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Inflation and Mortgage Rates are Bussin'

Netflix is charging $6.99 for a new ad-supported plan, inflation rose 0.4% MoM (0.6% MoM for core), 30-year mortgage rates hit a 20-year high at 6.92%, social security payments will have biggest jump in 40 years, VC firms are buying tech stocks, Apple is partnering with Goldman to offer a savings account, and Merkel has 'no ragrets' about energy policy with Russia. Pretty wild turn of events with the market opening sharply down, only to rebound on *checks notes* not so great economic news and closing sharply up!

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Happy Friday,

Netflix is charging $6.99 for a new ad-supported plan, inflation rose 0.4% MoM (0.6% MoM for core), 30-year mortgage rates hit a 20-year high at 6.92%, social security payments will have biggest jump in 40 years, VC firms are buying tech stocks, Apple is partnering with Goldman to offer a savings account, and Merkel has 'no ragrets' about energy policy with Russia. Pretty wild turn of events with the market opening sharply down, only to rebound on *checks notes* not so great economic news and closing sharply up!

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Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 10/13/2022 market close.

If you want to learn more about crypto trading strategies and the world of DeFi, check out our Foot Guns newsletter.

Markets

  • Major US averages surged 2%+ in a dramatic reversal off the morning lows, despite hotter-than-expected inflation data (see chart below)

    • All 11 S&P 500 sectors rose, with financials climbing over 4% ahead of major bank earnings today

  • The pan-European Stoxx 600 rose 0.9%, while Canada's TSX fell to March 2021 lows

  • UK pound jumped on reports that UK may reverse parts of its tax-cut proposals

Via Wall Street Journal

Earnings

  • Delta Air Lines posted record revenue to match Q3 expectations and expects strong demand to hold in Q4; their stock jumped 4% yesterday (YH)

  • BlackRock reported a 16% drop in adjustedĀ profits with AUM also falling 16% YoY to under $8T; they nonetheless beat Q3 expectations on strong ETF demand causing shares to rise 6%+ (YH)

  • Taiwan Semiconductor beat Q3 profit and revenue estimates with revenue up 43% YoY, but plans to cut capital expenditures by 10% for 2022; their stock closed ~4% higher (BRN)

  • What we're watching this week:

    • Today: JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup

  • Full calendar here

Headline Roundup

  • US inflation rose 0.4% in September and is up 8.2% YoY (AX)

  • Rates on 30-year fixed mortgages hit 20-year high at 6.92%: NAR (BBG)

  • Weekly jobless claims rose modestly to 228k last week from 219k the week prior (WSJ)

  • Social Security payments will increase 8.7% in 2023 in biggest jump in 40 years (AX)

  • FCC plans to ban all sales of new Huawei and ZTE telecom devices in the US (AX)

  • VC firms are buying up battered public tech stocks as start-up market stalls (WSJ)

  • EU and US governments are eye level playing field for EU EVs in US market (RT)

  • New Zealand plans to tax emissions from livestock burps and dung (CNBC)

  • Apple is partnering with Goldman Sachs to offer an interest-bearing savings account (CNBC)

  • Netflix will charge $6.99/month for a new ad-supported plan starting Nov. 3 in the US (CNBC)

  • Big tech's hiring freeze is unlocking a rich talent pool for US startups (RT)

  • IKEA reported record annual sales despite supply-chain disruptions and high inflation (WSJ)

  • Jan. 6 committee unanimously voted to subpoena Trump (RT)

  • A Russian official warned of WWIII if Ukraine joins NATO (RT)

  • Germany's Angela Merkel has no regrets on energy policy with Russia (RT)

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Deal Flow

M&A / Investments

  • US grocer Kroger is in talks to potentially merge with rival Albertsons in a ~$25B cash-and-stock deal (BBG)

  • Volkswagen's software unit Cariad will invest over $2B and take a 60% stake in a JV with Chinese technology firm Horizon Robotics (RT)

  • Indian conglomerate Reliance Industries is in advanced talks to buy German general store company Metro AGā€™s wholesale operations in India in a potential $1-$1.2B deal (BBG)

  • Oilfield services company Schlumberger is exploring a sale of part of its US valves business that could be worth $800M+ (BBG)

  • PE firm Longreach is considering a sale of its majority stake in medical device maker Quasar at a potential $300-$400M valuation (BBG)

  • Playstudios, a maker of free-to-play casino-oriented video games, agreed to buy Spider Solitaire maker Brainium for $70MĀ (BBG)

