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Big Tech firms are showing 'deep interest' in mining stakes, quant trading firms are looking to trade compute, Anthropic was assigned the highest junk credit rating by KBRA, Anthropic is quietly lobbying lawmakers for its own AI safety bill, and France is in shambles after a weekend of violent "protests."

After receiving endless requests in the past few months, we decided to launch a second version of Off-Market. Just in time for the fall. Or cuffing season, as some of you like to call it 👀

Today's letter is brought to you by F2, the agentic operating system for global credit, built by former bankers, investors, and AI experts. Book a demo and see for yourself.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 10/16/2026 market close.

Powered by Model ML, the AI-native workspace and agentic software platform for financial services, banking, PE, and asset management.

Learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot.*

Markets

  • US stock indexes slumped on Friday as traders rotated out of tech stock amid rising yields and inflation 

    • Nasdaq posted its worst week since June

    • Nasdaq-100 lost 5.5% in its biggest weekly drop since 'Liberation Day' in April 2025

    • Chip stocks fell for an eighth day for its longest slide since 2008

    • KBW Bank index is down 13% since its August ATH after falling for six weeks in its worst losing streak since 2008

    • VIX volatility index rose above 22 for the first time in four months

  • Chinese stocks have become the biggest losers from the faltering AI trade

    • Tech-heavy STAR 50 index is down 40% since July

    • Hardware-focused ChiNext index is down 36% since July 

  • Indonesia's JKSE plunged 12% in its worst day since 1998 to take YTD losses past 40% after MSCI warned it could cut the nation from indexes

  • Dollar posted its worst week since early September

    • Euro snapped a five-week down streak 

  • Brent touched $110/bbl for the first time since May

Earnings

  • What we're watching this week: 

    • Tuesday: SpaceX, Netflix, RTX, GM, 3M

    • Wednesday: Tesla, Meta, IBM

    • Thursday: Blackstone, American Airlines, Bloom Energy, Lockheed Martin

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

  • Odds of Musk's personal wealth re-crossing $1T momentarily spiked following a historic Tesla Roadster launch. Interesting to see how the evolution of Tesla cars (rocket-powered but still EV) will play out for business

  • Sign up to trade on the Polymarket US app with code LIT and they'll send you a $25 bonus

Headline Roundup

  • France is in shambles (NYT)

  • US annual budget gap hit a five-year high at $2T (RT)

  • Funding markets diverge as T-bills cheapen (RT)

  • Central bankers eye higher rates as AI boom fuels scramble for cash (RT)

  • America's $10T AI infrastructure boom is starting to fray (FT)

  • Global hedge funds got hammered by the AI aloof last week (RT)

  • China AI supply chain IPOs hold firm despite valuation pullback (RT)

  • Big Tech firms are showing 'deep interest' in mining stakes (FT)

  • Quant trading firms are assembling teams to trade compute (BBG)

  • Evercore named co-presidents for first time ahead of CEO succession (FT)

  • JPMorgan and BofA cut off MAGA and Democrat groups (WSJ)

  • Citigroup and BofA restricted AI agents from accessing client accounts (FT)

  • Anthropic was assigned highest junk credit rating BB+ by KBRA in June (FT)

  • Anthropic has quietly pitched its own AI safety bill to lawmakers (RT)

  • Apple blames 'extraordinary' demand as foldable iPhones sell out (FT)

  • Accenture capped employee's Claude budget to $29/month (404)

  • CoreWeave's CEO sold $1B of stock since IPO (RT)

  • Rich make millions by flipping private jets (FT)

A Message from F2

AI for global credit, built by people who have run the deals themselves

Every bank and asset manager is piloting some version of horizontal AI right now, but access to intelligence is not purpose-built infrastructure. F2 comes from former bankers, investors, and AI experts who have run deals, structured credit facilities, and written IC memos, and it works the way deal teams do:

  • Credit Native: purpose-built for credit workflows

  • Forward Deployed Engineers: credit veterans inside your firm from day one

  • Institutional Knowledge: your deal history, structured, queryable, and compounding

Firms managing $400B in assets run on F2, "the rare tool that actually delivers on efficiency," per one client.

Deal Flow

M&A / Strategic

  • SoftBank is considering an acquisition of Warburg Pincus and La Caisse-backed security services giant Allied Universal for $30B, including $12B of debt

  • EQT agreed to LBO Australia's Cleanaway Waste Management for $6.5B, including debt, at a 32% premium

  • Japanese life insurer Daiichi Life offered to buy the remaining 80% of Aussie asset manager Challenger at a $5.5B valuation at a 20% premium

  • French pasta maker Panzani and Portugal's Cerealis are in exclusive talks to merge in a $2B deal

  • IT consulting giant Accenture is exploring a $1.5B sale of its China unit

  • German airline Lufthansa is exploring a $1.1B sale of its Lufthansa Systems software unit

  • Avenue Capital emerged as the leading bidder for a 10% stake worth $360M in the international media rights of Italy's top soccer league Serie A

  • PACT Capital acquired a minority stake in MM PE firm Sterling Investment Partners

  • Brazil's largest financial institution Itaú Unibanco will acquire a 35% stake in Brazilian alternative asset manager Prisma Capital

  • Delfin, the holding company of Italy's Del Vecchio family and top shareholder in EssilorLuxottica, held preliminary talks for ​financing options for a purchase of stakes in Delfin held ‌by one or more shareholders

  • Spanish steelmaker Celsa is weighing a sale or IPO

VC

  • Allswell, an LGBT behavioral health company, raised a $7M seed round led by Rethink Impact

