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Jensen Played the Long Game

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Good Morning,

Australia banned social media for youth under 16, Amazon developed its own video AI model, Citigroup is beefing with FT on LinkedIn, and Jensen Huang once turned down a TSMC CEO role within ten minutes.

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Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 11/29/2024 market close.

Markets

  • US stocks rose to end the holiday-shortened trading week higher

    • S&P and Dow notched new ATHs 

    • S&P and Dow notched their best months YTD

    • Small caps Russell 2000 gained 10% last month

  • Canada's TSX index posted a new ATH

  • US 10Y yield slid to the lowest level since October

    • 2Y-10Y yield curve re-inverted

  • Chinese 30Y yields fell to 2.21%, below Japan's for the first time ever

  • France-Germany 10Y spread rose to 0.9% to its highest since the eurozone crisis on threat of France parliament's collapse

  • Arabica coffee futures are trading near ATHs after their biggest monthly jump in over a decade

  • Euro had it worst month since early 2022, teasing parity with the dollar

Earnings

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Tuesday: Salesforce 

    • Wednesday: Dollar Tree, RBC

    • Thursday: lululemon, TD Bank Group, Dollar General, Kroger

  • Full calendar here

Headline Roundup

  • Australia banned social media for teens under 16 (AP

  • Fed-favorite PCE index rose 2.3% YoY (CNBC)

  • Eurozone inflation ticked up to 2.3% YoY (CNBC)

  • Canada GDP grew 1% in Q3 (RT)

  • Equity funds saw inflows for a ninth-straight week (RT)

  • PBOC injected $111B of liquidity as bond supply surges (BBG)

  • Stocks versus bonds dilemma hits EM investors as Trump returns (BBG)

  • Trump demanded commitment from BRICS to stay on dollar (BBG)

  • UK M&A activity sweeps market with $6.7B of deals last week (FT)

  • Pharma M&A fell to the lowest level in almost a decade (FT)

  • BoE warned of risks from non-banks in future crises (FT)

  • Traders expect summer gas prices to be higher than winter (FT)

  • UBS is searching for its next chairman (RT)

  • Private bank Lombard Odier was indicted for money laundering (CNBC)

  • JPMorgan dropped its lawsuit against Tesla over stock warrants (RT)

  • Amazon developed its own video AI model (TI)

  • TSMC's founder once offered CEO job to Jensen Huang (RT)

  • Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares resigned (CNBC)

  • Number of CFA candidates has declined sharply (FT)

  • Citigroup is beefing with Financial Times on LinkedIn (LI)

  • Biden pardoned his son Hunter Biden (BBG)

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Deal Flow

M&A / Investments

  • BlackRock is nearing a deal to buy private credit giant HPS for over $12B

  • A consortium of Starwood Capital, Warburg Pincus, QIA, and management aim to finalize a take-private deal of Hong Kong-listed real estate fund manager ESR at an over $7B valuation 

  • Brookfield dropped a $6.8B bid for Spanish pharma giant Grifols

  • Blackstone-backed Indian hospital chain Quality Care India agreed to combine with peer Aster DM Healthcare in a $5B stock deal, including debt

  • UK's Direct Line Insurance rejected a $4.2B takeover approach from peer Aviva

  • Northern Star Resources agreed to buy Australian gold miner De Grey Mining in a $3.3B stock deal

  • Apollo-backed Canadian auto parts maker ABC Technologies agreed to buy UK's TI Fluid Systems for ~$1.3B cash

  • Global Payments is weighing divestitures of its payroll and Active Network units, which it acquired for $1.2B in 2017

  • Dutch PE firm Parcom Capital Management is considering a $1.1B sale of meat supplier Group of Butchers

  • China's Huaxin Cement will acquire Swiss building materials company Holcim's Nigerian business at a $1B valuation

  • Macquarie offered to acquire UK-listed waste management firm Renewi for $887M

  • Mitsubishi UFJ is seeking to acquire Japanese robo-adviser WealthNavi for up to $665M cash

  • PE firms FountainVest Partners and Unison Capital acquired Japanese jeweler Tasaki from MBK Partners for $660M

  • Germany's Heidelberg Materials agreed to buy US cement producer Giant Cement for $600M

  • TPG is in advanced talks to buy a controlling stake in Asian floricultural business Hasfarm from holders including Lombard Investments at a $500M valuation

  • Airline Air France-KLM is in talks to buy an up to 20% stake in Air Europa for ~$105M

  • Saudi-backed LIV Golf is considering a potential tie-up with Europe's DP World Tour 

VC

  • SoftBank is seeking to acquire $1.5B in OpenAI secondary shares

  • UK digital savings and mortgage platform Tembo raised an $18.1M Series B led by Goodwater Capital

  • ​​SatVu, a UK-based climate tech startup, raised $12.8M in funding led by Adara Ventures and Molten Ventures

  • EV fleet management platform Flipturn raised an $11M Series A led by 

  • Pathway, a startup building live AI systems, raised a $10M seed round led by TQ Ventures

IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Delivery Hero upsized the IPO of its Mideast unit Talabat to $2B in what could be the UAE's largest listing this year

  • The Philippines' biggest fintech GCash is weighing a $1B-$1.5B listing in what could be the country's largest IPO ever

  • Chinese autonomous driving startup Pony AI fell 8% in its trading debut after its $413M IPO and private placement

  • Norway's Orkla is considering a $400M Mumbai IPO of its Indian business, which focuses on food products and condiments

  • Saudi cosmetics retailer Nice One Beauty is planning a $322M local IPO

  • Dubai-listed Amanat Holdings plans to list its education business in Riyadh in a $300M IPO

  • Aston Martin raised $140M in equity in its sixth capital raise since 2020 

  • Citigroup is close to spinning off its Mexican consumer bank Banamex

  • Global logistics giant GLP is considering a Hong Kong IPO 

  • German car parts maker MAHLE is considering an India IPO of its Indian unit

  • Swedish investment firm Nalka Invest is preparing a potential IPO of European medical unit Asker Healthcare

Debt

  • Chinese property giant unit Dalian Wanda Commercial Management is seeking to raise $6.9B-$12.4B to pay taxes and debt via a fund backed by over 50 malls 

  • Bain-owned data center operator Chindata is in talks for a record $2.8B loan 

  • Veritas Capital is looking to reduce its stake in a $1.8B private credit loan that backed Thoma Bravo's LBO of software firm Medallia 

  • Deutsche Bank sold a $1B US CRE portfolio 

  • Blackstone acquired interests in a $1B infrastructure loan portfolio from Santander

  • Japanese tech conglomerate Rakuten plans to raise $500M in a dollar bond sale

  • Investment firm Pantheon acquired $460M in private credit stakes from tech investor Vista's credit fund

  • Asian investment firm PAG secured a $375M buyout loan from four banks for its planned acquisition of Indian packaging firm Manjushree Technopack

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • Citadel, PIMCO, and Western Asset are among firms set to own stakes in Spirit Airlines after its restructuring in bankruptcy

  • Liquidators of property developer China Evergrande filed a winding-up petition against unit Tianji Holding

  • The US unit of alcohol maker Stoli filed for Chapter 11 

Fundraising

  • Carlyle-backed UK life sciences investor Abingsworth launched a $1.5B clinical trials fund

Crypto Corner

  • Crypto's $1T rally has yet to reprise Covid-era mania (BBG)

  • Crypto boom still has retail investors 'sitting on sidelines' (PYM)

Exec’s Picks

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We aim to place strong candidates across private equity, hedge funds, venture capital, growth equity, credit, and investment banking.

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