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Good Morning,

The Fed raised rates for the first time in three years, while projecting more ahead. The whole Iran thing is proving to be quiet catastrophic for Trump's entire economic agenda.

Before we dive in, I am partnering with Ramp to host an invite-only gathering of Nashville's tech, finance, and business leaders on Friday, September 25 at Sensa Padel Nashville. It's going to be an evening of padel, real conversation and connection, with play, drinks and light bites on us. Come join us if you're around! RSVP info below.

BILL is back with their Controller Appreciation Week, a three-session event for leading controllers with a grand-prize drawing and a chance to earn up to three CPE credits. Save your spot

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 9/16/2026 market close.

Learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot.*

Markets

  • US stocks closed lower yesterday as investors digested the Fed's first rate hike in years

  • Turkey's BIST 100 index fell 5.5% after one of the country's biggest fund managers failed to meet investor redemption requests

  • UK sold 30Y gilts at a 5.8% yield, the highest since 1998

  • Chinese oil prices hit a record high after Iran attacked a Saudi pipeline

Earnings

  • Lennar missed Q3 earnings and revenue estimates and cut FY deliveries guidance as interest rate and inflation pressure and weak consumer confidence continue to make for a weak housing market (WSJ)

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Today: Carnival

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

  • The Fed is projecting ANOTHER rate hike by year-end after raising rates for the first time since 2023

  • Get a $50 bonus with code LIT on signup, only on the Polymarket US app

Headline Roundup

  • Fed raised rates to 3.75%-4% in first hike since 2023 (CNBC

  • Kevin Warsh skipped Fed's dot plot again (BBG)

  • ​​Trump says US interest rates should be 1% or lower (RT)

  • AI safety push sparks rift inside OpenAI and Anthropic (FT)

  • US is open to discussing shared AI risks with China (AX)

  • Foreign holdings of US Treasuries fell to a nine-month low (BBG)

  • Software and platform stocks are top Asian AI picks (BBG)

  • Korea stocks turnover fell to the lowest YTD as enthusiasm dwindles (BBG)

  • Hong Kong may launch its first bond index by year-end (BBG)

  • Democrats take aim at PE's role in healthcare (WSJ)

  • PE and foreign investors fuel Aussie M&A in 2026 (RT)

  • SEC moves to scrap rules on shareholder proxy proposals (BBG)

  • Goldman CEO warned of softness in Q3 fixed income trading (BBG)

  • PwC UK revenue fell for the first time in two decades (FT)

  • Chipotle partnered with Palantir to track food safety risks (WI)

  • McLaren will debut an SUV to compete with Lamborghini and Ferrari (FT)

  • US poverty rate fell to its lowest level ever (RT)

A Message from BILL

Every day you catch the invoice that nearly slipped, the approval gap, the close that looked effortless. As a controller, you're the reason everything works. That's why we want to celebrate you during BILL Controller Appreciation Week '26

We're putting Controllers
in the commander seat: three sessions built for leading controllers, a VIP event to close out the week, a grand-prize drawing, and the chance to earn up to three CPE credits.* 

*Terms and conditions apply. See offer page for details.

Deal Flow

M&A / Strategic

  • $18B-listed waste management firm GFL Environmental is open to a take-private

  • Canadian AI startup Cohere and German peer Aleph Alpha will merge to form a $20B firm

  • Owner Clearlake Capital agreed to acquire billionaire financiers Mark Walter and Todd Boehly's combined 25% stake in UK soccer club Chelsea FC at a $6.7B valuation, including debt

  • Energy firm ​National Fuel Gas is exploring options for its integrated natural gas production business, which could fetch a $5B valuation

  • Starbucks is considering selling a majority stake in its Japan business at a $3B valuation

  • Brookfield agreed to buy Australian plumbing supplies company Reliance Worldwide in a $2.9B all-cash deal at a 32% premium

  • KKR emerged as the preferred bidder for Canada's OTPP-owned Portuguese packaging maker Logoplaste after Apax Partners dropped out of the process; the firm could fetch a $2B valuation

  • German data center cooling systems maker Güntner is weighing a $1.2B sale, with Advent, Blackstone, Cinven, and KKR among potential bidders

  • AI healthcare startup Sword Health will acquire meditation/mental health app  Headspace for $300M cash

  • The family of UK billionaire Joe Lewis will inject another $160M into UK soccer club Tottenham Hotspur FC

  • Spirits company Sazerac is in talks to acquire $40M-listed German schnapps maker Berentzen-Gruppe 

  • Air France-KLM is willing to offer Portugal a stake as part of its bid for a 50% stake in nationalized flag carrier TAP

  • Portugal short-listed six investors to submit non-binding offers ‌for a 75% stake in local carrier Azores Airlines

