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Good Morning,
Global M&A volumes hit it highest since Covid, private markets fundraising is slowing while hedge funds and crypto booms, BP made its largest O&G discovery this century, Tesla approved a $30B stock award for Musk, and Index Ventures is truly on one of the most generational runs in VC after its Figma exit.
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Let's dive in.
As of 8/4/2025 market close.
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Markets
US stocks rallied yesterday to recover from last week's late losses sparked by economic data concerns
All three major indexes had their best day since May 27
S&P snapped a four-day losing streak
US high-yield spreads are less than 50 bps above their 10-year low
EM stocks rallied 0.9% as sentiment for risk assets rebounded on speculation that the Fed will resume rate cuts next month
EM currencies index rose 0.4% in its best day in over a month
Earnings
Berkshire Hathaway reported a 4% drop in operating earnings, dragged down by insurance underwriting losses despite gains in its railroad, energy, and manufacturing units; the firm also took a $3.8B charge on its Kraft Heinz stake and was a net seller of stocks for an eleventh-straight quarter, keeping its $344B cash pile near record highs (CNBC)
Palantir beat Q2 earnings and revenue estimates, topping $1B in quarterly revenue for the first time as sales surged 48% and commercial revenue doubled; the company cited an 'astonishing' impact from AI and raised its FY outlook after closing 66 deals, with total contract value up 140% (CNBC)
Hims & Hers Health reported beating Q2 earnings estimates but missed on revenue despite a 73% YoY sales increase as shareholders remain skeptical of outlook amid ongoing controversy over its sale of compounded GLP-1s, which remain unapproved by the FDA following resolution of brand-name drug shortages (CNBC)
What we're watching this week:
Today: Pfizer, AMD, Caterpillar, Supermicro, BP, Rivian, Snap
Wednesday: Uber, McDonald's, AppLovin, Shopify, Novo Nordisk, DraftKings
Thursday: Eli Lilly, Celsius, Vistra, Sony
Full calendar here
Prediction Markets
Ray Dalio urged Trump to reveal why he fired top BLS official (RT)
Wall Street is warning investors to get ready for stocks to drop (BBG)
Wavering US consumer and job market show risks to economy (BBG)
Big Tech earnings strength is bright light in murky stock market (BBG)
Private markets boom cools as hedge funds, crypto nab billions (BBG)
PE worries that Trump might bundle crypto into 401(k) order (WSJ)
Hedge fund LPs look to load up on Europe (BBG)
Global M&A hit $2.6T YTD, a four-year high (RT)
L/S funds rose, quants suffered, and multi-strats stayed steady in July (RT)
Corporate insiders were dumping stocks into July's record rally (BBG)
Burned credit investors find relief in cleaner, reworked debt (BBG)
EM ETFs snapped a nine-week streak of inflows as tariffs weigh (BBG)
Hong Kong ETFs in China saw record inflows on dip buying spree (BBG)
US will fine banks for dropping customers for political reasons (WSJ)
Index Ventures is striking gold (WSJ)
Figma's pursuit of long-term backers kept IPO price in check (BBG)
Fitch downgraded Intel to just two notches shy of junk (RT)
Tesla approved a $30B stock award for Musk (BBG)
BP will report on cost cuts as activist Elliott steps up pressure (FT)
H.I.G. Capital poached four Morgan Stanley execs in secondaries push (PEI)
Lyft partnered with Baidu to launch robotaxis in Europe (BBG)
Chinese manufacturers rethink south-east Asia pivot after US tariffs (FT)
Luxury brands hit by drop in tourist spending in Europe and Japan (FT)
BP made its largest O&G discovery in 25 years in Brazil waters (FT)
Iran proposed slashing four zeros from currency (FT)
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M&A / Investments
Fiber-optic cable maker Amphenol agreed to acquire the broadband and cable equipment division of CommScope in a $10.5B all-cash deal
Singapore SWF GIC agreed to acquire a 25% stake in a fiber broadband JV owned by Europe's Masorange and Zegona Communications' in a reported ~$8B deal
PE firm Warburg Pincus joined Singapore-based SC Capital Partners in pursuing a potential acquisition of data center operator Global Switch Holdings, which could be valued at $6B-$7B, including debt
PE firm Genstar is exploring a sale of Ford and GM‑backed automotive software provider OEConnection at a $5B valuation
European investment firm LGT Capital Partners acquired a minority stake in communications and consulting firm Teneo at a ~$2.3B valuation
Malaysia state-owned energy giant PETRONAS is seeking $1B for its 50% stake in Brazil's Tartaruga Verde oil field
Crop trader Andersons acquired the remaining stake in its ethanol JV with Marathon Petroleum for $425M
