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Good Morning,

Congress approved a bill to force the release of the Epstein files. Trump is expected to sign it into law.

Day 1 of the inaugural Litquidity × NEXUS Capital Cup was an absolute blast and we're excited to see the competition unfold in the final stages. Our wonderful sponsors made room for three more teams to join and they're also offering drinks credit to the finest bars to all guests. Join us for day 2! RSVP info below.

Reserve your spot for BILL's controller appreciation week '25 and get six chances to win an new iPhone, LEGO® sets of your choice, and of course, a first look at BILL's brand new controller toolkit. Register here.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 11/18/2025 market close.

Learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot.*

Markets

  • US stocks sank further yesterday as tech shares continued to retreat 

    • S&P fell for a fourth-straight day for its longest slide since August

    • Traders are pricing in a 50-50 chance of a third 25 bps Fed rate cut next month

  • UK's FTSE 100 slumped to a one-month low in its worst day since April and longest losing streak since August 

  • Europe's Stoxx 600 slid to a one-month low 

  • Japan's Nikkei 225 plunged 3% to a one-month low

  • Korea's KOSPI index also lost over 3%

  • US bond risk premiums rose to multi-week highs 

Earnings

  • Home Depot beat Q3 revenue estimates but missed on earnings and cut its FY outlook as weak home improvement demand, soft consumer spending, and a sluggish housing market weighed (CNBC)

  • PDD beat Q3 earnings and revenue estimates with a 14% jump in profit, but warned of a slowdown amid intensifying competition in China's consumer market and lingering uncertainty around Temu's global outlook (RT)

  • Baidu missed Q3 earnings and revenue estimates as sales fell a record 7% and the company swung to a loss, highlighting mounting pressure on its core ads business and its uphill battle in China's crowded AI landscape (BBG)

  • Klarna beat Q3 revenue estimates in its first public earnings on strong US growth and no material shifts in consumer spending behavior, though the firm booked a loss as a push into conventional lending weighed (CNBC)

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Today: Nvidia, Target, Bullish, TJX, Palo Alto Networks

    • Thursday: Walmart, Webull

  • Full calendar here

The Polymarket

  • Is the AI bubble bursting? Or will Nancy Pelosi out-trade Wall Street once again?

    Most normies will learn the answer after close, when NVIDIA (Pelosi's largest holding) reports earnings. But on Polymarket, you can see the answer right now.

    Check out the $NVDA polymarket for real-time odds and trade on whether they'll 'beat' or 'miss' estimates.

    You don't have to worry about macro, tariff news, or any of the other outside factors that can mess up your trade. When you trade earnings on Polymarket, you make money when you correctly predict a beat or miss. 

    So what do you think, will $NVDA beat earnings today?  

    Reveal the $NVDA earnings odds.

Headline Roundup

  • Congress passed bill to force release of Epstein files (WSJ)

  • Ex-investment banker was charged with leading an insider trading ring (BBG)

  • Trump talked up economy at McDonald's summit (AX)

  • Trump hosted Saudi's crown prince at White House (BBG)

  • Google CEO says no firm is immune if AI bubble bursts (RT)

  • Fund managers warn AI investment boom has gone too far (FT)

  • Investors raise risk bets but cash flashes 'sell signal' (RT)

  • AI Bubble and growth gears creep into US credit markets (BBG)

  • Record reverse splits expose growing strain on small caps (RT)

  • Foreigners turned net buyers of Asian bonds (RT)

  • Hedge funds reap gains on Argentina bets as US steps in (BBG)

  • Meta won FTC antitrust trial over Instagram and WhatsApp (CNBC)

  • Meta CRO John Hegeman will depart to launch his own startup (RT)

  • Google released Gemini 3 AI model (CNBC)

  • Big Tech's AI-linked emissions are squeezing carbon credit markets (RT)

  • Cloudflare resolved global outage that disrupted major websites (BBG)

  • Kering CEO is seeking to downsize and reduce Gucci exposure (RT)

  • Finance body paused rule changes for $1T Islamic bond market (BBG)

  • US firms shed 10k jobs in October (BBG)

  • US SMBs expect stronger 2026 (RT)

  • US is the biggest recipient of Chinese loans (RT)

  • US firms are missing out on millions due to cash allocation strategies (RT)

A Message from BILL

Controller appreciation week '25

Claim your spot at this year's exclusive virtual gathering of the best and brightest controllers, finance leaders, and industry experts. Over 3 days, we'll have 6 CPE sessions, 6 chances to win an iPhone 17 Pro, 1 exclusive demo offer to earn a LEGO® set of your choice (up to $250 value), and a first look at our brand new controller toolkit.

