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Good Morning,
Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz just moments after stock markets capped a record-breaking week🤦
But somehow, bankers don't even seem to care anymore. Deal flow and capital markets activity is suddenly looking like 2021.
The Wharton Online-Wall Street Prep Private Equity Certificate Program is officially back for the summer. Consider an enrollment and save $500 on Wall Street's flagship PE training program. Learn more below.
Let's dive in.
Before The Bell

As of 4/17/2026 market close.
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Markets
US stock indexes rallied to third-straight ATHs on continued US-Iran optimism (which faded into the weekend)
Nasdaq-100 gained for a 13th-straight day for its best win streak since 2013
Small caps Russell 2000 hit a fresh ATH
Europe's Stoxx 600 gained for a fourth-straight week
Software stocks gained 14% in their best week since 2001
EX FX erased all Iran war losses
LME Index rallied 12% MoM to an ATH
European power futures fell below pre-war levels
Earnings
What we're watching this week:
Tuesday: UnitedHealth Group, 3M, United Airlines, RTX, Capital One
Wednesday: Tesla, IBM, AT&T, Texas Instruments
Thursday: Intel, Blackstone, American Airlines, American Express
Friday: Procter & Gamble
Full calendar here
Prediction Markets
Strait of Schrödinger
Trade event contracts on Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market
Headline Roundup
Intel shares recovered all losses from the 2000 dot-com bubble burst (BBG)
Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz again (CNBC)
Traders brace for renewed turmoil on Hormuz drama (BBG)
Howard Lutnick told Canada 'they suck' and vowed to void trade deal (FT)
Big Tech stocks are leading a $4T market rebound (BBG)
Apollo's Marc Rowan slammed rivals for fund redemption failures (CNBC)
Traders dial up risk as they put war behind them (BBG)
Systematic hedge funds bought stocks at a record pace last week (RT)
Short squeeze turbocharges equity rally as riskiest stocks soar (BBG)
EM bond sales are soaring again as investors dive back into risk (BBG)
Wealth advisors made more than $2B from private capital fees (FT)
Global VC investment surged to a record $330B in Q1 (KPMG)
Texas VC funding topped Massachusetts for first time ever in Q1(BG)
Citadel Securities is eyeing prediction markets (BBG)
Commodity traders cozy up to Trump after long avoiding politics (BBG)
Vitol posted a $2B profit in Q1 despite Iran war losses (BBG)
Blue Owl founders stopped pledging shares as personal loan collateral (WSJ)
Anthropic CEO visited White House amid rising Mythos model fears (WSJ)
Meta plans to cut 10% of jobs (RT)
Point72 and BlackRock back contest to scout Japanese IB talent (BBG)
Blue Origin launched New Glenn rocket but suffered issues (WSJ)
Co-founders of failed AI startup were charged with fraud (RT)
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Deal Flow
M&A / Strategic
Chinese state-backed brokerages Orient Securities and Shanghai Securities will merge in a cash and stock deal to create an $85B firm
American Airlines is not interested in a ~$40B merger with United Airlines
A consortium of European telecom groups Bouygues Telecom, Iliad, and Orange proposed a $24B acquisition of SFR, the French business of indebted telecoms Altice, at a potential $23B valuation
QXO will acquire insulation company TopBuild in a $17B cash and stock deal at a 23% premium to make QXO the second-largest listed building products supplier in US
Recreational-vehicle supplier Patrick Industries is in talks to combined with rival LCI Industries in a potential $7B all stock deal
José E. Feliciano, the founder of PE firm Clearlake, is set to acquire MLB's San Diego Padres from the Seidler family at a record $3.9B valuation
Architect Capital is set to take a sub-20% minority stake in OnlyFans at an over $3B valuation
French fuel distributor Rubis is exploring a $2.9B cash and stock merger with trading giant Trafigura's fuel retail business Puma Energy
Abu Dhabi investment fund Axight acquired a significant minority stake in Aussie investment firm La Trobe Financial from Brookfield at a $2.1B valuation
Eli Lilly is in advanced talks to acquire cancer biotech Kelonia Therapeutics for over $2B
Japanese logistics firm Nippon Express Holdings will acquire Canada-based Metro Supply Chain Group in a $1.6B deal
$900M-listed German medical packaging maker Gerresheimer rejected a takeover bid from US rival Silgan
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. emerged as the preferred bidder to acquire HSBC's retail unit in Indonesia at a potential $350M valuation
1947 Oil & Gas, the new energy firm of ex-Goldman analyst Jeff Currie, will acquire small Gulf of America producer Renaissance Offshore
German radiopharma firm ITM Isotope Technologies is in talks with PE firms to sell its medical isotope production business
Bitcoin miner NYDIG is in advanced talks to acquire a former smelter site from US aluminum producer Alcoa
Lionel Messi acquired Spanish division three soccer club Cornellà
