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Good Morning,

Trump is down to five candidates for Fed chair, US and China are close to a trade deal, the S&P is set for its best earnings season in four years, UBS applied for a national bank charter, Amazon plans to cut 10% of its corporate workforce, and CFB upsets are causing a wave of coach firings.

Fall season means it's time for a wardrobe overhaul. Check out our personal favorite Mizzen+Main for the most comfortable men's dress shirts in the game.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 10/27/2025 market close.

Click here to learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot.*

Markets

  • US stocks surged yesterday on US-China trade deal optimism

    • All three major indexes hit fresh ATHs

  • Europe's Stoxx 600 hit a fresh ATH

  • UK's FTSE 100 hit a fresh ATH

  • Spain's IBEX 35 hit an ATH for the first time in 18 years

  • Japan's Nikkei 225 rallied to a fresh ATH

  • Argentina bonds and currency surged after victory for Milei's party

Earnings

  • Bed Bath & Beyond reported mixed Q3 results with a smaller-than-expected loss as restructuring takes hold; the retailer guided for revenue growth next year (WSJ)

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Today: UnitedHealth, PayPal, UPS, Visa, Electronic Arts

    • Wednesday: Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, Boeing, Starbucks, Verizon, CVS, Chipotle, Caterpillar, Carvana, Kraft Heinz

    • Thursday: Amazon, Apple, Coinbase, Eli Lilly, Comcast, Reddit, Blue Owl, Roblox

    • Friday: ExxonMobil, Chevron, AbbVie

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

  • Not much J Pow criticism since the Fed cut rates last month.

  • Trade your predictions on a range of events, only on Kalshi. Sign up with code LIT and get a $20 bonus when you trade $100.

Headline Roundup

  • US and China are close to a trade deal (CNBC)

  • Good vibes are back on Wall Street (WSJ)

  • US M&A topped $80B in 24 hours (FT)

  • Trump met with Japan's new PM Takaichi for defense and trade talks (BBG)

  • S&P 500 hedging costs rise ahead of earnings, trade talks, and Fed (BBG)

  • Fed chair race is down to five candidates (CNBC)

  • PBOC will resume government bond trading (BBG)

  • S&P 500 is on course for its best earnings in over four years (BBG)

  • JPMorgan offers staff AI chatbot to help write performance reviews (FT)

  • Hedge funds rekindle appetite for tech VC (II)

  • Private credit ratings may be 'systematically' inflated (FT)

  • UBS applied for a national bank charter in US (BBG)

  • Blackstone hired Apollo's Michele Raba as head of European PE (RT)

  • Australia bond sales are set to hit a record high (BBG)

  • UK will stop disclosing identity of short sellers (FT)

  • Tesla risks losing Musk as CEO if $1T pay package isn't approved (CNBC)

  • Amazon plans to cut 30k jobs in corporate (BBG)

  • Barclays re-entered Saudi Arabia 11 years after exiting business (BBG)

  • EY UK partner pay rose 9% to £787k (FT)

  • Face of LIBOR scandal Tom Hayes sued UBS for malicious prosecution (BBG)

  • Meta appointed ex-metaverse exec to boost AI efforts (FT)

  • Football coaches are getting fired across the board (WSJ)

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Deal Flow

M&A / Investments

  • American Water Works agreed to buy Essential Utilities in a ~$13B all-stock deal, including debt

  • Regional lender Huntington Bancshares will acquire smaller rival Cadence Bank in $7.4B all-stock deal

  • Activist hedge fund Trian and tech investor General Catalyst submitted a $7.2B take-private offer for asset manager Janus Henderson

  • French media company Banijay is in advanced talks to acquire German sports-betting business Tipico from CVC for $5.2B

  • European PE firm Cinven is considering a sale of German software company think-cell at a $3.5B valuation

  • European PE firm EQT offered to acquire Australian insurance firm AUB Group for $3.4B

  • $3.3B-listed financial software firm BlackLine rejected a takeover offer from German software giant SAP earlier this year

  • Vista Equity Partners acquired a majority stake in Swiss-American software company Nexthink from UK PE firm Permira at a $3B valuation

  • Regional lender FirstSun Capital will buy peer First Foundation in a $785M all-stock deal

  • Canadian financial services firm Wealthsimple Financial. raised $536M at a $7.1B valuation co-led by Dragoneer and GIC

  • KPS Capital Partners agreed to acquire a controlling stake in chemicals firm Albemarle's Ketjen refining catalyst unit for $660M

  • South African lender FirstRand acquired a 20.1% stake in AI fintech firm Optasia for $277M ahead of its IPO

  • Nordic Capital agreed to acquire historical capital markets data provider BMLL for $250M

  • Abu Dhabi state-owned oil giant ADNOC's overseas unit XRG is in talk to invest in Argentinian LNG firm YPF

  • Chinese PE firms HSG and CPE are vying for a controlling stake in Burger King's China business

  • Russia's second-largest oil producer Lukoil plans to sell its international assets amid sanctions

