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May the Salesforce Be with You

Salesforce beat earnings after activist investor pressure, US high-yield corporate bond performance declined in February, fewer US firms see China as an investment priority, Senate overturned a federal rule on ESG investments, Vanguard closed its UK financial advice arm, Eli Lilly is slashing insulin prices, and Litquidity just dropped it's 2023 sell-side compensation report (more info below).

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Good Morning,

Salesforce beat earnings after activist investor pressure, US high-yield corporate bond performance declined in February, fewer US firms see China as an investment priority, Senate overturned a federal rule on ESG investments, Vanguard closed its UK financial advice arm, Eli Lilly is slashing insulin prices, and Litquidity just dropped it's 2023 sell-side compensation report (more info below).

If you're looking for a great book about investing written by a legendary financier, check out David Rubenstein's latest book: How To Invest.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 3/1/2023 market close.

Markets

  • US stocks slipped further yesterday as raw material prices from manufacturing data added to inflation fears

    • The S&P and Nasdaq fell for a second straight session

  • US 10Y yield topped 4% for the first time since November

  • German 10Y and 2Y bond yields hit 10+ year highs on hot inflation expectations

  • Dollar index fell 0.5%, weighed down by commodity currencies that benefited from China's strong manufacturing activity data

  • Russian rouble slid to a 10-month low, down 20% from December, on falling energy prices

Earnings

  • Salesforce beat Q4 EPS and revenue estimates and forecast a better-than-expected Q1 which came as respite amid ongoing activist pressure from Elliott, ValueAct and Third Point; their stock jumped 14%+ AH (CNBC)

  • Royal Bank of Canada beat Q1 EPS and revenue estimates on a surge in trading that offset softening results in retail banking; it reiterated forecasts for a moderate recession and increased bad loan provisions (BBG)

  • Lowe's beat Q4 EPS estimates but missed on revenue as the home-improvement sector comes under pressure from cautious recession-wary consumers; their stock fell 5.5% (CNBC)

  • Kohl's posted an unexpected Q4 loss and revenue miss as it tries to turn sales around while catering to increasingly frugal middle-income consumers; the firm also offered a weak FY forecast (CNBC)

  • What we're watching this week:

    • Today: TD Bank Group, Costco, Best Buy, Dell, Broadcom, Nordstrom, Victoria's Secret

  • Full calendar here

Headline Roundup

  • ECB's top three shareholders are conflicted on rate paths (RT)

  • US manufacturing contracted for a fourth-straight month, but raw material prices rose (RT)

  • Long-robust US labor market shows signs of cooling (WSJ)

  • US high-yield corporate bond performance declined in February (AX)

  • Mortgage demand is at a 28-year low (CNBC)

  • Home foreclosures are ticking back up (AX)

  • Fewer US firms see China as an investment priority (WSJ)

  • Swiss prosecutors charged four bankers with helping to hide millions for Putin (FT)

  • Senate overturned a federal rule on ESG investments; Biden will veto (CNBC)

  • China sales boom as lockdowns end (RT)

  • China is willing to play 'constructive' role in debt talks (RT)

  • Bridgewater will cut 100 jobs amid restructuring and AI push (BBG)

  • Elliott Management nominated several directors for Salesforce board (CNBC)

  • Venus Williams joined PE firm Topspin Consumer Partners as operating partner (BBG)

  • Vanguard closed its UK financial advice arm after less than two years (FT)

  • Blackstone blocked investor withdrawals from its $71B REIT in February (RT)

  • Eli Lilly will slash insulin prices and cap patient costs (WSJ)

  • Alphabet-owned Waymo cut 8% of staff in second lay-off round (TI)

  • Just Eat Takeaway took a ~$5B writedown on its peak-pandemic multibillion-dollar mergers that created Europe’s biggest food delivery group (FT)

  • TikTok will limit screen time for teens (TV)

  • Activision allegedly fired staff for using 'strong language' about WFH policy (RT)

  • Gender pay gap 'barely' improved in two decades (FRB)

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Deal Flow

M&A / Investments

  • Investment bank Macquarie is in the early stages of exploring a $6B+ takeover bid for British money manager M&G (RT)

  • EQT’s Active Core Infrastructure Fund, together with the Public Sector Pension Investment Board, agreed to buy Radius Global Infrastructure in a $1.43B deal (RT)

  • CATL sold its almost 5% stake in Australian lithium producer Pilbara Minerals for $405.86M (RT)

  • Chinese social network Weibo raised its stake in Shanghai-listed media marketing firm Inmyshow Digital Technology Group through the purchase of its subsidiary ShowWorld Hong Kong for $314.7M (RT)

