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Good Morning,

Qatalyst Partners led the biggest tech M&A deal in history, Goldman banned bankers and traders from using Claude Code, Anthropic committed to $900B in spending, McDonald's will face a lawsuit over McRib meat, and the faltering AI trade is facing its biggest challenge yet with consequential midterm elections taking place today.

Today's letter is brought to you by F2, the agentic operating system for global credit. Firms on F2 run frontier models on their most sensitive deal work with zero data retention and no model training. See for yourself. Try a demo.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 11/2/2026 market close.

Powered by Model ML, the agentic operating system for financial services, banking, consulting, PE, and asset management

Learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot*

Markets

  • US stock indexes fell further yesterday as investors continued to rotate out of tech following a massive AI trade reversal

  • China's tech-heavy Star 50 index rose 3% on expectations of government stimulus

  • Hedge funds boosted natural gas short positions to the most ever 

  • Global investors slashed dollar hedging to the lowest since 2014 on expectations of Fed rate hike

Earnings

  • Apple beat Q4 earnings and revenue estimates as strong iPhone and Mac sales combined with 'reluctant' price hikes led to another record quarter to cap its best fiscal year ever (CNBC)

  • Palantir beat Q3 earnings and revenue estimates with US commercial revenue topping government for the first time on soaring business adoption of its AI tools (CNBC)

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Today: AMD, Supermicro, Apollo, Shopify

    • Wednesday: Qualcomm, Uber, Novo, McDonald's, CAVA, CVS

    • Thursday: Iren, Airbnb

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

  • The most momentous midterms in recent history (as they say every time). This is your reminder to get out and vote and more importantly, to hedge your vote on Polymarket so you come out on top either way lmao 🇺🇸

  • Sign up to trade on the Polymarket US app with code LIT and they'll send you a $25 bonus

Headline Roundup

  • Goldman banned bankers and traders from using Claude Code (BBG)

  • S&P 500's perfect midterm record faces test in 2026 (FT)

  • Wall Street eyes biggest Treasury sales overhaul in years (BBG)

  • Tech earnings make collapsing AI enthusiasm worse (BBG)

  • Investors trim growth bets over fears of US economy's AI exposure (FT)

  • Blackstone president expects more global equity fundraising for AI (RT)

  • Goldman CEO sees potential "bumps" in tech supercycle (BBG)

  • Chinese official says global investment in AI is "overly concentrated" (RT)

  • Multi-strat giants crowd into same trades, raising odds of a rout (BBG)

  • PE's take-it-or-leave-it continuation deals frustrate investors (WSJ)

  • Euronext joins push for integrated Nordic capital markets (BBG)

  • Qatalyst wins record $115B mandate in rare buyside role (BBG)

  • Anthropic commits to $900B in spending as mega-IPO nears (BBG)

  • Anthropic braces for election impact as AI debate rages (BBG)

  • OpenAI hired ex-army secretary Dan Driscoll for national security role (RT)

  • Weil will join crowded field of defunct law firms (RT)

  • Disney is planning thousands of layoffs (BBG)

  • Court says McDonald's must face lawsuit over McRib meat (RT)

  • European grocery store freezers overheat after hacks (FT)

  • Big majority of US voters disapprove of Trump's handling of inflation (FT)

A Message from F2

Your firm's knowledge is its most durable advantage. Keep it that way as the models change.

Every lender now runs frontier models on CIMs, credit agreements, and IC memos, which raises the question of where that work goes once it leaves the building. F2 was built so it never does:

  • Zero data retention: nothing is stored beyond what your firm needs

  • No model training: your deal files never train a model

  • Model-agnostic: the latest leading models, all under the same controls

  • Fully auditable: every claim traced to a source cell, formula, or page

SOC 2 Type II and GDPR compliant. "We partnered with F2 because it recognizes that our proprietary knowledge is our most durable competitive advantage and should remain under our control, even as the underlying models evolve," says David Golub, Co-CEO of Golub Capital

Deal Flow

M&A / Strategic

  • Chip maker Marvell Technology agreed to acquire optical components maker Lumentum in a record $115B all-stock deal, including debt, at a 24% premium

  • Italian lender Intesa Sanpaolo will launch its $37B takeover bid for rival BMPS this month

  • A consortium of Blackstone and Maple 8 pensions agreed to acquire a 49.9% stake in LNG Canada's liquefaction business from Japan's Mitsubishi Corp. for $3.1B

  • TWG Global, the under-investigation financial holding company of Mark Walter, is exploring selling his controlling stake in Cadillac Formula 1 Team at a $3B valuation

  • Aussie real estate developer AVID matched PE firm Warburg Pincus' sweetened $1.6B billion bid for Australian developer Ingenia

  • UK-based Ennogen Healthcare International will acquire the European rights and IP to menopause health ‌product Ovestin from South Africa's Aspen Pharmacare for $220M

  • Communications company Public ​Policy Holding will buy strategic communications firm Reevemark for $80M

