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US announced industry-specific tariffs, Goldman is set to lead this year's biggest LBO loan, StubHub is having the worst IPO debut since 2007, private credit giants are deploying credit as equity, Amazon will pay the biggest FTC fine ever, and Intel approached Apple and TSMC for an investment after securing a deal with Nvidia.

Vested has accessibly reimagined VC investing. Hear Vested's CEO explain their major innovations here.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 9/25/2025 market close.

Click here to learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot.*

Markets

  • US stocks continued to fall yesterday as healthy GDP data failed to impress

    • All three major indexes fell for a third-straight day

    • S&P posted its worst losing streak in over a month

  • EM stocks fell 0.8% in its worst day in a month on dented Fed rate cut bets 

    • EM currencies fell for a sixth-straight day 

  • Silver hit $45 for the first time since 2011 

    • Gold is trading near its record high

Earnings

  • Costco beat Q4 earnings and revenue estimates on a 6.4% same-store sales increase and 10%+ membership income and e-commerce sales growth on strong demand from younger members and expansion success in merchandise and online offerings (CNBC)

  • CarMax missed Q2 earnings and revenue estimates as same-store sales declined on tariff-related pull-ahead buying, inventory depreciation, and weaker market conditions; shares plunged 20% as the firm warned of ongoing challenges despite improved inventory and pricing (CNBC)

  • Accenture beat Q4 revenue estimates and announced a $865M restructuring and layoff program to realign operations for AI and digital services; the firm guided for slower FY growth due to federal spending cuts (RT)

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

  • Europe could never.

  • Trade your predictions on a range of events, only on Kalshi. Sign up with code LIT and get a $20 bonus when you trade $100.

Headline Roundup

  • US Q2 GDP growth was revised upwards to 3.8% YoY (BBG)

  • US imposed 25% tariffs on heavy trucks and kitchen cabinets (BBG)

  • US imposed 100% tariffs on pharmaceuticals (RT)

  • Global debt hit a record $338T (RT)

  • Fed reserves fell for a seventh week below $3T as liquidity drains (BBG)

  • Ken Griffin expects one more Fed rate cut this year (RT)

  • Private credit giants turn debt into equity for jumbo deals (BBG)

  • Goldman's $5.5B leveraged loan for Dayforce is this year's biggest (BBG)

  • AI coding startups saw $7.5B in VC funding this quarter (FT

  • BlackRock sees CLOs among best European credit opportunities (BBG)

  • US and Asia LPs are ditching US hedge funds for EMEA (RT)

  • Goldman sees M&A growth being driven by industry consolidation (RT)

  • Wall Street eyes IPO trackers as newly-listed stocks rally (BBG)

  • StubHub is having the worst IPO start since 2007 (BBG)

  • Fed fund futures trading hit a record high (BBG)

  • India is headed for its busiest IPO month this century (BBG)

  • Europe bond sales surged past $230B in September record (BBG)

  • Saudi aims to grow debt market to fund giga projects (BBG)

  • South Korea will start 24-hour won trading in globalization push (BBG)

  • Microsoft disabled some software for Israeli military (BBG)

  • Amazon will settle FTC Prime lawsuit with $2.5B penalty (BBG)

  • Citigroup moved 1k IT jobs to India (BBG)

  • Accenture will cut staff who cannot be retrained for AI (FT)

  • Starbucks will close 1% of North America stores and cut 900 jobs (BBG)

  • Germany's Bosch will cut another 13k jobs (BBG)

  • Europe told Russia they're ready to shoot down jets (BBG)

  • US will block Israel from annexing West Bank (WSJ)

A Message from Vested

Over 70% of startup employees abandon their stock options, in large part because they lack the cash to exercise. And although the major banks support the most senior employees at the latest-stage startups, the long tail of rank-and-file employees — at startups of all stages — have almost nowhere to turn.

Vested has built the infrastructure to serve this deeply fragmented market. In doing so, its funds create diversified portfolios of startups, at prices below what VC recently paid for similar exposure.

Vested is now preparing to support startup employees at scale. Click here to listen to their CEO discuss this fascinating market, and the company's innovative investment approach.