Cristiano Ronaldo acquired a 25% stake in Spanish division two soccer club UD Almería in February
Critical Metals Corp. raised its stake in the Tanbreez rare earth deposit in Greenland from 50% to 92.5% in a deal with shareholder Rimbal
VC
Anthropic is not fielding funding talks with VCs looking to invest at an over $800B valuation
Sam Altman-backed fusion startup Helion Energy sought a $500M investment at a $35B valuation led by OpenAI
Recursive Superintelligence, a four-month-old self-teaching AI startup, raised $500M at a $4B pre-money valuation led by GV
Chinese AI startup DeepSeek is in talks to raise over $300M at a $10B valuation
Sygaldry, a quantum-accelerated AI servers startup, raised $139M across a seed and Series A led by Initialized Capital and Breakthrough Energy Ventures
Loop, a supply-chain AI startup, raised a $95M Series C led by Valor Equity Partners
Mintlify, an AI knowledge infrastructure startup, raised a $45M Series B at a $500M valuation co-led by a16z and Salesforce Ventures
TextQL, an agentic analytics startup, raised $17M from Blackstone, HOF Capital, Neo, Dropbox, and more
Eigen, an AI startup building a 'mutual friend' platform, raised a $15M seed round led by Benchmark
Creao AI, a 'super agent' AI startup, raised a $10M round led by Prosperity7 Ventures
AlixLabs, a European developer of Atomic Layer Etching (ALE) solutions for next-generation semiconductor manufacturing, raised a $17.5M Series A and strategic round from Stephen Industries
Access the complete VC deal flow and data on Fundable
IPOs / Listings / Issuances / Block Trades
SpaceX moved up a vesting schedule for employee shares from May to this week as it moves closer to a record $75B IPO
Jio Platforms, the telecoms unit of Indian conglomerate Reliance Industries, is set to file for India's biggest IPO ever to raise ~$4B at a ~$150B valuation
Japanese EV battery maker Envision is considering a $2B Hong Kong IPO
Blackstone-backed ad tech firm Liftoff Mobile re-filed for a potential $760M IPO
AI chipmaker Cerebras Systems filed publicly for an IPO
Obesity biotech Kailera Therapeutics surged 63% in its trading debut after raising $625M at a $3.1B market cap in an upsized IPO
Madison Dearborn Partners-backed drone maker AEVEX rose 35% in its trading debut after raising $320M for a $3B market cap in an IPO
Roark Capital picked banks for a potential $2B IPO of Inspire Brands, the owner of Buffalo Wild Wings, Dunkin', Arby's, Jimmy John's, Baskin-Robbins, and others
Miner Lumina Metals is seeking to raise $250M in a Canada IPO
Malaysian industrial facilities design firm IAQ Group is considering raising $250M in a Malaysia IPO
Medtech Alamar Biosciences climbed 29% in its trading debut after raising $191M at a $1.5B valuation in an upsized IPO
Chinese spatial-design software maker Manycore Tech surged 187% in its trading debut after raising $156M in a Hong Kong IPO
KKR-backed emergency medical services firm GMR Solutions filed for an IPO
Geothermal power firm Fervo Energy filed for an IPO
Biotech Odyssey Therapeutics filed for an IPO
Medtech Mobia Medical filed for an IPO
Permian Basin landowner EagleRock Land filed for an IPO
Uber took an additional 4.5% stake in smaller German rival Delivery Hero from its largest shareholder Prosus for $320M at a 20% premium to raise its stake to 7%
SPAC / SPV
Canadian space domain awareness company NorthStar Earth & Space will merge with Viking Acquisition Corp. I at a $300M valuation
Debt
Banks and private credit lenders are competing to provide a $9.5B debt package to back CVC's potential $12.5B LBO of Italian drugmaker Recordati
Luxury retailer Tory Burch sweetened terms on a $700M leveraged loan meant to finance its repurchase of General Atlantic's stake to a 400 bps premium and 2¢ discount
Telix Pharmaceuticals raised $600M in Australia's biggest convertible bond sale this year
Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed
TV shopping network QVC filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy with plans to restructure its $6.6B debt pile
Singapore real estate tycoon Ching Chiat Kwong is suing bank lenders of collapsed Aussie satellite firm NewSat including SocGen, UBS, and Standard Chartered for $1B for violating loan contracts that led to the firm's collapse
Funds / Secondaries
UK PE firm Bridgepoint raised $7.1B for its eight flagship Europe fund
Lululemon founder Chip Wilson is starting an athletic-brand rollup
Abu Dhabi is considering consolidating its Chinese assets within two SWFs L'imad Holding and Mubadala
Crypto Sum Snapshot
Flow Capital will put its $150M private credit fund on blockchain
$300M crypto hack triggers DeFi contagion shock
French authorities are providing bodyguard services to crypto execs amid kidnapping spree
Crypto Sum compiles the most important stories on everything crypto. Read it here.
Exec’s Picks
The hedge fund pay and talent war just got even more bizarre and the recent poaching drama between Millennium and Capula is here to prove it. Check out Bloomberg's deep dive on the frenzied hedge fund job market.
Meme Cleanser
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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.









