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J Pow Is Here to Stay
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Good Morning,
BlackRock wants a piece of the hedge fund industry, foreign investors are dumping Asian stocks, Goldman named their biggest partner class in fourteen years, and the Fed and BoE cut rates for a second time.
Speaking of the Fed, here's what J Pow said when asked if he would resign if Trump requested: "No."
In 2024, there is absolutely zero reason for financial modeling to be as tedious as it is, and Mosaic has the biggest names agreeing. Try 'em out and see why their digital deal modeling platform is taking the industry by storm.
Let's dive in.
Before The Bell
As of 11/07/2024 market close.
Markets
US stocks rose further yesterday as investors digested a second Fed rate cut
S&P and Nasdaq closed at record highs
Traders see a 75% chance of another 25 bps cut next month
China's CSI 300 climbed 3% to its highest level in a month as export data and stimulus hopes outweighed US election concerns
US bond market selloff cooled
Earnings
Carlyle beat Q3 estimates on flat profit growth as higher fee income was offset by increased compensation expenses (BBG)
Airbnb missed Q3 earnings estimates but beat on revenue as it seeks to expand beyond core markets (CNBC)
Rivian posted a wider-than-expected Q3 loss, missed revenue estimates and lowered its FY forecast on production and supply chain issues but reiterated plans to achieve modest positive gross profit (CNBC)
DraftKings fell 6% despite beating Q3 earnings estimates as it cut FY guidance due to favorable sports outcomes for betters (BBG)
Full calendar here
Headline Roundup
J Pow will not resign even if Trump asks (CNBC)
Fed cuts rates by 25 bps to 4.5%-4.75% range (CNBC)
BoE also cut rates for a second time to 4.75% (CNBC)
Risk assets rally but bond market views Trump victory with caution (FT)
Non-China Asian stocks see biggest monthly foreign outflow in 2.5 years (RT)
Thematic ETFs sees interest despite headwinds and disappointments (FT)
Double defaults on CRE loans hit decade-high in growing risk for banks (FT)
Japan intervened twice in FX markets in Q3 to stabilize yen (BBG)
Trump is considering Robinhood's legal/compliance chief for SEC chair (RT)
Gold ETF demand turned positive for the first time YTD (RT)
Goldman named 95 members to its biggest partner class since 2010 (BBG)
Citi revamped pay for wealth bankers (FT)
Nissan cut 9k jobs and halved CEO pay in emergency turnaround effort (BBG)
TSMC's US investment plan remains unchanged after election (RT)
FedEx and UPS 'price war' heats up in fight for SMEs (WSJ)
US 30-year mortgage rate rose to a four-month high of 6.8% (RT)
Florida boom metros see biggest drop in home prices since 2011 (BBG)
Private jet emissions soared 50% in four years (FT)
A Message From Litquidity
Model with Mosaic
By now, I'm sure you've heard of the buzzworthy deal modeling platform, Mosaic.
Mosaic was recently featured in Bloomberg and FT for their next-gen technology that allows investment professionals to build LBO models in mere minutes.
The platform was built by PE veterans themselves, and its accuracy, complexity and practicality virtually eliminates the tediousness of modeling tasks that many of us face daily.
I wish I had this tool during my PE days and I'm not surprised that Mosaic is emerging as the new industry standard in deal modeling.
Some of the biggest firms already use Mosaic to save hours on modeling workflows and it's something that you must try.
Deal Flow
M&A / Investments
Ayvens, the $6B-listed French car-leasing business controlled by SocGen, attracted takeover interest from Blackstone, CVC, and Brookfield
Bremer Financial, Minnesota’s fourth-largest bank with $1.4B in equity capital, is seeking a buyer
Ampersand Capital Partners and GHO Capital Partners will take Avid Bioservices private in a $1.1B cash deal
Malaysian tycoon Lim Kang Hoo is exploring a sale of toll road business Konsortium Lebuhraya Utara-Timur in a potential $1.1B deal
AT&T will acquire some spectrum assets from tower operator US Cellular for $1.1B
Scion Group acquired a ~$900M portfolio of student housing properties from real estate investor Harrison Street
Endeavor CEO Ari Emanuel raised an initial $100M from Apollo to buy live entertainment ventures including Miami Open, Madrid Open and Frieze Art Fair from Endeavor, which PE firm Silver Lake acquired this year
BlackRock is in talks with to take a minority stake in Millennium, the world's biggest hedge fund
US-Irish building materials group CRH is considering reviving a sale of its Philippines cement business
VC
Boston Materials, an advanced materials manufacturer for semiconductors and aircraft platforms, raised $13.5M led by AccelR8 and Diamond Edge Ventures
Accounting SaaS startup Marosa raised a $14M round from Aquiline
Indian robotics startup CynLr raised a $10M Series A led by Key Venture Partners
Glint Solar, a Norwegian SaaS startup helping energy giants transition to renewables, raised an $8M Series A led by Smedvig Ventures
Microfluidic device manufacturer Parallel Fluidics raised a $7M seed round led by J2 Ventures
Embed Security, an agentic security platform, raised $6M in funding led by Paladin Capital Group
Siit, an AI-powered service desk solution for IT and internal operations, raised a $5M seed round led by StageOne Ventures and Seventure Partners
Thesys, a UI startup focused on AI apps, raised a $4M seed round led by Together Fund
Debt
Blackstone is planning to refinance ~$3.6B of junior debt for their proposed LBO of Australian center operator AirTrunk
Chinese metals giant Huayou Cobalt, is seeking $2.7B in bank debt for a Ford-backed Indonesia project
Golub Capital merged four CLOs in a $1.7B CLO reset, the second-largest CLO reset on record
Bank Negara Indonesia is raising a $600M loan from six banks including Bank of America and HSBC
Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed
Activist Elliott made an alternative lower $5.3B bid for oil refiner Citgo
Franchise Group won court approval to borrow $250M from senior lenders to keep operating in bankruptcy
India's top court ordered a liquidation of Jet Airways, once India's second-biggest carrier
Crypto Corner
Exec’s Picks
Wilson's got some incredible deals across apparel and equipment this fall. Shop the collection here.
Ben Carlson shared some insightful things he DOESN'T believe about investing.
Mark Zachary Taylor explained why this year's Nobel Prize in Economics was the most controversial in recent memory.
Hedge Fund Analyst Opportunity
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Bonus points if you manage your own portfolio of digital assets and can discuss your investment strategy.
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