Deal Flow

M&A / Investments

  • Intel approached TSMC for an investment or partnership

  • Spain's regulator approved Spanish bank BBVA's $20B bid to acquire rival Sabadell

  • Oracle, Silver Lake, and Abu Dhabi AI investment firm MGX are in talks to acquire a 45% stake in TikTok from Chinese tech giant ByteDance at a $14B valuation; ByteDance will retain a 20% stake and outside investors will hold the rest

  • Sixth Street Partners and businessman Dean Metropoulos agreed to acquire an 8% stake in NFL's New England Patriots from billionaire Robert Kraft at a $9B valuation

  • Blackstone, Warburg Pincus, Nordic Capital, Hellman & Friedman, and TPG are weighing an investment or acquisition of Canada's La Caisse and CVC-backed French diagnostics provider Sebia, which could be valued at $5.8B

  • The eldest son of Malaysia's billionaire king Ismail Ibrahim is seeking to sell a Singapore plot for $2.7B in potentially the city's largest real estate deal ever

  • Activist hedge fund Irenic Capital Management is encouraging PE firms to take-private $2.3B-listed UK food outlet operator SSP Group

  • Investor Mark Ein acquired a minority stake in the MLB's Baltimore Orioles; the Orioles were last valued at $1.7B in 2024

  • Blackstone is weighing a sale or IPO of genealogy company Ancestry.com

VC

  • Nscale, a European startup building an AI-native infrastructure to power GenAI, raised a $1.1B Series B led by Aker

  • Datavault AI, an AI data visualization, valuation, and monetization platform, raised a $150M strategic investment from Scilex Holding Company

  • Auterion, a defense software company, raised a $130M Series B led by Bessemer Venture Partners

  • Valence, a startup building an enterprise AI coach, raised a $50M Series B led by Bessemer Venture Partners

  • Factory, an AI software development platform, raised a $50M in Series B at a $300m valuation from NEA, Sequoia Capital, Nvidia, and JPMorgan

  • Payments startup RedotPay raised a $47M round from Coinbase Ventures, Galaxy Ventures, and Vertex Ventures

  • Fetcherr, an AI-based decision making platform for airlines, raised a $42M Series C led by Salesforce Ventures

  • Beroe, a procurement intelligence startup, raised $34M in funding led by Relativity Resilience Fund, Mukul Agrawal, Ashish Kacholia, and others

  • Light, a Danish finance software company, raised a $30M Series A led by Balderton Capital

  • Juicebox, an AI-powered search engine that analyzes professional profiles, raised a $30M Series A led by Sequoia

  • European chip cooling startup Corintis raised a $24M Series A at a $400M valuation led by BlueYard Capital

  • Genstore, an AI-native e-commerce startup, raised a $10M seed round led by Weimob

  • enaDyne, a startup building electric non-thermal plasma reactors to convert CO2 into chemicals, raised an $8M seed round led by Amadeus Capital Partners and Energy Capital Ventures

  • Doorstep, a startup helping find missing food deliveries, raised an $8M seed round led by Canaan Partners

  • Spanish AI-native HR platform Orbio raised a $7.6M round led by Visionaries Club

  • Bonsai Health, an AI platform to streamline and automate complex healthcare processes, raised a $7M seed round led by Bonfire Ventures and Wonder Ventures

  • Oolka, an AI-driven credit management platform, raised a $7M seed round led by Lightspeed India Partners and Z47

  • revel8, a European cybersecurity startup fighting AI-powered threats, raised an $8M seed round led by Peak

  • yasp, a European startup accelerating AI model optimization, raised a $4.2M seed round led by Capnamic

IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Korean electronics conglomerate LG Electronics' India unit is seeking to raise $1.3B at a $9B valuation in its India IPO next week

  • China's biggest car exporter Chery Automobile raised $1.2B for a $24B market cap in its Hong kong IPO

  • SoftBank-backed Indian hotel operator Oyo tapped banks to raise $800M at a $7B-$8B valuation in an India IPO

  • Activist Land & Buildings took a 2% stake in $2B-listed theme park operator Six Flags Entertainment and will pressure the firm to spinout or sell its real estate

