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Good Morning,

Big Law firm Sidley Austin hired a banker to lead an RX practice, chip giant Marvell is in talks for one of the largest tech M&A deals ever, global bond sales have shattered records, Apple debuted its first touchscreen MacBook, OpenAI will buy Google chips, and legendary law firm Weil will dissolve in a dramatic failure following a failed merger deal to end a 95-year legacy.

Plaid published an informative report on how AI is changing financial fraud and how your firm can adapt to prevent compromise. Get it here.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 10/28/2026 market close.

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Learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot*

Markets

  • US stocks inched upwards yesterday as investors digested the Fed's rate decision along with major Big Tech earnings 

    • S&P and Dow rose for a third-straight day 

  • China-Hong Kong premium of dual-listed stocks widened to the most in 17 months amid China's stimulus efforts

  • New Zealand dollar slid 1.9% versus Aussie dollar in its worst day since 2017 after it surprisingly held rates steady

Earnings

  • Alphabet missed Q3 earnings and revenue estimates in its first in four years and posted negative FCF while announcing plans to increase AI capex in 2027 to fund its AI efforts (CNBC)

  • Microsoft beat Q3 earnings and revenue estimates driven by 48% growth in its cloud business though FCF dropped by 27% as it ramps up AI capex (CNBC)

  • UBS met on Q3 earnings estimates on strong inflows into its global wealth management business; the bank continues to battle with the Swiss government on regulations (CNBC)

  • FedEx issued a Q3 beat-and-raise as it wins across high-value market segments while optimizing its network (CNBC)

  • Chipotle missed Q3 earnings estimates though same-store sales rose on the back of low income customers; the chains expects the trend to continue into Q4 (CNBC)

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Today: Amazon, Intel, Coinbase, Reddit, Starbucks, Lilly

    • Friday: ExxonMobil, Chevron

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

  • If you want an idea on just how cooked the Republicans are this midterms, event contracts have a Democrat winning the 2028 presidency and no one even knows who the nominee might be

  • Trade this market on the Polymarket US app. Sign up with code LIT to get a $25 bonus

Headline Roundup

  • Fed held rates steady at 3.75%-4% despite 'elevated' inflation (CNBC)

  • Global bond sales have shattered records (BBG)

  • US allies have slashed Treasury purchases by 60%, led by Asia (BBG)

  • China will speed bond sales in stimulus efforts (BBG)

  • UBS CEO signals Switzerland exit over capital regulations (WSJ)

  • Bloomberg is paying for faster access to Trump's Truth Social posts (RT) 

  • Australia is investigating the bankers in Firmus' failed IPO (BBG)

  • Hundreds of stock funds got wiped out in LatAm market collapse (BBG)

  • Star trader's woes turn up the heat on European junk debt (BBG)

  • Prediction market bets set the tone for Anthropic's IPO (RT)

  • OpenAI will buy Google chips (TI)

  • Apple debuted its first touch screen MacBook (CNBC)

  • Sidley Austin hires banker to lead out-of-court RX practice (FT)

  • Polymarket's top trader is sports gambler 'Swiss Tony' (FT)

  • JPMorgan's new Manhattan HQ cost $6B (WSJ)

  • China's green exports are enough to offset Brazil's emissions (BBG)

A Message from Plaid

Fake People. Real Losses.

Your newest customer has a spotless identity, convincing financials, and one minor red flag: they don't exist. AI has been great for productivity. Unfortunately, fraudsters also have quotas.

In this on-demand Tech Talk, Plaid's Danica Kleint, Will Kiefer, and Ikhwan Kim break down why traditional fraud signals are losing ground and how financial network intelligence helps risk teams connect the dots through verified data, cross-institutional activity, and network-level behavioral patterns.

Fraud losses are projected to hit $40B globally (with a B).

Your company's fraud strategy has to evolve.

Deal Flow

M&A / Strategic

  • Deutsche Telekom will not proceed on its potential $200B merger with T-Mobile US 

  • Chip giant Marvell Technology is in advanced talks to buy $90B-listed data center optics maker Lumentum Holdings in one of the biggest TMT mergers ever

  • Malaysian telecoms Maxis and U Mobile are reviving plans to merge in a potential $10B deal

  • Power distribution firm GE Vernova agreed to acquire grid components maker Trench Group for $9B cash

  • Siam Cement and Global Chemical agreed to combine their Thai olefins and polyolefins businesses valued at $5.5B

  • TPG is in talks to buy UK ​data center group Ark from ‌Elliott at a $5B valuation

  • EQT has raised its bid for $4.7B-listed Japanese price comparison website Kakaku.com seven times in the past six months in its bidding war against Bain Capital and SoftBank-backed LY

  • Indian conglomerate Adani Group is exploring a $3.5B acquisition of IFM Investors and Vitol-backed Dutch energy storage group VTTI 

  • Commodities giant Trafigura and Abu Dhabi's Mubadala Capital shelved a sale of a Brazilian iron ore port for $5B after offers came in at less than $3.5B

  • PE firms CVC and Cinven and Spanish beauty company Puig ​are interesting in acquiring luxury fragrance brand Parfums de ‌Marly from PE firm Advent for potentially $2.23B 

  • Infrastructure investor I Squared Capital agreed to acquire F-35 parts supplier Orizon Aerostructures for $2B

