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Good Morning,

OpenAI posted widening losses, investors sued Nvidia and Jensen Huang, banks are seeking to rein in AI agent costs, merger arbs are betting against Marvell and Lumentum's record deal, and Wall Street bonuses are set to rise for a third-straight year.

Today's letter is brought to you by F2, the agentic operating system for global credit. Deal teams on F2 screen more deals and commit capital sooner without adding headcount. See for yourself. Try a demo.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 11/10/2026 market close.

Powered by Model ML, the agentic operating system for financial services, banking, consulting, PE, and asset management

Learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot*

Markets

  • US stocks fell yesterday as investors digested a hot inflation report 

  • US 10Y yield re-crossed 5%

  • US 2Y yield surged 18 bps

  • Dollar rose 0.5% in its best day since September as inflation data stoked rate hike bets

Earnings

  • SoftBank posted its first loss in two years after taking a $3.7B write-down on US data center projects and other AI valuations globally, including Intel's 60% drawdown (CNBC)

  • CoreWeave beat Q3 revenue estimates and lifted guidance as demand for AI infrastructure remains strong despite concerns of a market slowdown (CNBC)

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Thursday: Cerebras, Nebius, Cisco, Applied Materials

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

  • Anthropic is powering through with the most important IPO of all time despite the historic selloff. Investors are nonetheless pressuring the firm to reduce its ambitions to a more humble $1.5T valuation

  • Sign up to trade on the Polymarket US app with code LIT and they'll send you a $25 bonus

Headline Roundup

  • Wall Street bonuses are set to rise for a third-straight year (RT)

  • US CPI rose 0.4% in October (CNBC)

  • Investors pile into defensive stocks amid fears bull market may be over (FT)

  • Traders who rushed to bonds for haven get clapped anyway (BBG)

  • Global macro funds seen as next positioning risk for US stocks (BBG)

  • AI rout has investors scouring EM for bargains (BBG)

  • AI debt blowups become fodder for ETFs aimed at retail investors (BBG)

  • US commerce department has been delaying Megaspeed's inclusion on blacklist (FT)

  • Investors sued Nvidia and Jensen Huang (RT)

  • Hong Kong listings hit the highest since Covid (BBG)

  • Odds of Marvell and Lumentum's record $115B deal closing is just 50% (BBG)

  • Hedge funds ask regulators to go slow in push to 24/7 trading (BBG)

  • CFTC postpones Wall Street push for AI compute futures (FT)

  • Banks are seeking to rein in soaring AI agent costs (RT)

  • OpenAI losses expand even as revenue rises to $10B in Q3 (WSJ)

  • Anthropic filing snafu jolts investors ahead of IPO (BBG)

  • Anthropic founders' stakes are worth $18B apiece at IPO price (WSJ)

  • SEC fines fell to an 18-year low (WSJ)

  • IBM will end immigration sponsorship in biggest unit (BBG)

A Message from F2

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In a competitive process, the mandate tends to go to the lender who can commit with conviction while others are still spreading the financials. F2 gives your deal team that head start without cutting corners on the analysis:

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Deal Flow

M&A / Strategic

  • $42B-listed waste management giant GFL Environmental rejected buyout proposals from Blackstone and Brookfield and will stay public

  • Clearlake Capital is exploring a $3.5B sale of packaging company IPG

  • Diamondback Energy and KKR agreed to jointly acquire a 70% stake in water firm Deep Blue Midland Basin from Five Point Infrastructure for $2.1B 

  • Smart ring maker Oura Health will acquire AI-native primary care startup Counsel Health for $625M

  • IDP ​Education, the administrator of the IELTS english-language exam, is considering a revised $572M takeover offer from Blackstone representing an 80% premium

  • Biotech MaxCyte agreed to acquire reagent supplier Akron BioProducts from Arcline for $152M

  • German industrial conglomerate Siemens agreed to buy Lauterbach to expand its chip-design portfolio

  • RBC Asset Management agreed to acquire $12B AUM Aussie asset manager Yarra Capital Management from TA Associates and Amova Asset Management

  • AstraZeneca acquired vaccine developer Omniose

  • Coal trading giant Javelin Global Commodities acquired critical minerals firm Derek Raphael & Co.

  • Abu Dhabi SWF Mubadala agreed to acquire a minority stake in MM secondaries investor LSV Advisors

  • UAE energy and marine services company NMDC Group plans to announce an acquisition next month

VC

  • AI model training startup Mercor raised a $750M Series D at a $20B valuation from Benchmark, Felicis, Fundomo, Nvidia and others

  • Path Robotics, a manufacturing robotics developer, raised a $300M Series E at a $2.45B post-money valuation led by Georgian

  • Blue J, a Canadian tax research and advisory platform, raised a $176M Series E at a $700M valuation led by JMI Equity

  • Ribon, a sovereign cybersecurity startup, raised $200M across several rounds at a $1.5B valuation led by Founders Fund, Sequoia, and General Catalyst

  • Clara, a corporate expense-management startup, raised $105M including a $65M Series C led by Citius, Kaszek Ventures, and DEG

  • TensorWorld, a Chinese physical AI startup, raised $105M across seed and seed+ rounds co-led by Cathay Innovation, Sequoia China, Ant Group, Hillhouse Capital, and Meituan Strategic Investment

  • Sparxity, a sparse AI chipmaker, raised a Series A bringing total funding to $90M led by ICM HPQC Fund

  • Daylight Security, an AI-native cybersecurity company, raised an $80M Series B led by Goldman Sachs Alternatives