  • Sneaker marketplace Goat agreed to buy streetwear-resale site Grailed (BBG)

  • Polandā€™sĀ Ruling Party leader has revealed a plan to buy Zabka Polska, the countryā€™s biggest grocery chain (BBG)

VC

  • Odyssey Therapeutics, a biotech company focussed on immunomodulators and oncology medicines, raised a $168M Series B led by General Catalyst (PRN)

  • Uniswap Labs, the parent firm of decentralized trading platform Uniswap, raised a $165M Series B at a $1.66B valuation led by Polychain Capital (TC)

  • NorthOne, a digital bank focused on SMBs, raised a $67M Series B led by Battery Ventures, DonĀ Griffith, DrewĀ Brees, and othersĀ (TC)

  • GoHenry, a fintech firm providing services for kids, raised a $55M round from EdisonĀ Partners, Revaia, and Nexi (TC)

  • Astra, a startup providing instant card-to-card funding, raised $40M: a $10M Series A led by FPV Ventures and $30M line of credit from CoVenture (BW)

  • Katana, an enterprise resource planning (ā€œERPā€) platform for SMB manufacturers, raised a $34M Series B led by Northzone (BW)

  • Northstar, a startup partnering with employers to offer financial advisory services for their employees, raised a $24.4M round led by GGV Capital (TC)

  • SecuriThings, a platform allowing users to manage a collection of security IoT devices, raised a $21M Series B led by U.S. Venture Partners (TC)

  • Zen Educate, an online marketplace matching schools with teachers, raised a $21M Series A extension from Brighteye Ventures, Adjuvo, Ascension Ventures, and angels (TC)

  • VUZ, a social app allowing users to stream and experience immersive realism, raised a $20M Series B led by Caruso Ventures, Vision VC Fund, e& capital, and more (TC)

  • Pet services startup GoDog received a $20M investment from Level 5 Capital Partners (PRN)

  • Crypto investing platform Pillow raised an $18M Series A led by Accel and QuonaĀ Capital (TC)

  • Assiduus Global, a cross-border and cross-marketplace e-commerce accelerator, raised a $15M Series A led by Pulsar Capital, 9Unicorn, and more (PRN)

  • D2C Chinese food brand Xiao Chi Jie raised a $10M Series A led by Imaginary Ventures (PRN)

  • Analytics operating system Redbird raised a $7.6M seed round led by BĀ Capital (TC)

  • Kenyan home furniture startup MoKo raised a $6.5M debt / equity round led by Talanton and AlphaMundi Group (TC)

  • TaTiO, a startup helping under-staffed companies access Americaā€™s workforce, raised a $5.3M seed round led by Mensch Capital Partners and Cresson Management (PRN)

  • GreenPlaces, a sustainability reporting platform, raised a $4M seed round led by Felicis (PRN)

  • In-product research platform Ribbon raised a $3M seed round led by Octopus Ventures (PRN)

IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • ICT firm Perfect Presentation is expected to seek an up to $1B valuation in a Saudi IPO next month (BBG)

  • Korean game developer Lionheart Studios withdrew its $400M+ IPO plans amid market volatility (BBG)

SPAC

  • Regenerative products manufacturer Direct Biologics agreed to merge with Good Works II Acquisition Corp. in a $1B deal (RT)

  • India-based car-sharing platform Zoomcar agreed to merge with Innovative International Acquisition Corp. in a $465M deal (BBG)

  • Conx Corp. is in preliminary talks to merge with Dish Networkā€™s retail wireless business, Boost Mobile (BBG)

Fundraising

  • Veritas Capital raisedĀ $10.65B for their Fund VIII and will continue to focus on companies operating at the intersection of technology and government (BW)

  • London-based PE firm Lightrock raised an $834M new fund focused on climate tech (TC)

  • Coatue, under pressure from late-stage bets, is raising $500M for its third fund to invest in early-stage startups (TI)

  • Minority-owned VC firm Next Play Capital raised $200M for its third flagship fund to invest in a diverse range of high-level funds and venture-backed companies (BW)

  • Paris-based VC fund Resonance raised $150M with 100% backing from Otium Capital to make seed and Series A investments in tech (TC)

Crypto Corner

  • Crypto exchange Crypto.com will invest ~$145M for a European HQ in Paris (RT)

  • World's largest stablecoin Tether eliminated commercial paper from its reserves and replaced those investments with US Treasuries (RT)

  • Crypto trading firm NYDIG laid of ~33% of staff (CD)

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The Hiring Block šŸ’¼

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