  • Supplements brand Rho Nutrition is exploring a $500M sale

  • Activist Trian Fund Management offered to LBO Wendy's for $1.4B at a 20% premium

  • Cobblers Cove Capital and Arkhouse Management offered to LBO $440M-listed Applebee's and IHOP franchisor Dine Brands Global in a cash deal at a 33% premium 

  • Peru's state-owned Petroperu aims to sell a minority stake in Q1 as it seeks to notch its first FY profit since 2021

VC

  • Personal AI agent startup Instinct is in talks to raise capital at a $30B valuation

  • Re:Build, an advanced manufacturing company, raised $2.1B in new funding led by General Catalyst and JPMorgan's Strategic Investment Group

  • Flapping Airplanes, an AI company developing new GPU primitives, raised a $1B Series A co-led by Index and Lux

  • Wealthsimple, a Canadian financial services platform, raised $300M at a $9.8B valuation led by GIC

  • Ibis, an on-chain credit platform provider, raised an undisclosed pre-seed and secured a $250M credit facility led by FalconX

  • Firehawk Defense, a defense propulsion company, raised a $150M oversubscribed Series D at a $1.4B valuation led by Advent and Rochefort Asset Management

  • Foundry Robotics, an autonomous factory and complex assembly startup, raised a $100M Series A led by Marlinspike Partners

  • Casap, a fraud/compliance AI agent platform for banks, raised a $56M Series B led by Base10 Partners

  • Fragment, a procurement AI agents startup, raised a $56M Series A led by 8VC with its seed round co-led by General Catalyst and A* 

  • Easol, an experience commerce platform, raised a $30M Series A extension with $20M equity from Y Combinator, Tiger Global, and others

  • Broccoli AI, an AI agents for contractors, raised $52M across a Series A and Series B at a $300M post-money valuation led by Khosla Ventures

  • Plato, a company building simulated workplaces for AI training, raised a $16M Series A led by Nava Ventures

  • Rocker, an AI work assistant startup, raised a ~$13M funding round led by Greycroft

  • American Advanced Materials, an AI-native advanced materials platform, raised a $12.5M seed round led by Amity Ventures

  • Sava, an AI-native Nevada-chartered trust company, raised a $10M seed round led by Gradient Ventures

  • Cancore, a Canton-native platform connecting tokenized assets with public-chain liquidity, raised a $7.2M seed round from Paper Ventures, dao5, X Ventures, and others 

Access the complete VC deal flow and data on Fundable

IPOs / Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • Jio Platforms, the telecoms unit of Indian conglomerate Reliance Industries, surged 27% in its trading debut after raising $2.1B for a $137B market cap in a record India IPO

Debt

  • Banks led by Morgan Stanley delayed plans to offload $5B-$7B of a $15B loan to fund a data center tied to Anthropic in Texas after the state put a hold on new projects 

  • Tyko Capital, a private lender backed by Elliott, is lending developers a record $817M to build two luxury condos in Miami

  • Indian conglomerate Shapoorji Pallonji Group is looking to raise $200M in private credit to repay creditors of its specialty finance unit Porteast Investment

  • Jeffrey Epstein-backed NYC members club Core Club is battling to regain control of their unopened Milan site from distressed debt investor Reinvest

  • Iconic film producer Lionsgate Studios is looking to sell bonds backed by its catalog 

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • Real estate PE firm Rockpoint acquired the 100 Summer Street office tower in Boston for $260M in a foreclosure auction seven years after purchasing it for $806M

  • Big Law titan Weil, Gotshal & Manges will dissolve amid a partner exodus following a failed merger with Willkie Farr & Gallagher

Funds / Secondaries

  • Biotech investor OrbiMed is seeking to raise $750M for its fourth Asia PE fund

  • Private credit firm Tree Line Capital Partners raised a $680M CV led by PGIM and LGT Capital Partners

  • Noha, the new VC firm of Mubadala's ex-VC head Ibrahim Ajami, is seeking to raise a $500M debut fund 

  • UK industrial technology investor AP Ventures raised $300M for its third fund

  • A&M Capital raised $115M for its debut MM secondaries fund

Crypto Sum Snapshot

  • Anthropic IPO shutout sends Asia investors betting on perps instead

  • Nearly 90% of businesses are turning to tokenized money

Crypto Sum compiles the most important stories on everything crypto. Read it here.

Lit's Picks

  • In M&A, the early bird gets the deal...if it can move fast enough. Grata Intelligence helps you spot opportunities before the rest of the market and gives your team the capacity to move on them while everyone else is still catching up. See how you can stay ahead.

  • Zvi Mowshowitz published an insightful Substack piece highlighting ten key takeaways from Anthropic's IPO filing as well thirty-five core aspects of its business. It's an incredible read if you've been too busy to follow the IPO drama. Read it here.

  • As DeepMind's @SamuelAlbanie says, maybe the most important graph in the world right now.

Financial Services Recruiting 💼

If you're a junior banker looking for your next career move, check out Litney Partners, a recruiting firm established by Litquidity and Whitney Partners (the oldest purely financial services executive search and consulting firm).

We aim to place strong candidates across private equity, hedge funds, venture capital, growth equity, credit, and investment banking.

We're currently seeking talent for some incredible roles. Head over to Litney Partners to drop your resume / create your profile and we'd love to get in touch!

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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