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Larry Fink is predicting a futures market for compute, US investment banks are surging past European peers, Jamie Dimon downplayed AI bubble fears, Goldman expanded its management committee to 47, and Ken Griffin torched Mamdani for his 'creepy' antics and anti-success policies.

Wharton Online and Wall Street Prep teamed up to launch the Restructuring & Distressed Investing Certificate Program, the best and most-recognized certificate in RX & distressed investing on Wall Street. Get the brochure and save $500 with our LITQUIDITY discount.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 5/5/2026 market close.

Learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot.*

Markets

  • US stocks resumed their record rally on strong earnings and progress in US-Iran talks

    • S&P and Nasdaq hit fresh ATHs

    • Swaps traders are pricing in a more than 50% chance of a Fed rate hike by next April before easing

  • Korea's KOSPI index is doing a KOSPI

  • UK 30Y yields climbed 14 bps to 5.8% to their highest since 1998 

  • US average gas prices topped $4.50/gal for the first time since July 2022

Earnings

  • AMD beat Q1 estimates and issued a blowout forecast as booming AI demand led to a 57% sales surge in its data center business (CNBC)

  • Supermicro missed Q1 revenue estimates but beat on earnings and issued strong guidance as it rapidly transforms into a total data center infrastructure provider; the firm severed ties with indicted co-founder Yih-shyan Liaw (WSJ)

  • PayPal beat Q1 earnings and revenue estimates and announced a turnaround plan to streamline its organizational structure and cut costs, including 20% of jobs (BBG)

  • Shopify beat Q1 revenue estimates but missed on guidance due to rising operating expenses despite strong revenue growth (WSJ)

  • KKR beat Q1 estimates as insurance revenue more than doubled and AUM climbed 14%, though it warned of lower profit due to a volatile outlook for deals (BBG)

  • Pfizer beat Q1 earnings and revenue estimates and reaffirmed FY guidance on growth in its recently launched and acquired products (CNBC)

  • What we're watching this week:   

    • Today: Walt Disney, Uber, Kraft Heinz, Snap, CVS

    • Thursday: McDonald's, Coinbase, CoreWeave

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

  • Feel like everyone here has been awfully quite recently

  • Trade event contracts on Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market

Headline Roundup

  • US paused 'Project Freedom' on Iran deal progress (CNBC)

  • European investment banks stutter as Wall Street rivals power ahead (RT)

  • US hiring jumped to the highest level since 2024 (RT)

  • Hong Kong GDP grew 5.6% YoY in Q1 (BBG)

  • Debt crisis brews in Brazil as 8M firms miss payments (BBG)

  • Investors are piling into munis at the fastest rate in five years (BBG)

  • JPMorgan and BlackRock CEOs play down AI bubble talks (FT)

  • Larry Fink predicts birth of futures market for computing power (BBG)

  • AI's hottest private firms have a booming shadow market (BBG)

  • KKR sees compelling environment for private credit despite jitters (BBG)

  • Goldman named two new members to management (FT)

  • FINRA is investigating Morgan Stanley's Budapest IB program (WSJ)

  • Deutsche Bank denied training bankers to manipulate markets (FT)

  • SEC unveiled plans for semi-annual earnings (BBG)

  • Anthropic will spend $200B on Google's cloud and chips (RT)

  • OpenAI will spend $50B on computing power this ​year (RT)

  • Brockman claimed Musk wanted $80B from OpenAI to colonize Mars (RT)

  • Apple will let users choose AI models across iOS 27 features (BBG)

  • Ken Griffin blasted Mamdani for 'wierd' antics and anti-success policies (WSJ)

A Message from Wall Street Prep

The distressed cycle isn't coming. It's here.

Default rates are climbing. Billions in LBO debt are coming due. And most finance professionals have never lived through a real distressed cycle (let alone know how to capitalize on one).

Wharton Online and Wall Street Prep built the Restructuring & Distressed Investing Certificate Program for exactly this moment. 

  • Get hands-on with case studies in distressed debt, bankruptcy, LBO restructuring, and distressed M&A

  • Work through problems with Wharton Business School faculty and your peers during LIVE office hours

  • Learn from guest speakers who have led real restructurings at firms like Silver Point, Kirkland & Ellis, Ropes & Gray, and more

  • Earn a Wharton Online certificate for your LinkedIn

Use code LITQUIDITY for $300 off. Enroll before May 11 to save $500.

Deal Flow

M&A / Strategic

  • Italian lender UniCredit launched a $41B all-stock hostile bid for German peer Commerzbank 

  • European PE firm EQT made a third improved offer for UK product testing firm Intertek for $12B after its previous $11.2B offer was rejected

  • UK telecoms giant Vodafone will buy out Hong Kong infrastructure conglomerate CK Hutchison's 49% stake in UK's largest mobile operator and JV VodafoneThree in a $5.8B deal

  • Singapore SWF Temsasek-backed CapitaLand and Hongkong Land are among possible bidders for the $4.5B Marina One high-rise complex in Singapore's central business district which is currently owned by a JV of Malaysian SWF Khazanah Nasional and Temasek

  • Crypto exchange Bullish will acquire transfer agent Equiniti from Siris Capital in a $4.2B stock deal, including debt 

  • Italian cable maker Prysmian is exploring a $4B acquisition in an M&A push 

  • Singaporean real estate investor Aravest is in talks to acquire a 50% stake in a portfolio of three Hong Kong hotels from struggling New World Development for $2B