  • SpaceX is in talks to buy EchoStar's wireless service Boost Mobile or use its network

VC

  • SignSplit, a startup enabling people and institutions to protect, license and contribute their data, work and likeness, raised a $400M strategic seed round at a $1B valuation from W Group

  • Northwood Space, the satellite ground-station startup of Disney star Bridgit Mendler, raised a $375M Series C at a $2B valuation led by a16z and DFJ Growth

  • Tutor Intelligence, a robotics startup, raised a $75M Series B led by a16z

  • 42AI, an Israeli startup developing a behavioral world model that predicts human behavior, raised a $62.5M seed round from founders and Infinity Group

  • Specific Biologics, a biotech pioneering precision gene-editing therapies, raised a $35M Series A led by Hatteras Venture Partners

  • nPhase, an AI-native clinical data platform, raised a $30M Series D led by Viking Global Investors

  • Larridin, an AI measurement platform startup, raised a $30M Series A led by Pelion Ventures 

  • Clark, an AI audit and assurance startup, raised an $11M seed round led by Touring Capital 

  • Bullshot, a meme token and AI launch platform, raised a $7.7M funding round co-led by P2 Ventures and Animoca Brands

Access the complete VC deal flow and data on Fundable

IPOs / Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Oracle is seeking to raise $10B in a share sale

  • Investors are pushing Anthropic to IPO at a more conservative $1.5T valuation

  • Anthropic aims to raise $3.5B from the Japanese portion of its record $100B IPO

  • Trump family-linked tungsten miner Kazakh Kaz Resources plans to list in the US at a $2B valuation

  • South Eastern Coalfields, a unit of state-run Coal India, filed for a potential $800M India IPO

  • German auto parts supplier Mahle is exploring a $400M India IPO of its India business

  • German pharma supplier Schott Pharma is exploring a $400M India IPO of its India business 

  • O&G producer Crescent Energy confidentially filed for an IPO of its Crescent Royalties subsidiary

SPAC / SPV

  • Tokenization firm tZERO plans to merge with FG Imperii Acquisition Corp. at a $350M valuation

Debt

  • Meta is eying a $20B cross-border bond sale

  • Oracle is eyeing a $10B bond sale

  • Apollo provided $9.6B of debt financing to support Thrive Holdings' $15.3B acquisition of home security provider ADT 

  • Alphabet raised $6.7B in its second euro bond sale this year

  • Romania raised $5B in the new government's first bond sale

  • Vista Equity-backed Cloud Software Group is selling $2B of junk notes to refinance debt due in 2029

  • US lent $450M to aerospace and defense tech firm Neros Technologies and also took an ownership stake 

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • $6B-listed French train maker Alstom may be forced to sell assets to shore up liquidity as it struggles to deliver on German train orders

  • Cerca Trova Restaurant Group, once the biggest franchisee of Outback Steakhouse, filed for bankruptcy citing California's minimum wage law with plans to sell its assets to Outback's brand owner Bloomin' Brands for $26M

  • Cancer drugmaker Karyopharm Therapeutics filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in a bid to sell itself and reorganize

Funds / Secondaries

  • Apollo launched an $11B Europe private credit platform backed by Abu Dhabi SWF ADIC

  • Millennium pulled $1.5B of leveraged cash from event-driven hedge fund Troluce Capital Advisors and credit hedge fund Axebrook Capital due to losses 

  • AE Industrial Partners raised an $850M CV for defense components distribution platform Blue Raven led by Lexington Partners

  • Swedish VC Creandum raised $750M for its eighth fund to back pre-seed to Series A tech startups

  • Blue Owl Capital is nearing a first close of its debut credit secondaries fund

Crypto Sum Snapshot

  • North Korea has stolen $12.8B in crypto since 2017, equivalent to 45% of its GDP

  • North Korea denied links to $6.3B Binance hack

  • Binance users pull $5B following historic heist

  • Brazil's largest crypto exchange Mercado Bitcoin was hacked for over $40M

Crypto Sum compiles the most important stories on everything crypto. Read it here.

Lit's Picks

  • Your next CDD doesn't need a $500,000 invoice. DiligenceSquared replaces the junior consulting team with AI agents, not the senior judgment: ex-MBB consultants lead every case, AI handles the research and analysis. 1-2 weeks, a fraction of the cost. Book a demo →

  • Came across some incredible data on of the controversial (??) topics out there. Worth saving for when the topic comes up at the dinner table.

  • Also, check out Bloomberg's data on US inflation. Way more interesting than going through government sources and you might find some noteworthy insights.

Financial Services Recruiting 💼

If you're a junior banker looking for your next career move, check out Litney Partners, a recruiting firm established by Litquidity and Whitney Partners (the oldest purely financial services executive search and consulting firm).

We aim to place strong candidates across private equity, hedge funds, venture capital, growth equity, credit, and investment banking.

We're currently seeking talent for some incredible roles. Head over to Litney Partners to drop your resume / create your profile and we'd love to get in touch!

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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