China's AI Chip Embargo

AI and chip stocks were down on news that the US may limit chip exports to China, US banks have increased sales of loan portfolios to private lenders, Apple stock hit a record high, the Biden-McCarthy deal failed to tame US debt, Teamsters want a final contract from UPS, and OpenAI was sued for theft.

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AI and chip stocks were down on news that the US may limit chip exports to China, US banks have increased sales of loan portfolios to private lenders, Apple stock hit a record high, the Biden-McCarthy deal failed to tame US debt, Teamsters want a final contract from UPS, and OpenAI was sued for theft.

Let’s dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 6/28/2023 market close.

Markets

  • US stocks wobbled after Fed Chair Jerome Powell left open the possibility of consecutive interest-rate hikes

    • AI stocks lost ground on reports that the US is considering more restrictions on AI chip sales to China

  • Traders now see an 79.4% chance of a 25 bps Fed rate hike in July

Earnings

  • Micron beat Q2 expectations on higher than expected demand for memory chips inside AI servers, but traditional data center server demand remains soft (BN)

  • General Mills missed Q1 estimates as price hikes to counter inflation dented demand for its ready-to-eat cereals and meal kits; their stock was down 5% (RT)

  • BlackBerry beat Q1 revenue estimates on growth in its cybersecurity business unit thanks to YoY increase in billings and pipeline, particularly from government customers (BZ)

  • What we're watching this week:

    • Today: Nike, Paychex, Simply Good Foods

    • Friday: Constellation Brands

  • Full calendar here

Headline Roundup

  • M&A / IPO deal value is down ~$1T YoY (BBG)

  • US banks step up sales of loan portfolios to private lenders (FT)

  • US mulls new export restriction on computer power in AI chips (RT)

  • Junk-rated companies accept tougher terms to borrow (WSJ)

  • US M&A deals may get tougher and longer amid new rules (BBG)

  • Big US banks would lose $541B in doomsday scenario, predicts Fed (FT)

  • Foreigners raise record Yuan debt in China as global issuers tap low rates (YF)

  • China’s factory activity seen contracting for third month in June (RT)

  • Biden-McCarthy deal fails to tame US debt as Republicans demand cuts (BBG)

  • Yen slide fuels speculation over government intervention (FT)

  • Apple stock hits record, on cusp of $3T market value (RT)

  • Google violated promised standards in ~80% of video-ad deals (WSJ)

  • US Teamsters demand final contract offer from UPS (RT)

  • DoorDash revealed a new wage model (DD)

  • Oaktree named Robert O’Leary and Armen Panossian as co-CEOs (WSJ)

  • ChatGPT creator OpenAI sued for theft of private data in ‘AI Arms Race’ (BBG)

  • Chinese ballon used US tech to spy on Americans (WSJ)

  • National Geographic laid off its last remaining staff writers (WP)

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Deal Flow

M&A / Investments

  • The Qatari group led by Sheikh Jassim Bin Hamad J.J. Al Thani is confident in winning the long-delayed race to acquire Manchester United in a deal worth at least $6B (BBG)

  • New York State Teachers’ Retirement System is looking to sell $6B worth of PE assets on the secondary market (BBG)

  • Vietnamese conglomerate Truong Hai Group is considering bringing in an investor for Thaco Auto, its automobile arm, in a deal that could value the unit at $5B (RT)

  • Controlling shareholder John Swire & Sons is buying Hong Kong conglomerate Swire Pacific’s Swire Coca-Cola USA unit for $3.9B (RT)

  • EU antitrust regulators have temporarily suspended their investigation into Korean Air Line’s $3.8B acquisition of Asiana Airlines after the former asked for more time to prepare competition concern remedies (RT)

  • Arcline Investment Management increased their bid to $1.8B for industrial manufacturer Circor International, 12% higher than KKR’s $1.7B bid that Circor had accepted (RT)

  • Ramsay Health Care and Malaysian conglomerate Sime Darby are exploring a sale of their Asian healthcare joint venture Ramsay Sime Darby Health Care at a possible valuation of $1.3B (RT)

  • Ascential's consumer research unit WGSN, which has a price tag of ~$1B, has attracted two bids including PE firm Apax Partners (RT)

  • GQG Partners bought stakes worth $1B in Adani Enterprises, Adani’s flagship company, and Adani Green Energy from the family trust (BBG)

  • Payments giant Visa will acquire Brazilian fintech Pismo for $1B cash (RT)

  • Indian edtech startup Byju is in advanced talks to raise $1B from new investors and is seeking to avoid a revolt from existing ones (RT)

  • Premier single family home leasing company Invitation Homes is nearing an agreement to buy a portfolio of 2,000 rental homes for ~$800M from Starwood Capital Group, whose Starwood Real Estate Income Trust is facing redemptions (BBG)

  • Ireland sold a 5% stake in Irish lender AIB Group, raising $527M (RT)

  • A group that includes Ryan Reynold’s Maximum Efforts Investments will acquire a 24% $218M stake in Alpine F1 Team at a ~$900M valuation (AP)

  • Indian mattress maker Sheela Foam is acquiring rival Kurlon Enterprise for $396M cash (RT)

  • TSG Consumer Partners is exploring a sale of outdoor gear retailer Backcountry, which is worth ‘hundreds million dollars’ (BBG)