  • Hang Ten, an AI creator-economy startup, raised a $53M funding round led by Xora (Temasek)  

  • RapidCanvas, an Indian managed AI execution company, raised a $29M Series B led by Vertex Ventures SEA & India 

  • Sharp Performance, a confidential performance coaching platform for first responders, raised an $18M Series A led by Hidden Variable

  • Multiliquid, a tokenized asset settlement platform, raised an $8M seed round led by Polychain Capital

Access the complete VC deal flow and data on Fundable

IPOs / Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Anthropic will commit 5% of shares to a public benefit fund

  • Mynt, the company behind Philippine fintech GCash, is set to raise $1B at a $7B valuation in Philippine's biggest IPO ever

  • Egypt's Banque du Caire is looking to raise $455M in a 30% IPO, the country's biggest IPO in years

  • Fidelity-backed RNAi-based drug developer of City Therapeutics jumped 25% after raising $200M in an upsized IPO for a $1.16B valuation

  • Dubai Investments Park Development is pushing ahead with plans to IPO in UAE's first listing this year

SPAC / SPV

  • Quantisimo, a quantum technology platform backed by WISeKey, will merge with SPAC GigCapital8 Corp. at a $666M pro forma equity value

Debt

  • Kimberly-Clark is in talks for a bond sale to fund its $36B cash-and-stock acquisition of Tylenol maker Kenvue

  • Bank of America sold $8B of high-grade debt

  • Carlyle agreed to buy $7.7B of unsecured personal loans from Truist Financial

  • US regional lender First Horizon will offload $4.5B of consumer mortgages

  • Thoma Bravo-backed cybersecurity firm Proofpoint secured $1.25B in high-yield debt led by JPMorgan and UBS to support its $6.3B all-cash acquisition of peer Varonis Systems  

  • Indian IT firm Persistent Systems is set to raise $840M in local bonds to fund its $1.25B acquisition of German technology services ​company Nagarro

  • Summit Partners and OptumHealth-backed Sound Inpatient Physicians is close to a $1B refinancing with existing lenders including Monarch and PGIM after a loan deal failed

  • Anthropic offered Blackstone a more than 10% yield to finance its latest chip deal

  • Microsoft pulled out of a deal to lease compute from UK cloud startup Nscale

  • Angola is weighing panda and Islamic bond sales to diversify funding sources

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • Swiss PE firm Partners Group is blocking hedge funds from disrupting efforts to refinance $6.7B of debt owed by Emeria, Ammega Group, and Breitling

  • Struggling Hong Kong developer New World Development is in talks with banks to extend an $11.2B loan

  • Oaktree's deal to take over a life insurer owned by Advantage Capital Holdings collapsed, leaving the firm to discuss alternatives amid exposure to defunct investment firm 777 Partners

Funds / Secondaries

  • PE firm GTCR raised $14.2B for its latest flagship fund

  • Healthcare/biotech investor OrbiMed raised $3B across its tenth US and Europe privates fund and sixth Asia fund

  • EMK Capital raised a $1.4B CV for Dutch technical installation services provider VDK Groep led by LGT Capital Partners and Coller EQT

  • Private markets investor Cliffwater's real assets funds surpassed $1B in AUM in one month

  • CAZ Investments' private markets interval fund hit $900M in AUM

  • Investment firm Apogem raised $472M for its fourth real asset funds which will focus on lower MM and MM opportunities through secondaries, co-investments, and direct deals

  • UK asset manager Legal & General and renewable energy specialist NTR raised $370M for its fourth clean power fund 

  • Lightspeed Venture Partners is targeting $250M for its fifth India fund

  • Industrials real estate investor The Meritex Company raised a multi-asset CV led by Goldman Sachs

  • Coller, the secondaries specialist owned by EQT, launched its third credit secondaries fund

Crypto Sum Snapshot

  • Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, and Morgan Stanley all called tokenization a growth opportunity on Q3 calls

  • OpenAI models hacked a crypto wallet

Crypto Sum compiles the most important stories on everything crypto. Read it here.

Exec’s Picks

  • Dealmakers spend enough time chasing deals. They shouldn't have to chase information across unconnected tools, too. Grata Intelligence is Datasite's new agentic M&A workspace, bringing proprietary market data, firm knowledge, and deal context together so teams can move from sourcing through diligence and analysis without constantly switching systems or starting from scratch. Less busywork, more dealmaking. See how it works.

  • I was recently chatting with my buddy about Lego's business success and how they've managed to pounce on virtually every cultural trend to stay persistently relevant among all demographics. Turns out WSJ had the same thoughts in mind. Check out their interview with Lego's product and marketing chief Julia Goldin on how the iconic brick-maker has expanded its scope beyond young boys.

  • Also, nearly all volume on FIFA-linked prediction market ADI PredictStreet is circular trading.

OFF-MARKET❤️‍🔥

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Senior Quant Analyst – Quant Hedge Fund 💼

We are working with one of the most renowned global quant hedge funds to help hire a senior quant analyst to join their systematic trading strategies team.

The individual will play a key role in developing and refining quantitative models, conducting research on market data, and collaborating with technical talent in a collegial, meritocratic environment characterized by intellectual rigor and innovation.

The ideal candidate will have:

  • Outstanding academic and professional track record with a technical degree from a top university in a STEM or adjacent field

  • Demonstrated history of developing successful quantitative models, preferably involving transaction cost analysis or high-frequency trading

  • Deep proficiency in numerical and statistical tools and programming languages like Python or Java in a quant research or trading environment

If this sounds like you, we'd love to get in touch! You can learn more, pass it along to friends, or apply below.

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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