  • Reflect Orbital, a space-based solar reflector startup, raised $73.5M in new funding from Sequoia, Lux Capital, and Starship Ventures

  • Bay, an enterprise AI security startup, raised a $50M seed round from YL Ventures, Striker Venture Partners, and others 

  • Index Industries, a startup building technology and infrastructure to make US housing broadly investable, raised a $50M seed round led by Lightspeed

  • Alta, a tokenized finance infrastructure startup, raised a $47.5M Series A led by Index Ventures 

  • Mosaic Intelligence Labs, a spatial-intelligence-for-surgery startup, raised a $47M seed round from 8VC, Fundomo, and others

  • Garage, an AI-powered marketplace for America's essential equipment, raised a $41M Series B led by Invus Opportunities 

  • Graphon Labs, an AI lab building persistent intelligence, raised a $35M Series A led by RRE Ventures

  • Tendrils Compute, a startup rebuilding the microprocessor from first principles, raised $30M led by Benchmark

  • Nidus, an industrial AI and robotics company deploying embodied intelligence in defense factories, raised $30M in funding backed by Kleiner Perkins and Costanoa

  • General Translation, a full-stack localization startup, raised a $27M Series A led by a16z

  • Finite State, a developer of supply chain risk management software, raised a $27M Series C led by The O.H.I.O. Fund

  • Lumbra, an AI agent platform for sensitive environments, raised a $25M Series A co-led by Point72 Ventures and Ansa

  • Sumary, an AI accounting software startup, raised a $25M seed round led by Singular

  • WhiteMatter, an agentic security startup, raised a $20M Series A led by Blumberg Capital

  • Marble, a startup building institutional frontier markets trading and AI infrastructure finance, raised an $11M seed round led by Polychain Capital

IPOs / Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Anthropic is seeking to raise $65B to $90B at a $1.5T+ valuation in its IPO

  • UK cloud firm Nscale is considering delaying ‌its $3B US IPO

  • TSMC will invest $1B across Anthropic and OpenAI 

  • Africa's Dangote Cement paused plans for a $1B London listing due to market volatility

  • Blackstone will acquire a 15.6% stake in Indian shadow lender IIFL Finance for $532M

  • Shareholders of French fuel retailer Rubis want to block a proposal to grant $505M of stock to general partners as part of a plan to convert itself to a joint stock company 

  • Chinese chip firms Xinde Semiconductor and Denglin Technology raised a combined $300M in Hong Kong IPOs

  • Barrick Mining filed for an IPO of its North American gold assets

Debt

  • Fox Corp. raised $8.6B in an investment grade bond sale to fund its $22B acquisition of streaming platform Roku

  • Vanguard raised $4B in a private bond placement to fund its $4B acquisition of digital wealth platform Altruist

  • CoreWeave is planning a chip-backed loan worth several billion dollars

  • Banks lined up $2.4B of financing to back TDR Capital's $2.6B acquisition of energy and infrastructure services provider OCU Group from Triton Partners

  • Private credit firms are in talks to provide a $1.3B loan to back PE firm L Catterton's acquisition of healthcare platform Fullscript after low demand in leveraged loan markets

  • Pizza Hut is looking to sell $1B of bonds backed by franchise agreements to help fund its $1.5B buyout by LongRange Capital

  • Hong Kong holding company Chow Tai Fook Enterprises is seeking $640M in bank debt to build a liquidity cushion if it proceeds with a recapitalization of struggling New World Development

  • CD&R-backed Cornerstone Building Brands will move forward with a deal to raise $500M from Monarch Alternative Capital as struggles increase

  • Rockrose Development is looking to sell a $300M CMBS backed by a loan for two NYC office buildings, whose anchor tenant includes AI startup Sierra Technologies

  • Biotech CorMedix raised $150M in private credit from BioPharma Credit to fund its acquisition of Heron Therapeutics' commercial assets

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • French supermarket chain Casino reached a restructuring agreement to convert a $1.6B term loan to equity and change its name to Plesio but keep Czech billionaire Daniel Kretinsky in control

  • State-backed China Water Environment Group is seeking to restructure $410M of offshore loans

  • iHeartMedia debt collapsed deep into distress after a worrisome Q3 earnings

Funds / Secondaries

  • Swiss VC firm Redalpine raised $250M for its eighth fund

  • Zacua Ventures raised $135M for its second fund

Crypto Sum Snapshot

  • Ledger CEO says "everybody will be hacked at some point"

  • Miami-Dade County began accepting Bitcoin for property taxes

Crypto Sum compiles the most important stories on everything crypto. Read it here.

Lit's Picks

  • Recruiting for investment banking? You can book 1:1 mock interview or get general recruitment prep on Professiony with former bankers from Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan and more who've been in your shoes. Book per session, no long-term commitment or subscription, with people you trust.

  • WSJ profiled the 20-something kids who are increasingly ditching entry-level jobs to become their own bosses.

  • FT published a detailed profile on everything we know about Jensen Huang's honeypot Alice Huang. From TV journalism to HSBC to Jensen's bed.

Financial Services Recruiting 💼

If you're a junior banker looking for your next career move, check out Litney Partners, a recruiting firm established by Litquidity and Whitney Partners (the oldest purely financial services executive search and consulting firm).

We aim to place strong candidates across private equity, hedge funds, venture capital, growth equity, credit, and investment banking.

We're currently seeking talent for some incredible roles. Head over to Litney Partners to drop your resume / create your profile and we'd love to get in touch!

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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