VC

  • AI-model training startup Mercor is set to raise $350M at a $10B valuation led by Felicis

  • AI for finance startup Rogo Technologies raised funding at a $750M valuation from Sequoia

  • Financial wellness and growth solutions startup SavvyMoney raised a $225M funding round led by PSG and Canapi Ventures

  • Wealth technology platform Endowus raised $70M in funding led by Illuminate Financial

  • CoreStack, a multi-cloud governance and automation platform, raised a $50M round led by Post Road Group

  • Fintech startup Hyperlayer raised a $40M round led by CDAM

  • Pave Bank, a programmable bank, raised a $39M round led by Accel

  • Onfire, an Israeli startup that monitors public forums to identify what tools devs are discussing, raised a $14M Series A led by Grove Ventures and TLV Partners

  • Media technology company Steven.com raised over $10M at a $425M valuation led by Slow Ventures and Apeiron Investment Group

  • PodPlay Technologies, a vertical SaaS platform for participatory sports venues, raised an $8M Series A led by Frontier Growth

  • Turtle, a protocol focused on on-chain liquidity distribution, raised a $5.5M round led by Bitscale VC, Theia, Trident Digital, and more

  • AI-driven contract management platform Hubble raised a $5.2M Series B from Vertex Ventures

Sequoia and a16z recently announced historic fundraising plans. Stay up-to-date on the entire VC ecosystem here.

IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • EQT, SWF ADIA, and Auba Investment are looking to sell an 8.4% stake in Swiss skincare company Galderma for $3.5B

  • $27B-listed Chinese heavy machinery company Sany Heavy Industry is set to begin trading in Hong Kong after raising $1.6B

  • LVMH chair Bernard Arnault acquired $1.6B in LVMH shares

  • SoftBank-backed Indian eyewear retailer Lenskart Solutions is seeking to raise $830M in an India IPO

  • AI analytics company Fractal Analytics is seeking to raise $555M at a $3B valuation in an India IPO

  • JPMorgan invested $75M for a 3% stake in gold miner Perpetua Resources for its $1.5T security fund's first investment

  • Digital token marketplace operator tZero plans to IPO next year

  • $36B-listed Chinese automotive firm Seres group is taking investor orders for a Hong Kong listing that may raise $1.7B

Debt

  • Keurig Dr Pepper raised $7B in private credit from Apollo and KKR to help finance its $18B acquisition of European coffee company JDE Peet's

  • Philip Morris International launched a $3.5B investment grade bond sale

  • Chinese e-commerce firm Meituan plans to raise $3B in a dollar and offshore yuan bond sale

  • Blackstone is leading a private credit deal for life-sciences company Signant Health to replace over $1B in leveraged loans

  • Crypto and data center firm Galaxy Digital is seeking to raise $1B in an exchangeable bonds sale

  • Turkey is selling dollar bonds as EM optimism grows

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • German battery maker BMZ filed for insolvency for some of its key units

  • UK oilfield services group Petrofac applied to enter administration

Fundraising / Secondaries

  • Goldman Sachs Asset Management is in talks to secure a $10B mandate from SWF Kuwait Investment Authority

  • VC a16z plans to raise $10B across funds focused on mature companies, AI applications and infrastructure, and 'American Dynamism' defense and manufacturing

  • Canadian investment firm Dawson Partners acquired $1B worth of PE LP stakes including in Blackstone from the Hong Kong Jockey Club's portfolio

  • Singapore SWF GIC is seeking to sell $1B worth of its PE LP stakes including in Blackstone, Apollo, and TDR Capital

  • VC Sequoia plans to raise $950M across a Series A and seed fund

  • Growth equity investor Insignia Capital raised $500M for its newest fund

  • Energy credit investor Breakwall Capital raised $125M for a targeted $500M infrastructure-focused fund 

Crypto Sum Snapshot

  • Nigeria capital markets suffer as crypto and gambling outpaces investing

  • Canary Capital and Bitwise will launch the first US altcoin ETFs despite shutdown

  • IBM launched a platform for enterprises to launch blockchain-based services

  • Ethereum scaling network MegaETH raised $350M in an ICO at a $7B valuation

  • Big banks enter stablecoin era by taking Zelle international

Crypto Sum compiles the most important stories on everything crypto. Read it here.

Exec’s Picks

Finance & Startup Recruiting 💼

Litney Partners

If you're a junior banker looking for your next career move, check out Litney Partners, a recruiting venture between Litquidity and Whitney Partners (the oldest purely financial services executive search and consulting firm), Litney Partners places talent at leading firms in PE, hedge funds, VC, growth, credit, IB, and fintech and is currently recruiting for some incredible roles. Head over to our website to drop your resume and we'd love to get in touch!

Next Play

If you're down bad, realizing finance isn't for you, and want to explore the world of startups (BizOps, chief of staff, strategic finance, etc.), fill out this form. Next Play will reach out to schedule a 1:1 video call if they think they can help as your own, personal startup matchmaker. They've grown their community to over 50k talented professionals and have deep relationships across the tech ecosystem.

Meme Cleanser

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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