Mergers & Accusations

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Good Morning,

PE made a splash into NFL, hedge fund launches are at a 24-year low, commodity traders are set for the worst year since 2019, a court struck down a DEI rule for Nasdaq firms, and Albertsons sued Kroger for billions after terminating their blockbuster merger.

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Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 12/11/2024 market close.

Markets

  • US stocks jumped yesterday as inflation data solidified expectations for a Fed rate cut

    • Nasdaq closed above 20,000 for the first time in a new ATH

    • Traders fully priced in a 25 bps rate cut next week

  • Japan's Nikkei 225 hit a two-month high

  • Gold rose for a fourth-straight day

    • Gold is on pace for its biggest annual gain in 45 years 

Earnings

  • Adobe fell 9% despite beating Q4 earnings estimates as disappointing FY revenue guidance stoked fears of emerging AI competition (BBG

  • Macy's met Q3 EPS and revenue estimates but lowered Q4 profit guidance after concluding its investigation into an employee hiding $151M of expenses; the firm remains under pressure from activist investors (WSJ)

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Today: Costco, Broadcom

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

As of 12/11/2024.

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Headline Roundup

  • US CPI rose 2.7% by the most in seven months (CNBC)

  • BoC cut rates by 50 bps again to 3.25% (RT)

  • Australia unemployment dropped to a surprise 8-month low (RT)

  • Argentina inflation hit a four-year low (RT)

  • Appeals court tossed out DEI rules for Nasdaq-listed firms (WSJ)

  • New hedge fund launches are set to hit a 24-year low (BBG)

  • Commodity traders are set for the worst year since 2019 (BBG)

  • Lazard expects dealmaking surge to be boosted by PE (RT)

  • Dealmakers see return of more and bigger megadeals in 2025 (RT)

  • 80% of US junk bond sales were for refinancing (BBG)

  • Citigroup urges investors to look past S&P 500 for 2025 gains (BBG)

  • Hong Kong M&A hit a seven-year high at $38B (BBG)

  • BoE plans tougher liquidity rules for insurers (FT)

  • BlackRock's private markets push not over despite 2024 buyout spree (RT)

  • BlackRock opened up private assets to rich Europeans and beyond (FT)

  • Congress plans to force health insurers to sell off pharmacies (WSJ)

  • HSBC and IFC launched a $1B EM trade finance program (RT)

  • OPEC made its biggest cut to oil demand forecasts yet (BBG)

  • BofA named 387 to MD, a 16% increase (RT)

  • Albertsons sued Kroger for billions amid failed $25B merger (CNBC)

  • Nvidia stepped up China hiring to focus on AI-driven cars (BBG)

  • Coca-Cola named a new COO after a two-year vacancy (BBG)

  • EU raided Adidas HQ for a second-straight day (FT)

  • Musk's net worth topped $400B in a historic first (BBG)

  • TPG founder and PE pioneer David Bonderman passed away (BBG)

  • Apple added ChatGPT to iPhones (CNBC)

  • Exxon plans to power data centers (NYT)

  • Auction house Sotheby’s will lay off 6% of staff (WSJ)

  • Health execs reckon with patient outrage after CEO killing (RT)

  • Two star luxury real estate brokers were charged with sex trafficking (FT)

  • Meta donated $1M to Trump's inaugural fund (WSJ)

  • Bill Belichick will join UNC has head coach (WSJ)

  • Hamas conceded to two key Israel demands (WSJ)

  • Saudi Arabia will host the 2024 World Cup (BBG)

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Deal Flow

M&A / Investments

  • $36B-listed chocolate maker Hershey rejected a preliminary takeover offer from snacks maker Mondelez

  • Amkor chairman Susan Kim and Ed Peskowitz's children Zack Peskowitz and Olivia Suter will acquire an 8% stake in NFL's Philadelphia Eagles at an $8.3B valuation

  • Ares will acquire a 10% stake in the NFL's Miami Dolphins

  • Arctos Partners will acquire a 10% stake in the NFL's Buffalo Bills

  • Malaysian wireless carrier Axiata and Indonesian conglomerate Sinar Mas agreed to merge their Indonesian telecom operations in a $6.5B cash and stock deal