  • Singapore state investor Temasek is selling $296M worth of shares, or a 1.85% stake, in national carrier Singapore Airlines (RT)

  • Thomson Reuters will buy digital content asset management company Imagen, which owns the Screenocean video distribution platform (RT)

  • French lender BNP Paribas is in exclusive talks to acquire French multinational telecoms company Orange SA’s 2 million Orange Bank clients (BBG)

  • Advent-owned NielsenIQ is set to receive conditional EU antitrust approval for its acquisition of German market research firm GfK on the condition GfK sells its consumer panel business (RT)

  • India’s antitrust body is scrutinizing Air India's planned merger with Vistara over competition concerns (RT)

VC

  • Celestial AI, a startup developing photonics-based tech for data transfer, raised a $100M Series B led by IAG Capital Partners, Koch Disruptive Technologies, and Xora Innovation Fund (TC)

  • Miami-based sports betting and media company Betr raised a $35M Series A-2 at a $300M pre-money valuation led by Roger Ehrenberg and Fuel Venture Capital (FN)

  • Carbon recycling startup CRI raised a $30M round led by Equinor Ventures (FN)

  • AI software for radiologists Gleamer raised a $29.5M Series B led by Supernova Invest and Heal Capital (TC)

  • Venn Software, a startup developing technology to enable secure BYO-PCs, raised a $29M Series A led by NewSpring Capital (PRN)

  • Astrix Security, a platform helping companies secure app integrations, raised a $25M Series A led by CRV (TC)

  • Parabola, a collaborative data tool, raised a $24M Series B led by OpenView (PRN)

  • Cultivated fish products startup Bluu Seafood raised a $17.5M Series A led by Sparkfood and LBBW VC (TC)

  • Green technology startup Gradient Comfort raised a $9M Series A led by Climate Investment (FN)

  • Robotic process automation startup Quandri raised an $8.5M Series A led by FUSE (TC)

  • Maza, a fintech startup aimed at undocumented immigrants, raised an $8M seed round led by a16z (TC)

  • Evommune, a clinical-stage biotech company focused on treating inflammatory diseases, raised a $7.5M Series B from Verition Fund Management (PRN)

  • Clearstory, a startup providing a change order communications tool for construction businesses, raised a $5.5M round led by GS Futures (FN)

  • Contoro Robotics, a startup augmenting robot intelligence with AI, raised a $4.7M seed round led by SV Investment (PRN)

  • Sixty AI, an AI-powered personal relationship management platform, raised a $3.5M seed round led by 468 Capital (FN)

  • Qlog, a Tel Aviv-based healthcare technology provider, raised a $2.5M seed round led by eHealth Ventures and Sanara Capital (FN)

  • 32Co, a collaborative healthtech startup, raised a $2.2M round led by Balderton Capital (FN)

  • Renatus Robotics, a startup building logistics automation systems, raised a $2M seed round led by e-LogiT and CVC fund Dawn Capital (FN)

  • Invary, a cybersecurity startup focused on detecting hidden malware and preventing costly ransomware attacks, raised a $1.9M pre-seed round led by Flyover Capital (PRN)

IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • India’s state oil marketing company Bharat Petroleum will raise $2.2B through an equity issuance to pursue green energy objectives (RT)

  • China IC Fund II will invest $414M in China’s second-largest chip foundry Hua Hong Semiconductor through its share sale (RT)

  • China's Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Pharmaceutical is looking to raise $209M in a Hong Kong IPO (RT)

SPAC

  • UK autonomous vehicle tech company EVIE Autonomous is merging with Bannix Acquisition Corp. in a $500M deal (NSC)

Debt

  • Chile sold $2.25B of sustainability-linked dollar bonds (YF)

  • Data center firm TierPoint aims to raise $400M in a bond sale (CS)

Bankruptcy / Restructuring

  • Britain’s biggest water supplier Thames Water is in talks with officials over contingency plans and possible nationalization over growing concerns of its $16.5B debt load (BBG)

  • Bankrupt FTX is planning to relaunch its international cryptocurrency exchange and is currently soliciting interested parties (RT)

  • The Malaysian government has agreed to restructure the debts of state palm oil plantation agency Felda through the issuance of revolving credit and sukuk, or sharia-compliant bonds (RT)

Fundraising

  • CVC Capital Partners has secured at least $27.3B in commitments for CVC Capital Partners IX, putting it on track to raise the largest ever private equity fund (PEI)

  • Oaktree Capital Management raised $2.3B for its first private credit fund dedicated to life science companies (BBG)

  • Startup accelerator Techstars raised $150M for a new startup accelerator fund (TC)

Crypto Corner

  • 130 countries representing 98% of the global economy are exploring digital versions of their currencies (RT)

  • A UK legal body recommends creating a new category of personal property that would include digital assets (RT)

  • Long-time Bitcoin superbull MicroStrategy’s Michael Saylor bought $347M Bitcoin in Q2 (BBG)

  • FTX is suing its former top compliance officer for allegedly letting SBF raid customer funds and silencing whistleblowers (BBG)

Exec’s Picks

  • Trung Phan highlighted how TBS sped up Seinfeld reruns by 7.5% to account for longer commercial breaks.

  • The Information covered how Social IRL, an upstart social media app that previously raised $200M, was forced to wind down after an investigation by its board confirmed that 95% of its users were fake.

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