Come celebrate all the ways BILL helps businesses build, learn new ways to transform your financial operations, and share best-practices with peers. Plus earn plenty of CPE credits to help fill your quota before the end of the year.

Deal Flow

M&A / Investments

  • A consortium of Paramount Skydance and Gulf SWFs PIF, QIA, and ADIA are preparing a $71B cash-and-stock bid for Warner Bros. Discovery

  • Paint makers AkzoNobel and Axalta Coating Systems agreed to merge in an all-stock deal that would create a $25B global paint giant

  • ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Abu Dhabi's ADNOC are among suitors interested in acquiring global assets from sanctioned Russian oil giant Lukoil for $20B

  • French PE firm Ardian-backed German laboratory services provider GBA Group is exploring a sale at a $1.7B valuation

  • German PE firm Capiton-backed German quantum computing supplier Raith is considering a sale at a $1.2B valuation

  • PE firm Leonard Green agreed to acquire a 60% stake in recreational golf chain Topgolf from Topgolf Callaway Brands at a $1.1B valuation

  • Beer giant AB InBev is in advanced talk to acquire boxed punch maker BeatBox for $700M

  • ING Bank Slaski, the Polish unit of Dutch lender ING Group, agreed to acquire the remaining 55% stake it doesn't already own in Polish asset manager Goldman Sachs TFI from Goldman Sachs Asset Management for $108M

Select VC Deals

  • AI startup Anthropic raised a $15B strategic investment at a $350B valuation from Microsoft and Nvidia

  • Data analytics software platform Databricks is in talks to raise a new round at an over $130B valuation

  • Crypto exchange Kraken raised an $800M round at a $20B valuation led by Jane Street, HSG, Tribe Capital, and others

  • Enterprise banking fintech Ramp raised a $300M round at a $32B valuation led by Lightspeed

  • AI accounting startup Maxima raised a $41M seed and Series A round at a $143M valuation from Redpoint Ventures and Kleiner Perkins

  • Ursa Major, an aerospace and defense company, raised a $100M Series E led by Eclipse

  • Agentio, a startup that connects brands with YouTube creators for sponsored videos, raised a $40M Series B led by Forerunner

  • TMT ID, a Romanian mobile data and identity intelligence company, raised a $39M round from BGF

  • Cloud identity security startup Apono raised a $34M Series B led by USVP

  • AI customer support agent startup GetVocal raised a $26M Series A led by Creandum

  • Nudge Security, a SaaS and AI security governance startup, raised a $22.5M Series A led by Cerberus Ventures

  • Peec AI, a startup helping brands optimize their presence in AI search results, raised a $21M Series A led by Singular

  • Infracost, a platform that brings cost visibility to engineering workflows, raised a $15M Series A led by Pruven Capital

  • Albatross, a Swiss AI company focused on product and content discovery, raised a $12M round led by MMC Ventures

  • Condukt, a next-generation compliance platform for financial services, raised a $10M seed round led by Lightspeed Venture Partners and MMC Ventures

  • Hammerhead AI, a startup building software to optimize power usage for AI workloads, raised a $10M seed round led by Buoyant Ventures

  • Voltrac, a Spanish startup building an autonomous EV tractor, raised an $8M seed round led by Extantia

  • Shipday, a global delivery and logistics platform for SMBs, raised a $7M Series A led by ECP Growth and Ibex Investor

  • Lumia, a startup building smart earrings to measure real-time blood flow, raised a $7M round from J2 Ventures, BonAngels Venture Partners, and angels

Get real-time updates on any startup, VC, or sector. Check out Fundable.

IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Hedge fund tycoon Bill Ackman said Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac IPOs are 'not feasible or desirable' right now

  • Activist hedge fund Elliott built a $1B stake in $64B-listed Canadian gold mining giant Barrick

  • Amazon and Samara Capital-backed Indian food and grocery chain More Retail is preparing for a $300M India IPO

  • Glencore cut its stake in aluminum producer Century Aluminum from 43% to 33% amid a share rally

  • ByteDance-backed Chinese coffee chain Manner Coffee is considering a Hong Kong IPO

  • Uzbekistan is planning a London IPO of its SWF UzNIF as IPO work on its mining unit Navoi has slowed

Debt

  • Elliott agreed to acquire $6.5B of longer-term BNPL loans from Swedish BNPL giant Klarna in a forward-flow agreement 

  • Pharma giant Pfizer sold $6B of bonds to help fund its $10B acquisition of weight-loss startup Metsera

  • China drew a record $120B in orders for its $4.6B euro-denominated bond sale

  • Danish biotech Genmab raised $4.5B in a junk bond and leveraged loan sale in America's biggest M&A leveraged loan deal since April

  • Turkey's state energy company Turkiye Petrolleri plans to raise $4B in Islamic debt 

  • US provided Constellation Energy a $1B loan to restart a Pennsylvania nuclear power plant

  • United Airlines is selling $522M of junk munis to fund projects in Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • A judge overseeing auto parts supplier First Brands' bankruptcy approved an external examiner appointment to investigate claims of potential financial irregularities

  • A bankruptcy judge approved opioid giant Purdue Pharma's Chapter 11 reorganization into a PBC that will require the Sackler family owners to pay $7B to creditors, government, and families, ending six-years of legal battles

Fundraising / Secondaries

  • UK hedge fund Marshall Wace will return $3B to LPs to curb AUM growth 

  • MM PE firm Wind Point Partners is seeking $2.5B for its eleventh flagship fund

  • KKR plans to raise $2B for its second Asia-focused credit fund by December

  • Schonfeld-backed Hong Kong quant hedge fund Y-Intercept raised $1.7B from Blackstone, CPPIB, a Morgan Stanley FOF, and others for its latest fund

  • Power-focused PE firm Rockland Capital raised $1.2B for its fifth flagship fund

  • Central bank Hong Kong Monetary Authority and Saudi's PIF formed a $1B fund to help Hong Kong companies expand into Saudi Arabia

  • Saudi state-backed developer King Salman Park Foundation started a $1B fund targeting urban park investments

  • Secondaries specialist Coller Capital's evergreen PE secondaries fund surpassed $1B AUM

  • UK VC Kester Capital raised $558M for its fourth fund targeting tech and healthcare

  • Asian credit investor Ascertis Credit raised $520M for a targeted $1B fourth private credit fund to back high-growth businesses in India and Southeast Asia

  • Early-stage VC nvp capital raised $80M for its sophomore fund to back seed-stage enterprise software and vertical AI startups

Crypto Sum Snapshot

  • Crypto market shed $1.2T as traders shun speculative assets

  • Bitcoin is now lagging bonds, gold, stocks, and everything else YTD

  • Retail traders get schooled on market timing as new crypto bets sink

  • Morgan Stanley's complex Bitcoin bet drew $100M inflows amid rout

  • Crypto plunge adds to angst as markets extend broad retreat

  • El Salvador boosted Bitcoin holdings by over $100M this week

Crypto Sum compiles the most important stories on everything crypto. Read it here.

Exec’s Picks

  • AI is speeding up fraud. It's also helping Plaid stop it. Plaid's latest release gives you unmatched visibility into fraud patterns – drawing on billions of interactions across 7k+ apps to spot the threats others miss. See smarter fraud detection in action.

  • Harvard Business Review published an interesting article on how AI is reshaping VC.

Upcoming Events⛳️

The Litquidity × NEXUS Capital Cup, November-December, NYC

There are still three spots left for the inaugural Litquidity × NEXUS Capital Cup! Grab your favorite golf buddy to get $250 in DraftKings bet credit and a three-month membership while you compete against NYC's best for a $15k pot of some sick prizes 👀 and a shot at glory.

Or simply show up for the vibes and indulge in free booze, $200 in drinks credits at the finest bars globally, and a night to remember among a curated crowd.

  • Player registration here🏌

  • General admission RSVP here 🍻

Financial Services Recruiting 💼

If you're a junior banker looking for your next career move, check out Litney Partners, a recruiting firm established by Litquidity and Whitney Partners (the oldest purely financial services executive search and consulting firm).

We aim to place strong candidates across private equity, hedge funds, venture capital, growth equity, credit, and investment banking.

We're currently seeking talent for some incredible roles. Head over to Litney Partners to drop your resume / create your profile and we'd love to get in touch!

Meme Cleanser

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☎️ Book a call with Lit: Want to pick Litquidity's brain on business advice, insights, or just chat to say what's up? Buy his time here.

📧 Launch your own newsletter: Have great content ideas and looking to launch your own publication? We highly recommend beehiiv to get started.

*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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