  • MSA Safety will acquire Autronica Fire & Security from Sentinel Capital Partners for $555M

  • Crypto exchange Kraken will acquire crypto derivatives firm Bitnomial in a $550M cash-and-stock deal

  • European renewables giant EDP Renovaveis is exploring a ~$500M sale of its US distributed-generation business

  • Digital networking services company Lumen Technologies will buy ​networking platform Alkira for $475M cash

  • James Murdoch's family office Lupa Systems is in advanced talks to acquire New York Magazine and various podcasts from Vox Media for ~$300M

  • Northridge Capital is exploring a $175M sale of the W Hotel Aspen

  • Germany building materials giant Heidelberg Materials is considering a bid for $600M-listed South African cement maker PPC

  • Canadian challenger bank EQB won government approval for its deal to acquire the mass-market banking arm of Loblaw

  • William Blair agreed to acquire boutique advisory Inner Circle Sports

  • The new PE-backed JVs of OpenAI ​and Anthropic are in talks to acquire services companies ‌that help businesses deploy AI

  • LVMH is exploring sales of fashion label Marc Jacobs, its stake in Rihanna's Fenty Beauty, and US wine producer Joseph Phelps Vineyards after recently offloading Off-White, the China business of travel retailer DFS, and its 49% stake in fashion label Stella McCartney

VC

  • Voice AI startup ElevenLabs raised a $500M Series D at an $11B valuation from BlackRock, D.E. Shaw, Nvidia, Salesforce, Jamie Foxx, and others

  • Chrysalis Investments cut the value of its stake in UK fintech Starling Bank by 14% to $470M 

  • Israeli defense-tech company Kela Technologies raised a $200M round at a $1.2B valuation led by Stripes and D1

  • Blitzy, an autonomous software development platform, raised a $200M growth round at a $1.4B valuation led by Northzone

  • European quantum processor company QuantWare raised a $180M Series B from Intel Capital, In-Q-Tel, and others 

  • GSR, a crypto capital markets and liquidity firm, raised $150M at a $1B valuation from Standard Chartered's SC Ventures

  • DeepInfra, a cloud inference platform provider, raised a $107M Series B led by 500 Global and Georges Harik

  • ZyG, an eCommerce OS startup, raised a $60M Series A led by Accel

  • Astrocade, a games creation platform, raised a $56M Series A and Series B from Sea, Sequoia, Google, Nvidia, and others

  • CopilotKit, an enterprise AI agents toolkit and creator of the AG-UI protocol, raised a $27M Series A led by Glilot Capital, NFX, and SignalFire

  • Lithosquare, a deep tech startup applying foundational AI to mineral exploration, raised a $25M seed round led by World Fund

  • Nace.AI, an applied AI company building specialized intelligence/metamodels for enterprise workflows, raised a $21.5M seed round led by Walden Catalyst

Access the complete VC deal flow and data on Fundable

IPOs / Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • AI chipmaker Cerebras Systems is requiring limit orders from institutional buyers as demand for its $3.5B IPO grows

  • Indian data center operator Yotta Data Services is weighing raising $900M at a $6B valuation in an India IPO

  • Insurance giant AIG will sell its remaining stake in life insurance and ​retirement firm Corebridge ​Financial for $710M

  • General Atlantic-backed Indian eye-care chain ASG Hospital plans to file for a $500M IPO

  • Android-based business IoT provider Sunmi Technology surged 300% in its trading debut after raising $118M at an over $3B valuation in its Hong Kong IPO

  • Medical divide maker Star Sports Medicine surged 117% in its trading debut after raising $106M in a Hong Kong IPO 

  • Nigerian lender Access Holdings will to reduce its equity stakes in some foreign units to less than 10% of total shareholders' funds to comply with new rules

Debt

  • Alphabet raised $17B in its biggest-ever euro bond sale and debut Canadian dollar bond sale

  • Austrian lender Erste Group is working on a SRT tied to $4.7B of Austrian CRE loans 

  • Mozambique is considering converting a $1.4B of dollar bond owed to China into yuan loans 

  • Access Holdings is considering refinancing a $500M eurobond due September 

  • Bank of Maldives is seeking to raise $300M in a dollar sukuk bond sale

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • HSBC took an unexpected $400M hit from the collapse of ​UK mortgage lender MFS

  • North Sea oil producer Harbour Energy is set to acquire Waldorf Production UK following its restructuring, including a write off of unpaid taxes

Funds / Secondaries

  • Mexican infrastructure investor MIP Real Assets is seeking to raise $12B in debt and equity for renewable energy, highways, midstream, and digital infrastructure projects

  • Apollo raised $6.5B for its third hybrid debt-equity fund 

  • a16z raised $2.2B for its fifth crypto fund

  • Audax Private Debt raised a $1B private credit continuation fund led by Pantheon

  • Bridge Growth Partners raised a $790M continuation fund for software company Solace co-led by Apogem Capital, Golub Capital, HSBC Holdings, and Schroders Capital

  • Blackstone and KKR are in talks with Alphabet to equip portfolio companies with Google's AI tools

Crypto Sum Snapshot

  • Coinbase will cut 14% of jobs due to AI

  • CME will launch Bitcoin volatility futures contracts 

  • Iggy Azalea was hit with a federal class action lawsuit over MOTHER token

Crypto Sum compiles the most important stories on everything crypto. Read it here.

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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