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Good Morning,

Labor Day week kicked off to a slow start on the news front, though deal flow came in hot across M&A, startups and fundraising.

Two academics also published an interesting paper on firms backed by Apollo. Somehow, Apollo's portfolio companies are paying 100 bps extra for debt compared to typical PE-backed firms.

Wall Street's leading financial modeling platform Mosaic is now live for credit and investment banking. They've already won the hearts of dealmakers at Apollo, CVC, Evercore, Warburg Pincus and others with their rules-based, deterministic software. It's worth trying out!

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 9/8/2026 market close.

Learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot.*

Markets

  • US stocks dropped yesterday in the start of a shortened trading week as investors monitored escalating US-Iran tensions ahead of a key inflation reading

  • UK sold 30Y gilts at a 5.8% yield in the highest since 1998

  • Oil prices jumped to the highest since July

Earnings

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Today: Jersey Mike's

    • Thursday: Oracle, Adobe, Macy's

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

  • OpenAI is finally back in the running against Anthropic now that its Astra model successfully beat all 48 levels of the "I'm Not a Robot" game

  • Deposit $10 and get a $20 bonus with code LIT on signup, only on the Polymarket US app

Headline Roundup

  • Bessent dares traders to bet against yen: 'I am the house now' (BBG)

  • Offshore yuan borrowing hit a record $150B (FT)

  • China IPO frenzy nets lucky few six months' pay in one day (BBG)

  • Momentum reversal is ringing alarm bells for industrial stocks (BBG)

  • Firms crowd US loan market in push to cut costs and fund M&A (BBG)

  • Banks are offloading $138B in LBO debt in the most since 2007 (BBG)

  • Apollo-backed firms pay 1% extra for debt than other PE-backed firms (FT)

  • AI disruption of software is way slower than feared (WSJ)

  • Anthropic and OpenAI bankers push for investment grade ratings (FT)

  • Google and Blackstone face delays at data center sites (BBG)

  • Meta launched a new personal AI agent (WSJ)

  • Goldman expands AI push with new engineering office near Seattle (RT)

  • Putin praised US peace efforts in call with Trump (FT)

A Message from Mosaic

The future of deal analysis is here

Mosaic's leading deal modeling platform is making waves since expanding into credit and investment banking, helping dealmakers across Wall Street build complex financial models in minutes.

Their platform is built on proprietary, deterministic, rules-based software to maintain the standards that are non-negotiable in finance.

Now, they're out with yet another critical feature: Accretion / Dilution Models. With their FactSet or Cap IQ integration, you can now evaluate earnings impact of acquisitions with streamlined models that incorporate acquirer and target operating forecasts, synergies, purchase price allocation, and deal financing assumptions. 

This is of course just an addition to their core features that make them a Wall Street favorite:

  • 100% accuracy in math, accounting, logic, linking, and auditing 

  • The option to fully format in your firm's styles and templates

  • The ability to export to Excel with dynamic, auditable formulas

  • An industry-leading library of models to construct anything from integrated DCFs to 'special situations' like div recaps and earnouts

  • An AI-friendly ecosystem to upload and feed data by simple drag and drops

If you've ever dreaded building a financial model, you must try out Mosaic. They're already a favorite at leading firms like Apollo, CVC, Evercore, Warburg Pincus, and more.

Deal Flow

M&A / Strategic

  • Poste Italiane raised its cash-and-stock takeover offer for Telecom Italia by 5% to $13.2B

  • GE Aerospace agreed to buy castings manufacturer Consolidated Precision Products from Warburg Pincus and Berkshire Partners for $11.75B

  • PE-backed Florida-based lender EverBank Financial will merge with PWN-based peer WaFd in a $3.9B reverse merger

  • Anthropic walked away from a $6B acquisition of real-world AI model startup Decart AI

  • Blackstone is exploring a $2B sale of ​medical-grade skincare company ZO Skin ‌Health

  • CVC is exploring a $2B sale of personal care rollup Arthea, which counts Dr Teal's in its portfolio

  • Canada's Tamarack Valley Energy agreed to buy Headwater Exploration in a $2.3B all-stock deal

  • PE firm Cerberus is nearing a $1.4B deal for the defense unit of $2B-listed UK engineering group Goodwin

  • LVMH-linked PE firm L Catterton will buy a controlling stake in fitness competition brand Hyrox from Switzerland-based Infront Sports & Media at a $700M valuation

  • Fintech Chime will acquire nationally chartered Stride Bank for $590M

  • Italian PE firm Renaissance Partners will buy yacht interiors maker De Wave from Platinum Equity for $465M

  • Czech activist investor Starteepo built a 7.3% stake in $420M-listed office solutions firm Xerox and is pushing for a review of its financial services business

  • Philippine property developer Vista Land & Landscapes is looking to sell assets to meet debt obligations, including a $420M bond due next year

  • CBRE Investment Management acquired Cerberus' net-lease real estate business Tenet Equity for $1.6B

  • Clinical laboratory giant Labcorp agreed to acquire specialty laboratory provider MLM Medical Labs

  • Robinhood will take minority stakes in Crypto.com's crypto exchange and prediction markets business as part of a prediction markets partnership

  • Volkswagen is considering divesting motorcycle maker Ducati as part of its restructuring

  • Italian lender UniCredit acquired a minority stake in German credit markets fintech VC Trade

  • Miner Rio Tinto agreed to acquire the Aurukun bauxite project in Australia from Glencore and Mitsubishi Development