  • Bain Capital increased its offer for Japanese software maker Fuji Soft to $4.3B, extending a bidding war with KKR

  • PE firm Patient Square Capital agreed to take private dental and veterinary company Patterson Companies for $4.1B, including debt 

  • CEO Sumant Sinha, Abu Dhabi's Masdar, Canada's CPP, and ADIA-subsidiary Platinum Hawk are looking to take India's $2.8B-listed ReNew Energy Global private 

  • Saudi conglomerate Zahid Group offered to acquire South African equipment maker Barloworld at a $1.3B valuation

  • PE firm Triton Partners is nearing a deal to acquire some of German engineering firm Bosch's security systems operations at a $735M valuation

  • $423M-listed supply chain software firm Logility is exploring a sale

  • Hermes-linked family office Krefeld Invest is in talks to acquire a 70% stake in French insurer Albingia for $303M 

  • South Korean conglomerate SK Group is considering a sale of its 65% stake in $300M-listed Vietnamese pharma firm Imexpharm

  • Bain Capital invested $157M in Indonesia's Mayapada Healthcare Group

  • Indian conglomerate Jubilant Bhartia Group will acquire a 40% stake in Coca-Cola's Indian bottling unit Hindustan Coca-Cola Holdings

VC

  • Ayar Labs, an optical interconnects for large scale AI workloads, raised a $155M Series D led by Advent Global Opportunities and Light Street Capital

  • Players Health, an athlete safety and sports insurance solutions, raised a $60M Series C led by Bluestone Equity Partners

  • Flare, a threat exposure management startup, raised a $30M Series B led by Base10 Partners

  • IT site reliability startup NueBird raised a $22.5M seed extension led by M12

  • Albert Invent, an AI platform for the chemicals sector, raised a $22.5M Series A led by Coatue

  • Electrified Thermal Solutions, a startup helping industrial firms replace natural gas with bricks, raised a $19M pre-Series A from Clean Energy Ventures, EDP Ventures, and more

  • Stigg, a startup helping companies model pricing data, raised a $17.5M Series A led by Red Dot Capital Partners

  • RapidCanvas, an AI agents company, raised $16M in funding led by Peak XV

  • Reveal Technology, a 'decision dominance' tools for DOD, raised an $11.2M Series A led by Next Frontier Capital

  • KAST, a stablecoin-powered neobank, raised a $10M seed round led by Peak XV and HongShan

  • Wafeq, a UAE accounting platform, raised a $7.5M Series A led by 9900 Capital

  • Omni HR, an Asia-focused employee management platform, raised a $7.4M round led by Picus Capital

  • SkySQL, a startup bringing conversational AI to databases, raised a $6.6M seed round from Eniac Ventures, Good Capital, and WTI

IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Cinven and Bain-backed drugmaker Stada Arzneimittel is seeking to raise over $1.6B in a German IPO

  • Home services software firm ServiceTitan raised its IPO price again to raise $625M at a $6.3B valuation

Debt

  • Kroger will buy back $4.7B of debt issued to help fund its terminated $24.6B acquisition of Albertsons

  • Spanish drugmaker Grifols raised $1.4B in a private debt placement

  • Deutsche Bank plans to sell a SRT linked to a $2.1B portfolio of German mid-cap loans

  • UAE fintech Astra Tech raised $500M in ABS financing from Citigroup 

  • Utah's Deer Valley Resort is looking to raise $300M in high-yield munis

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • A US bankruptcy court rejected satire website The Onion's deal to buy Alex Jones' conspiracy website Infowars

  • UK fintech Stenn collapsed into administration amid Russia money laundering case 

  • Hong Kong gym chain Physical Health Centre received a liquidation petition

Crypto Corner

  • Bankers are cautious on crypto despite expected regulatory easing (RT)

  • a16z Crypto policy lead Quintenz is in running for CFTC chair (BBG)

  • Binance partnered with Circle to expand USDC-denominated offerings (BBG)

  • SOCTUS rejected Nvidia's appeal to avoid lawsuit tied to crypto mining (RT)

Exec’s Picks

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