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Good Morning,

There's lots in the news to start the week as traders look to another earnings season but this time with the backdrop of soaring yields. There was also some interesting developments in the Russia-Ukraine war, a collapsed data center IPO, and an unusually busy IPO pipeline.

On the culture side of things, Aaron Sorkin's 'Social Reckoning' sequel tanked on opening weekend. Haven't watched it yet but you just know it's gonna produce some hilarious memes…

See how you can optimize your company's finances with BILL and they'll send you a free Malbon Walking Bag.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 10/9/2026 market close.

Learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot.*

Markets

  • US stocks rose on Friday as traders braced for Q3 earnings season amid pressure from rising yields

  • Euro Stoxx banks index is down 10% from peaks as yields bite 

  • Dollar gained 3% in a four-week advance for its longest winning streak since early 2025

Earnings

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Tuesday: JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Domino's, Johnson & Johnson 

    • Wednesday: Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, BlackRock, ASML

    • Thursday: TSMC

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

  • The 10Y yield is up a whole 1% point since January yet recession odds seem to be steady

  • Sign up to trade on the Polymarket US with code LIT for a $25 bonus

Headline Roundup

  • 'Social Reckoning' film tanks on opening weekend (BBG)

  • US 10Y yields risk hitting 6% for first time since 2000 (FT)

  • AI-powered bull market nears four-year anniversary (RT)

  • AI-related firms are likely to to drive most Q3 earnings gains (RT)

  • Tech earnings loom large for hedge funds packed into dispersion trade (BBG)

  • Bond selloff may mean fewer rate hikes (BBG)

  • Big investors 'bottom fish' in Eurozone bond markets after France selloff (FT)

  • EM assets are better armed for renewed European debt turmoil (BBG)

  • Institutional investors challenge PE fund model with direct deals (FT)

  • Firmus misfire casts shadow on data center IPOs (BBG)

  • AI borrowing slows as investors grow wary of debt binge (FT)

  • Once-hot AI trade leaves Korean stocks struggling for buyers (BBG)

  • Banks head for $5B gold trading windfall in record year (BBG)

  • JPMorgan bets on European asset management growth (FT)

  • Waldron's rise stirs talk inside Goldman of knock-on succession plans (RT)

  • KKR banned non-competes for lower-paid US PortCo staff (BBG)

  • Telecom stocks wiped $60B in market cap after SpaceX's spectrum deal (FT)

  • OpenAI expects ARR to hit $70B by year-end (BBG)

  • Apple will debut a touch-screen MacBook this month (BBG)

  • Netflix will cut 5% of jobs (RT)

  • Changing consumer habits are a top driver of large bankruptcies (WSJ)

  • Trump renewed his bid to fire Fed's Lisa Cook (RT)

  • US agreed deal for Russia to release diesel on to global market (FT)

  • US threatened to block arms for Ukraine over Russian refinery attacks (FT)

A Message from BILL

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Deal Flow

M&A / Strategic

  • Nvidia is in talks to potentially acqui-hire open-weight AI model startup Reflection AI; the firm was recently valued at $25B

  • Italian insurer Unipol got ECB approval to exceed 20% ⁠of $32B-listed Italian lender BPER Banca to take ​de facto control as it seeks to hold over 30% of a future ‌banking ⁠group combining BPER Banca and assets carved out of larger peer ​BMPS

  • Semiconductor firm Cirrus Logic made an unsolicited offer for Synaptics last month, which led On Semiconductor to improve its offer for a $5.7B all-cash deal

  • GTCR and Elliott are in advanced talks to acquire $4B-listed car insurance software provider CCC Intelligent Solutions 

  • India's Tata Motors raised its cash offer for $4B-listed Italian truck maker Iveco to a 7% premium

  • One Equity Partners will acquire the Nexora technology unit of energy distributor DCC Energy at a $735M valuation ahead of its LBO by KKR

  • Colombian billionaire developer Jaime Gilinski obtained rights to Venezuela's Bare field and flipped it for majority control in GeoPark for an initial $515M stake

  • Portugal's Galp Energia is weighing a sale of its residential clients portfolio

  • Family office The Friedkin Group is considering selling a controlling interest in UK soccer club Everton FC less than two years after acquiring it

  • Turkey Wealth Fund will take over state-run lenders Ziraat Bankasi and Halkbank 

VC

  • Nvidia-backed Aussie data center firm Firmus is exploring raising $2B-$3B in a private funding round after its IPO collapsed

  • Enterprise banking fintech Ramp raised a $1.85B round at a $60B pre-money valuation led by Dragoneer and Thrive Capital

  • Vivek Ramaswamy's nuclear startup Atlas Atomics raised a $400M Series A at a $1.9B valuation led by General Catalyst

  • Sequoia-backed pre-product microchip startup Nuvacore is raising hundreds of millions of dollars at a $2.5B 

  • Oxide Computer Company, an on-premises cloud computing company, raised a $445M Series D led by Eclipse

  • Voltus, a distributed energy resource (DER) technology platform and virtual power plant operator, raised a $225M Series D led by Generation Investment Management, Activate Capital, and Vitol