Apple-supplier Foxconn agreed to sell its Ohio plant for $375M
Boston Celtics co-owner Steve Pagliuca offered to buy WNBA team Connecticut Sun and move the team to Boston, valuing the franchise at a record $325M
Bahrain's SWF Mumtalakat acquired a stake in Abu Dhabi investment firm BlueFive
VC
OpenMind, a startup building an OS for humanoid robots, raised a $20M round led by Pantera Capital
Streamline AI, an AI-powered intake and matter management platform for in-house legal teams, raised an $8.6M Series A led by Blumberg Capital
Canadian cybersecurity startup Cavelo raised a $3.8M seed extension round led by Inovia Capital
Mobile app and API security startup Approov raised a $6.7M Series A led by Maven Capital Partners
PhnyX Lab, a GenAI startup for life science companies, raised a $4M seed round led by SK Networks
IPOs / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades
French lender Credit Agricole raised its stake in Italy's Banco BPM to 20.1% after Italy's UniCredit dropped its takeover bid for Banco BPM
Northrop Grumman-backed space startup Firefly raised its IPO target to $697M at a $6B valuation
Crypto platform Bullish is seeking to raise $630M at a $4.2B valuation in a US IPO
Spanish utility Naturgy is selling a 5.5% stake via a $578M treasury share offering
Miami International Holdings, the parent of bourse operator MIAX, is seeking to raise $315M at a $1.67B valuation in a rare IPO
Nigerian lender First HoldCo will sell shares held in a SPV as part of plans to raise 350 $230M in private placements this quarter
Japanese conglomerate Mitsubishi is seeking to acquire an additional 13.81% stake in seafood producer Thai Union for $205M
Blockchain-based lender Figure Technology Solutions confidentially filed for an IPO
Energy solutions company Lummus Technology confidentially filed for a US IPO
SPAC
Trump family-backed manufacturing SPAC New America Acquisition I Corp filed for a $300M IPO
Debt
Pet products chain PetSmart launched a $1.7B leveraged loan as part of a $4.7B debt raise to refinance existing obligations
Singapore-based SC Capital is lined up a $3B loan facility from Goldman Sachs for its possible Global Switch offer
Godrej Properties, the real estate unit of Indian conglomerate Godrej, plans to raise $230M in its largest debt sale to date
Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed
NYC live music venue and festival owner Avant Gardner filed for Chapter 11 after failing to reopen its flagship outdoor stage Brooklyn Mirage
Teen accessory chain Claire’s skipped the last two months of rent payments, paving the way for a Chapter 11 filing as soon as this week
Fundraising / Secondaries
Carlyle raised $9B for its tenth real estate fund
Healthcare investment firm OrbiMed $1.9B for its fifth royalty and credit fund to target growth-oriented healthcare companies across biopharma, medical devices, diagnostics, and tech-enabled health services
PE firm New Mountain Capital is considering raising $1B for a continuation fund for water infrastructure firm Azuria Water Solutions
MM PE firm Dextra Partners raised $825M for its seventh co-investment fund
CRV, one of the world's oldest VC firms, raised $750M for its twentieth flagship fund
Ex-JPMorgan private bankers launched Alta Vera Global Capital Advisors with $400M
Cambridge Innovation Capital, the VC firm affiliated with University of Cambridge, pledged to invest $132M to invest in Cambridge-spinouts, part of the launch of its $330M Fund III
Strategy acquired $2.5B in Bitcoin in its third-largest purchase ever
CFTC is exploring letting futures exchanges trade spot crypto
Check out our Crypto Sum newsletter for the full stories on everything crypto!
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For a few CEOs, pay keeps growing–by the billions.
In a somewhat unpopular opinion, Craig Coben explained why Figma's IPO was actually fine.
Trace Cohen shared some summary return multiples of Figma's VC backers.
Litney Partners
If you're a junior banker looking for your next career move, check out our recruiting firm, Litney Partners. Established by Litquidity and Whitney Partners (the oldest purely financial services executive search and consulting firm), Litney Partners has placed strong candidates across leading firms spanning private equity, hedge funds, venture capital, growth equity, private credit, investment banking, and fintech. Head over to our website to drop your resume / create your profile and we'd love to get in touch!
We are able to move faster than most firms due to our paralleled reach, decades of industry expertise, and ability to attract top caliber candidates.
Next Play
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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.
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