  • Hotel chain Melia is considering selling some assets in the Caribbean to reduce its debt by up to $213M (HI)

  • Canada Pension Plan Investment Board agreed to buy a 49% stake in California oil venture Aera Energy (RT)

  • Bondholders including BlackRock and Carlyle launched a sale process for a 37% stake in French fashion group SMCP, clearing way for a full takeover (RT)

  • Swiss consumer company Nestle has kicked off the sale of its peanut allergy medicine Palforzia (BBG)

  • Canada Pension Plan Investment Board and KKR are among suitors weighing bids for energy company Vattenfall’s district heating business in Berlin (BBG)

VC

  • Epigenetic-focused biotech Chroma Medicine raised a $135M Series B led by GV (FB)

  • Insurance and investment software developer Equisoft raised a $125M round led by Investissement Quebec (TC)

  • Chef-to-consumer marketplace Shef raised a $73.5M Series B led by CRV (PRN)

  • National housing company Homz raised a $50M pre-seed round led by Nanban Ventures (BW)

  • Sesamm, a startup helping companies navigate ESG goals, raised a $37M Series B-2 led by Opera Tech Ventures and Elaia (TC)

  • Drug discovery infrastructure startup TandemAI raised a $35M Series A led by Qiming Venture Partners (BW)

  • Quantifind, a provider of AI-powered financial crimes risk management solutions, raised $23M in funding led by DNS Capital (PRN)

  • Hexa, a 3D asset visualization and management platform, raised a $20.5M Series A led by Point72 Ventures, Samurai Incubate, and others (PRN)

  • Qwak, a MLOps platform, raised a $12M Series A-1 from Bessemer Venture Partners (TC)

  • Savant Labs, a startup building an automation platform for data analysts, raised an $11M seed round led by Cota Capital (PRN)

  • Cloud storage platform Impossible Cloud raised a $7.5M seed round led by HV Capital and 1kx (BW)

  • Zarta, a creator platform focused on pay-per-view video content, raised a $5.7M seed round led by a16z (TC)

  • ether.fi, a liquid staking protocol, raised $5.3M in funding led by North Island Ventures, Chapter One, and Node Capital (PRN)

IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Abu Dhabi National Oil Co will increase its IPO offering in its natural gas unit Adnoc Gas to 5% to raise $2.5B in the biggest IPO this year so far (BBG)

  • Property developer China Vanke raised $498.2M in a Hong Kong share sale (RT)

SPAC

  • Trump-backed Digital World Acquisition Corp will appeal against a Nasdaq delisting notice (RT)

  • Peter Theil and Richard Li backed SPAC Bridgetown 3 Holdings is dropping plans for an IPO (MW)

Debt

  • HSBC raised $2B from an additional Tier 1 8% coupon bond (RT)

Bankruptcy / Restructuring

  • Crypto lender Voyager's customers voted in favor of its chapter 11 bankruptcy plan (RT)

Fundraising

  • India-based Nexus Venture Partners raised $700M for their Nexus Ventures VII fund to build startups across AI, SaaS, fintech and commerce in India and US (ET)

  • Northleaf Capital Partners raised $675M for its latest global PE solutions fund (FIN)

  • UK-based HF Fasanara Capital is looking to raise $500M for a fund to finance soccer team trades (BBG)

  • Venture Guides, a VC founded by ex-BCV MP Ben Nye, raised $215M to invest in seed and Series A infrastructure software firms (TC)

  • Second Alpha Partners raised $170M for its fifth secondaries PE fund (BOI)

  • New Markets Venture Partners raised $160M for a fund to back startups focused on education and workforce development (FRB)

  • Czech Republic plans to create a ~$60M fund of funds to back three independent VCs (SFT)

  • Fan token project Chiliz announced a $50M incubator and accelerator program for early-stage blockchain projects (CT)

Crypto Corner

  • Investors have pull ~$6B out of Binance's stablecoin following regulatory crackdown (RT)

  • Over 400 Bitcoin ATMs went off the grid in under 60 days (CT)

  • Australia announced a CBDC Pilot and study for a digital currency (DC)

  • Crypto distribution is uneven among banks as prudential exposure rises (CT)

  • Snoop Dogg joined crypto casino Roobet as ‘Chief Ganjaroo Officer’ (DC)

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  • Bloomberg covered how the SPAC fad is ending with a pile of bankruptcies and fire sales.

  • Binance can't keep its story straight on its misplaced $1.8B of USDC, according to CoinDesk's David Morris.

  • Litquidity's Wall Street sell-side 2023 compensation report just dropped. Check out the condensed version here.

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