golub Capital has selected F2 to power its next $100B in assets, bringing model-agnostic AI to one of private credit's most prominent firms.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 10/2/2026 market close.

Learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot.*

Markets

  • US stocks rose on Friday after a weak jobs report lowered odds of another Fed rate hike

    • Nasdaq hit an ATH and notched its third-straight winning week 

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng index slid 3% in the most since March 

  • EM sovereign local FX bonds are up 3.5% YTD while DM bonds are down 4.5% YTD

  • Dollar posted its fourth weekly gain versus euro

Earnings

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Wednesday: Levi's

    • Thursday: PepsiCo

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

  • The Pope mogging Anthropic over the weekend might just be a top signal

  • Get a $25 bonus with code LIT on signup, only on the Polymarket US app

Headline Roundup

  • The Pope rebuked Anthropic on machine consciousness (NYT)

  • US added just 29k jobs as unemployment rose to 4.2% (CNBC)

  • Quant hedge funds reap big gains from global bond selloff (FT)

  • Hedge funds struggle for September gains as rate, AI swings bite (RT)

  • Wall Street's IPO fervor cools on tepid demand and valuation worries (FT)

  • Global M&A deal rush fades in Q3 as rising borrowing costs bite (RT)

  • AI deal frenzy powers Hong Kong fundraising to record summer (BBG)

  • Asia bankers hope Japan and Australia can lift M&A from doldrums (BBG)

  • Investors look to shelter portfolios from rising AI concentration risks (FT)

  • Investors seek refuge from bond rout in haven German debt (FT)

  • Germany is exploring ways to avoid other UniCredit-style takeovers (BBG)

  • PE checks into Europe's booming hostel market (FT)

  • China closed 25% of banks to bolster financial system (FT)

  • Anthropic warns government attitudes may hurt customer ties (RT)

  • OpenAI fired researchers for sharing information with AI safety group (WSJ)

  • Legal risks pile up for Altman as OpenAI uncovers dozens of hacks (FT)

  • Kirkland and Latham topped M&A advisor rankings in Q3 slowdown (RT)

  • Combined Paramount-Warner Bros. will be called Skydance (BBG)

  • NYC skyscraper smashes rent records with penthouse hedge fund lease (FT)

A Message from F2

Golub Capital chooses F2 to power its next $100B in assets

Golub Capital is putting AI at the center of its next chapter. Its investment comes on top of it's purchase and firm wide rollout of F2, and aims to secure a strategic advantage in agentic solutions for direct lending.

The partnership reflects three priorities for global credit:

  • Purpose-built AI: F2's operating system handles the complex workflows of private markets and global credit.

  • AI sovereignty: F2's adaptive, model-agnostic harness accesses the latest frontier and open-source models while protecting proprietary data through zero data retention and zero model training.

  • Unlocking trapped knowledge: F2's top-bucket deal agent, Adam, acts as a senior MD from day one. He draws on precedent deals and captures future decisions, keeping the firm’s deal history in persistent, proprietary context.

Golub Capital's investment and rollout mark a turning point for how large firms deploy agentic AI across sensitive, proprietary workflows.

Deal Flow

M&A / Strategic

  • Schneider Electric is close to acquiring engineering software provider PTC for $20B at a 25% premium

  • Chinese biotech Abogen signed a licensing deal worth $7.8B with Novartis to develop messenger RNA-based therapies

  • Australian biotech CSL agreed to a $1.6B deal with Swiss drug developer  Alentis Therapeutics to jointly develop and sell an experimental treatment for rare kidney and liver diseases

  • ON Semiconductor will acquire chip firm Synaptics in a downsized but all-cash $5.7B deal 

  • KKR, Blackstone. and Warburg Pincus are considering potential $3.4B bids for CVC and Nordic Capital-owned windshield repair company Cary

  • Bain Capital is exploring an investment in Hong Kong's New World Development

  • Irish advisory firm ​Axis Capital is ​considering a $2B cash offer for Irish retail lender Permanent TSB three months after shareholders approved ​the ⁠bank's $1.8B sale ​to Austria's ​BAWAG ⁠Group

  • Japan's Nippon Paint will acquire the SEA decorative paints business of Netherlands-based AkzoNobel for well over $1B

  • Portuguese oil company Galp Energia is exploring a partial divestment or stake sale in its renewable energy operations amid its deal to combine its refinery and gas station businesses with Mubadala-backed Spanish fuel maker Moeve

  • Italian energy firm Eni and Spanish energy firm Repsol are considering bringing in outside investors into its giant Perla natural gas JV off Venezuela's coast

  • Citadel Securities bought a minority stake in ER firm Wolfe Research 

VC

  • FieldAI, a robotics startup building a general-purpose robot brain, raised a $700M funding round at a $10B valuation 

  • Model ML, a specialist vertical AI company for financial services, raised $100M in funding backed by HSBC Asset Management, FT Partners, and QED Investors

  • Metal, an infrastructure for tokenized financial products and stablecoin payments, raised a $50M seed round co-led by Airwallex and its VC arm Capital 49

  • Novele, an AI energy platform for commercial buildings, raised a $17M Series A led by Boisei Labs

  • Hestus, a mechanical engineering AI startup, raised $7.4M in a seed round led by Insight Partners

Access the complete VC deal flow and data on Fundable

IPOs / Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Anthropic is planning a pre-IPO investor day for next week ahead of its $100B IPO

  • Mynt, the company behind Philippine fintech GCash, is set to raise $844M at a $7B valuation in Philippine's biggest IPO ever

  • Goldman Sachs bought $220M worth of shares in Shein as a greenshoe after its poor IPO debut 

  • Italian insurance giant Generali took a 9.9% ‌stake in Spain's Banco de Crédito Cooperativo for $170M

SPAC / SPV

  • Amazon is seeking to offload about $8B of advanced Nvidia chips to external investors and lease them from the SPV in a sale-leaseback

Debt

  • Paramount sold $52B of loans and bonds to fund its $110B takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery

  • Japanese electronic component maker Nidec is in talks with MUFG Bank and SMBC to renew committed credit lines totaling $3.8B amid an accounting scandal 

  • IMF approved a $1.9B financing program for Bolivia

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • German state-owned energy firm SEFE hired Lazard to explore a re-privatization following a $7B bailout in 2022

  • UK telecom group BT is weighing an improved offer for struggling Toscafund-backed UK broadband provider TalkTalk after an initial approach was rejected

Funds / Secondaries

  • Swiss PE firm Partners Group is overhauling its $7.7B flagship PE fund, splitting its worse-performing assets and a separate pool of newer higher ROI investments

  • Investcorp raised $1.2B for its new North American PE fund

Crypto Sum Snapshot

  • Robinhood stock tokens turbocharge a new era of meme trading

  • Community banks sue US regulator OCC over crypto firm charters

Crypto Sum compiles the most important stories on everything crypto. Read it here.

Exec’s Picks

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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