Quarter-Billion Bail

SBF was released on a mere $250M bond, Musk promised not to sell any more Tesla stock for two years, US Q3 GDP was revised up to 3.2% growth, US short-sellers are up $304B YTD, LBO activity is down 40% YoY, global PE dry powder is at $1.96T, YouTube signed a $2B/year deal with NFL's Sunday Ticket, and Florida became the fastest growing state by population in 2022.

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SBF was released on a mere $250M bond, Musk promised not to sell any more Tesla stock for two years, US Q3 GDP was revised up to 3.2% growth, US short-sellers are up $304B YTD, LBO activity is down 40% YoY, global PE dry powder is at $1.96T, YouTube signed a $2B/year deal with NFL's Sunday Ticket, and Florida became the fastest growing state by population in 2022.

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Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 12/22/2022 market close.

Markets

  • US stocks effectively reversed Wednesday's sharp gains as strong economic data suggested the Fed could remain hawkish for longer

  • The pan-European Stoxx 600 slid 1% on the same news

  • The dollar rose against most major peers

Earnings

  • CarMax missed Q3 EPS and revenue estimates on an 86% drop in Q3 profit caused by excess inventory and waning demand; the firm will pause some hiring, halt share buybacks and cut expenses (RT)

  • Full calendarĀ here

Headline Roundup

  • US Q3 GDP growth was revised higher to 3.2% (WSJ)

  • US continuing unemployment claims remain lower than same-time 2019 levels (RT)

  • US short sellers are up ~$304B YTD, a 4x increase since their last profitable year in 2018 (RT)

  • Global PE dry powder is at $1.96T (S&P)

  • LBO activity is down 40% YoY (RT)Ā 

  • Eurozone governments will have to sell $424B of additional debt in 2023 (RT)

  • New York and London banker bonuses may be up to 50% lower (RT)

  • Russia will likely buy yuan on FX market in 2023 (RT)

  • YouTube signed a seven year $2B/year deal to offer NFL's Sunday Ticket (CNBC)

  • TikTok is offering US government concessions to allow it to remain under Chinese ownership (RT)

  • Musk will not sell any more Tesla stock for two years (RT)

  • EU ruled Airbnb must provide rental info to tax authorities (RT)

  • Florida became the fastest-growing state by population in 2022 (AX)

  • US life expectancy fell again in 2021 amid pandemic and opioid woes (AX)

  • Guggenheim Partners CIO Scott Minerd died at 63 (RT)

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Deal Flow

M&A / Investments

  • Propane company Superior Plus agreed to buy green energy supplier Certarus in a $626.2M deal (RT)

  • EQT is exploring strategic options, including a potential sale, for its stake in prosthesis firm Ottobock (BBG)

  • European lottery operator Allwyn agreed to buy the US-based Camelot Lottery Solutions group of companies, which operate the Illinois Lottery (RT)

  • NigeriaĀ plans to sell five electricity generation companies in Q1 2023 to help fund next yearā€™s budget (BBG)

VC

  • Event technology startup Events.com raised $100M in financing from GEM (PRN)

  • Energy Dome, a startup building a CO2 battery, received an $18.55M investment from the European Innovation Council (BW)

  • Automotus, an automated curb management platform, raised a $9M seed round led by CityRockĀ VentureĀ Partners, QuakeĀ Capital, BridgeĀ Investments, and others (TC)

  • Qualytics, a data quality platform for enterprises, raised a $2.5M round led byĀ TechSquareVenturesĀ (PRN)

IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • CI Financial started the process for the IPO of its $134B AUM US wealth-management unit (BBG)

  • South Korean energy companyĀ SK E&SĀ plans to issue new redeemable convertible preferred shares "RCPS" worth $576M throughĀ KKRĀ (RT)

  • Antara CapitalĀ will invest $110M in preferredĀ AMC EntertainmentĀ stock and exchange $100M in debt for ~91M APE units; AMC also proposed a reverse stock split (RT)

SPAC

  • Cryptocurrency exchange Bullish and Far Peak Acquisition Corp. called off their planned $9B merger (BBG)

Debt

  • Japan Industrial Partners, the preferred bidder to buy out Japanese conglomerate Toshiba, is expected to sign a $10.6B loan agreement with lenders this week (RT)

  • Goldman Sachs is in talks with investors to sell ~$4B of subordinated debt used to back the buyout of Citrix Systems (BBG)

Bankruptcy / Restructuring

  • US bitcoin miner Core Scientific was approved for a $37.5M loan from existing creditors to fund its chapter 11 case (RT)

Fundraising

  • P101, an Italy-based VC firm focused on early-stage digital and tech-driven companies,Ā  closed its new fund Programma, 103 at $159M (SC)

  • Canada-based PE managerĀ BTG CapitalĀ closed its inaugural BTG Energy Infrastructures Partners LP Fund I at $54.6M (MMG)

Crypto Corner

  • SBF was released on a $250M bond, the largest ever financial crime bond, secured by SBF's parents home (AX)

  • SEC is heightening scrutiny of auditors' crypto work (WSJ)

  • North Korea has hacked $1.2B in crypto and other assets for its economy (NPR)

  • Brazil's president signed a bill aimed at legalizing the use of crypto as a payment method (CT)

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  • Coinbase's CEO Armstrong published a blog post on how crypto regulation should move forward here.

  • Austin Rief joined My First Million's Sam Parr and Shaan Puri to talk about all things newsletters, side hustles, and more earlier this week. Check out their convo here.

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