  • Glencore and InfraVia Capital Partners are among suitors interested in a stake in French miner Eramet's lithium operation in Argentina

  • Ardian-backed green investor Hy24 and Spanish public-private financial institution COFIDES ​will take a combined 29% stake Spanish energy firm ‌Moeve's Onuba renewable hydrogen project

  • EU warned miner MMG of antitrust action over its plan ​to buy Anglo American's Brazilian nickel business

  • Canada opened its four largest airports to private capital

VC

  • Drone startup Zipline is in talks to raise $1B at a $20B valuation

  • Space transportation tech startup Impulse Space raised a $308M funding round from 137 Ventures, Lux Capital, Valor Equity Partners, and others

  • Anew Labs, the AI drug making startup spun off from China's ByteDance, raised $290M at a $1.5B valuation in a debut external funding round led by HSG, IDG Capital, Hillhouse ​Investment's GL Ventures, and 5Y Capital

  • Ridgeline, an AI-native investment management platform, raised a $250M Series E at a $1.425B valuation led by founder Dave Duffield 

  • EnduroSat, a Bulgarian SpaceTech company, raised $205M in a funding round co-led by Riot Ventures and Atreides Management

  • Fortell, an AI hearing aid startup, raised $163M from Founders Fund, Thrive Capital, and Valor Equity Partners

  • Arcee AI, an open-weight AI model startup, raised a $150M  Series B at a $1B pre-money valuation led by Vista Equity Partners, Cambium Capital, and Emergence Capital 

  • Model ML, an AI software for IB and other financial services, is in talks to raise over $100M at a $1B valuation

  • BackOps, the AI resolution layer for companies that make or move physical goods, raised a $42M Series B led by Insight Partners

  • Noetive, an AI neolab for operational technology, raised a $41M seed round led by Eclipse

  • Rune, a modular compute system platform, raised a $40M Series A led by Spark Capital 

  • Footprint, an AI OS for risk and compliance, raised a $25M Series B led by QED Investors 

  • Tare, a private credit exchange-builder, raised a $13.25M seed round led by Blockchain Capital

Access the complete VC deal flow and data on Fundable

IPOs / Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Franco-German tank maker KNDS may delay its IPO to next year; a listing could fetch a $15B valuation 

  • Goldman Sachs, HSBC, Fidelity, GIC, ADIA, and others anchored the $2.4B IPO of National Stock Exchange of India, which priced at the top of a marketed range

  • Nuclear supplier Holtec suspended its $900M IPO on AI industry fears

  • Germany's biggest power producer RWE bought an ‌additional 3% stake in M31 to raise its stake in unit transmission system operator ​Amprion to 58% and become a majority shareholder of M31

SPAC / SPV

  • Autonomous ride-hailing technology firm May Mobility will merge with ACP Holdings Acquisition in a $1.4B deal

Debt 

  • A group of 10 banks including Goldman Sachs, SMBC, and Barclays is providing a $22B chip loan to support Blackstone and Alphabet's new cloud venture Crux AI

  • Romania will scale back its $11.5B eurobond issuance plan on political uncertainty

  • LA-based Cedars-Sinai Health System is considering a $2B munis sale

  • KKR-backed APAC flexible workspace provider The Executive Centre raised $585M in financing from Apollo 

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • $670M of leveraged loans of Permira and Spectrum Equity-backed wedding planning platform The Knot Worldwide are trading at distressed 70¢ just weeks after a refinancing

Funds / Secondaries

  • Blackstone is seeking to raise $8B for a renewables and digital infrastructure private credit fund

  • Bain Capital Ventures raised $1.6B for a new fund to back startups building for life after AGI

  • Canadian VC Portage raised $600M for its fourth fintech fund

Upcoming Events 🎾

The LIT Cup Tournament | Friday, 9/25 – Sunday 9/27 | Sensa Padel Nashville

The annual LIT Cup is back at Sensa Padel in Nashville for a weekend of padel, drinks, our favorite DJ, and tournament action among players across four divisions.

We're hosting an intimate happy hour for Nashville's tech, finance, and business community on Friday followed by a weekend of nonstop courtside action.

This is a great opportunity to connect with industry peers, get in your padel reps, or simply enjoy an atmosphere among Nashville's best at Sensa's incredible riverside complex!

Come join us if you're around!

Exec’s Picks

  • Be the person at your firm who actually knows how the AI models work. Eight weeks of machine learning, predictive analytics, and generative AI applied to real business and finance decisions, plus a certificate from Columbia Business School Exec Ed and Wall Street Prep. Live office hours with Columbia faculty. Starts November 9. Get the syllabus.

  • Zuck shared a short essay detailing his view on the recent AI doomio sentiment. A rare contrarian view to Dario and Altman…

Meme Cleanser

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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