  • Shares in Carlyle-backed Japanese beer maker Orion Breweries surged 130% after raising raising $156M in its Japan IPO

  • Exzeo Group, an insurance underwriting and analytics platform being carved out of HCI Group, filed for a $100M IPO

  • Citigroup will seek more minority investors in its Mexican retail unit Banamex before launching an IPO 

  • Goldman Sachs' Petershill alternative investments vehicle will delist from London

SPAC

  • Pharma SPAC Drugs Made In America Acquisition II raised $500M in this year's largest SPAC IPO

Debt

  • Google-linked crypto miner TeraWulf is planning to raise $3B in high yield debt to support the build-out of its data centers

  • Dutch brewer Heineken received $8.6B of orders for its $2.35B bond sale to finance its $3.2B acquisition of Florida Ice and Farm Company's beverage and retail businesses

  • Distressed Hong Kong builder New World Development raised a $508M secured loan backed its crown jewel asset in the city

  • Saudi's PIF-owned jet leasing firm AviLease plans to raise $500M in a debut bond sale

  • State-owned Uganda Development Bank plans to raise $500M in debt

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • Auto part supplier First Brands Group is preparing to enter bankruptcy with no restructuring plan in place

  • A group of companies used by First Brands Group to raise financing filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy

  • Brazilian waste management company Ambipar was granted emergency protection against creditors after telling a court it was at risk of financial collapse

  • Botswana is holding an unprecedented ad-hoc diamond auction amid economic struggles

Fundraising / Secondaries

  • Ares is seeking to raise $8B in equity fundraising to back data centers across London, Japan, and Brazil

  • Infrastructure investor Stonepeak is seeking to raise $4B for its second Asian infrastructure fund

  • Blue Owl and Qatar SWF QIA partnered to launch a $3B data center venture

  • Blackstone's real estate debt business partnered with Pluto Finance to lend $2.7B to small and medium-sized developers and investors in Europe

  • The VC arm of biopharma giant Sanofi raised $625M for its latest biotech fund

  • VC First Round Capital is eyeing $500M for its tenth flagship fund

  • Re/insurance firm Hudson Structured Capital Management raised a $110M secondaries fund to acquire a portfolio of life insurance-linked securities

  • PE firm NorthSands Capital is seeking to raise a debut secondaries fund

Crypto Sum Snapshot

  • Stablecoin giant Circle examines 'reversible' transactions in departure for crypto

  • Unusual trading ahead of crypto-treasury deals draws scrutiny from regulators

Subscribe to Crypto Sum for the most important stories on everything crypto.

Exec’s Picks

  • Litquidity x Harbinger: Motor Mixer – Tuesday, October 14, Los Angeles

    Litquidity Ventures is partnering with Harbinger for yet another epic #LATechWeek event in October. We're hosting an intimate gathering of friends, investors, creators, and founders at an exclusive private car club in Westside, Los Angeles. Join us for an evening of meaningful conversations and connections. Spots are limited. RSVP here.

  • Litquidity recently launched the AI Alpha Fund on Autopilot to invest in companies across the AI value chain – from semiconductor leaders powering hardware and infrastructure providers enabling scale to application innovators transforming industries. If you want exposure to publicly-traded stocks that are benefiting from the AI boom, check out Litquidity's AI Alpha Fund.*

Finance & Startup Recruiting 💼

Litney Partners

If you're a junior banker looking for your next career move, check out Litney Partners, a recruiting venture between Litquidity and Whitney Partners (the oldest purely financial services executive search and consulting firm), Litney Partners places talent at leading firms in PE, hedge funds, VC, growth, credit, IB, and fintech and is currently recruiting for some incredible roles. Head over to our website to drop your resume and we'd love to get in touch!

Next Play

If you're down bad, realizing finance isn't for you, and want to explore the world of startups (BizOps, chief of staff, strategic finance, etc.), fill out this form. Next Play will reach out to schedule a 1:1 video call if they think they can help as your own, personal startup matchmaker. They've grown their community to over 50k talented professionals and have deep relationships across the tech ecosystem.

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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