  • Scanntech, a retail technology company that monitors real-time supermarket sales, raised a $180M round led by L Catterton

  • Sabi, a brain-AI interface startup, raised a $50M seed round led by Khosla Ventures

  • Kapta Space, a developer of next-generation space-borne radar payloads, raised a $24M Series A led by Washington Harbour Partners and Bison Ventures

  • Torch Systems, an outdoor asset intelligence company, raised an $11.5M round from Khosla Ventures, Abstract, and others

Access the complete VC deal flow and data on Fundable

IPOs / Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Jio Platforms, the telecoms unit of Indian conglomerate Reliance Industries, is set to price its record India IPO to raise $3.1B at a $107B valuation

  • KKR-owned Dutch bottler Refresco is exploring a US or Europe IPO at a targeted $10B valuation

  • Indian manufacturing platform Zetwerk is set to launch its India IPO to raise $525M at a $2.8B valuation

  • Airtel Money, the mobile money business of Airtel Africa (the telecoms unit of Indian conglomerate Bharti Enterprises), slid 6% in its trading debut after raising $700M for a $6.6B valuation in UK's biggest IPO since 2021

  • SoftBank-backed Nigerian fintech OPay raised $185M in a private placement with Africa's biggest bank Standard Bank as it prepares to list in the US

  • Fidelity-backed RNAi-based drug developer of City Therapeutics filed for an IPO to raise $185M at a $950M valuation

  • Inflammation focused-biotech TRex Bio closed flat in its trading debut after raising $117M for a $385M market cap in an IPO priced at the bottom of marketed range

  • Banque du Caire will sell a 30% stake on Egypt's stock exchange

  • Power infrastructure firm Base Electron ​confidentially filed for and IPO

  • Inflammation-focused biotech Bambusa Therapeutics filed for an IPO

  • Christian-conservative wireless provider Patriot Mobile filed for an IPO

  • Swiss dental tech firm vVardis filed for a US IPO

Debt

  • Bankers are working on a $7.9B debt package to back a potential sale of Siemens Energy's steam turbines business, with PE firms CVC, EQT, and Bain Capital considering potential $12B bids

  • India's Aditya Birla Renewables is seeking $1.5B in rupee loans to fund its $1.8B acquisition of Shell's Indian ​renewable energy arm Solenergi Power

  • Cable TV firm Cable One is nearing a $1.25B financing to address its balance sheet

  • Cinven-owned French private school operator Omnes Education is looking to refinance $785M of debt

  • Ardian, GIP, Vodafone, and KKR-backed Italian telecom towers firm INWIT is arranging financing to buy out minority shareholders in a potential take-private

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • Electronic Arts secured an investment grade rating from Egan-Jones Ratings after some creditors sued claiming default following its record $55B LBO

  • Venezuela's creditor group now holds 37% of outstanding debt, a nominal value of $22B, and expects to reach 40% in the coming weeks

  • Virgin Media O2's bonds slid deeper into distress to 37¢ after UK's regulator said Nexfibre's expected $2.6B acquisition of Netomnia, in which Virgin has a stake, could hurt competition

  • Nursing home operator Genesis Healthcare won court approval to amend its $1B asset sale to 101 W. State Street, clearing way for a bankruptcy sale

  • A Jefferies fund claims it found fraud in $900M worth of deals by iron ore traders Radiant World and Sapphire Minmetals 

  • A federal judge temporarily blocked Cable One from acquiring the remaining stake in Mega Broadband Investments for $480M after lender CoBank sued to stop the transaction

  • Asian investment firm PAG is in exclusive talks with the liquidators of collapsed developer China Evergrande for a majority stake in its property management unit

Funds / Secondaries

  • SoftBank is seeking to raise $100B from Gulf SWFs to plow more into AI

  • Infrastructure investor Meridiam raised $4.5B for a CV holding 15 assets across America

  • VC secondaries firm Collective Global is seeking to raise $1.2B for its second GP stakes fund

  • Singapore SWF GIC sold $1B worth of Asian PE LP stakes in EQT, TPG Asia, and KKR in a deal with FOF Harbourvest Partners

  • Yale University sold another $1B of PE LP stakes in a deal with Harbourvest Partners

  • Private credit firm WhiteHorse Capital is seeking to raise a $680M multi-asset CV for its publicly traded BDC

  • Taurus Private Markets raised $300M for its third PE FOF

  • PE secondaries firm Pomona Capital reached an 80% fundraising target for its eleventh North America buyouts fund 

  • Secondaries firm Armen acquired a minority stake in Freshstream, the European PE firm operating as IHT Records Limited

Crypto Sum Snapshot

  • China will build a new national blockchain network

  • Andrew Cuomo says tokenized stocks bring 'radical change' to markets

  • BoE says they will be 'the banker to the stablecoin'

Crypto Sum compiles the most important stories on everything crypto. Read it here.

Exec’s Picks

  • Scott Bessent sent another brutal letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren for her lack of understanding of any economic topic and shared it on his Twitter for everyone to see. It's the most incredible thing you'll read today. Wait till you see his signature at the end.

  • Also, it's pretty tough to launch a hedge fund right now, even if you are a star-trader from one of the mega funds.

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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