VC

  • Europe's biggest AI startup Mistral raised a $3.5B round at a $24.5B post-money valuation led by Samsung, EU's Scaleup Europe Fund, and PSG Equity

  • AI coding startup Cognition raised a $2B Series E at a $48B valuation led by a16z, Accel, Founders Fund, General Catalyst, and Avenir

  • Rocket launch startup Stoke Space raised a $1B Series E at a $10B valuation led by Point72 ​Ventures and Spark Capital

  • Enterprise banking fintech Ramp is in early talks to raise a $1B round at a $60B valuation

  • UK drone startup Uforce is in talks to raise a $500M round at a $5B valuation led by Valor Equity Partners

  • The Exploration Company, a European reusable-space startup, raised a $450M Series C co-led by Atomico and the EQT-managed Scaleup Europe Fund

  • Celero Communications, an AI infrastructure semiconductor company, raised a $275M Series C at a $3B valuation led by Atreides, Valor Equity Partners, and CapitalG

  • Split Pay, a lending startup focused on rent and mortgage lending, raised $125M across a Series A and Series B led by Khosla Ventures, Thrive Capital, and Affirm CEO Max Levchin

  • TabaPay, a money movement platform, raised a $155M growth round led by FTV Capital

  • Forus, an AI network connecting doctors, pharmacies, payers and biopharma, raised a $150M Series C at a $3B valuation led by Bain Capital Ventures 

  • Poseidon Aerospace, an uncrewed cargo aircraft startup, raised a $60M Series A led by TQ Ventures

  • Bluecore Energy, a small nuclear reactor startup building floating barges, raised a $50M seed round led by Silverton Partners

  • Antioch, a robotics simulation platform, raised a $32M Series A led by Greylock Partners  

  • Blee, a marketing compliance software for financial services, raised $27M across a seed and Series A led by Fin Capital and SMBC

IPOs / Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Amazon acquired rights to buy $4B of Qualcomm stock as part of a $60B AI chip deal

  • National Stock Exchange of India is likely to price its downsized India IPO below a marketed range to raise $2.5B at a $46.6B valuation

  • Chinese chipmaker Longsys raised $903M in an upsized Hong Kong listing priced at a 44% discount to its China trading

  • Nuclear supplier Holtec is seeking to raise $900M at a $10.2B valuation in an IPO

  • Danish energy company Andel Holding is looking to sell a 1.6% stake worth $467M in Danish wind farm company Orsted just one year after its investment

  • Torrent's gas distribution arm Torrent Gas filed updated papers for its $418M India IPO

  • Warburg Pincus-backed Singaporean telecoms tech firm Circles Group plans to spin off its digital software services platform for several hundred million dollars

  • Australian data center company Firmus Technologies is starting investor meetings for an Australia IPO

SPAC / SPV

  • Nuclear services firm HGP Intelligent Energy will merge with Meshflow Acquisition at a $1.2B valuation

  • Telecom infrastructure firm Gibson Technical Services will merge with NMP Acquisition Corp. at a $400M valuation

Debt 

  • ​​SoftBank is sounding out interest for a $10B-$20B dollar junk-bond sale

  • Lenders including Bank of America and Deutsche Bank launched a $3.3B debt sale to back Platinum Equity's 50% purchase of Nestle's water business for $2.9B

  • Saudi smart city project NEOM raised $3B in financing from HSBC, Bank of China, Crédit Agricole JPMorgan, Bank of America, and others

  • Indian conglomerate Reliance Industries plans to raise $1.3B in its first local FX bond sale since 2021

  • Amazon hired banks for a debut sterling bond sale

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • Clearlake-backed specialty materials manufacturer Alkegen filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy with plans to eliminate $3.1B of debt

  • Senegal will seek to negotiate a debt reprofiling instead of a restructuring in talks with creditors to make its loans sustainable and qualify for an IMF bailout

  • Saudi's PGA rival LIV Golf filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy after SWF PIF pulled funding with players in advanced talks to take control of the business and BC Partners and others in talks to provide exit financing

Funds / Secondaries

  • a16z added $1.75B of fresh capital to its fifth growth fund, increasing its size to $8.5B just months after closing 

  • UK PE firm Cinven raised $2.7B for its second strategic MM fund

  • Nordic PE firm Axcel raised $2.4B for its eighth flagship fund

  • UK PE firm Bridgepoint raised a $1.4B private credit CV led by Pantheon Ventures

  • PennantPark Investment Advisers raised a $745M MM private credit CV led by Pantheon Ventures

  • Lower MM PE firm Tyree & D'Angelo Partners raised $650M for its fourth fund

  • New York Life-owned MM PE firm Apogem Capital raised $600M for its eleventh PE fund

  • UK venture debt firm Claret Capital raised $510M for its fourth European growth debt fund to back 'less sexy' startups 

  • Singapore SWF Temasek's real estate arm CapitaLand Investment is seeking to raise $500M for its third APAC credit program

  • VC investor TrueBridge Capital Partners raised $508M for its second secondaries fund

  • Gainline Capital Partners raised a single-asset CV for gym equipment provider Core Health & Fitness led by StepStone

Crypto Sum Snapshot

  • Strategy launched $250 Bitcoin themed Jordans but won't accept crypto as payment

  • Block applied to establish uninsured national trust bank Builders Bank & Trust

  • Republicans expect crypto Clarity Act to fail in the Senate next week

Crypto Sum compiles the most important stories on everything crypto. Read it here.

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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