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Good Morning,

Forbes 30 under 30 alum Charlie Javice was sentenced to 7 years in prison for fraud, Bad Bunny is headlining the Super Bowl halftime show, a US government shutdown is looming, and JPMorgan will advise on and finance EA's record LBO with a record $20B leveraged loan in an increasingly rare win for Wall Street over private credit. Imagine saying that 10 years ago!

In other news, Litquidity recently launched an AI fund that is invested in the full AI value chain across public markets, including the picks & shovels and the application innovators. This portfolio is designed for investors who want to ride the Al transformational wave and participate in the upside of the next global innovation cycle. The portfolio is up 14% over the past month and significantly outperforming benchmarks YTD. Check it out here.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 9/29/2025 market close.

Click here to learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot.*

Markets

  • US stocks gained yesterday to recover some losses from last week's AI selloff

  • Gold hit a new ATH

Earnings

  • Jefferies beat Q3 profit estimates for its best Q3 ever on record advisory fees and a rebound in dealmaking amid strong M&A momentum, robust trading, and optimism for capital markets strength despite policy volatility (BBG)

  • Carnival beat Q3 earnings and revenue estimates on its tenth-straight record quarter driven by strong booking trends, higher onboard spending, and rising ticket prices; the firm also raised FY profit guidance for the third-straight time on record customer deposits and robust demand (BBG)

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Today: Nike

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

  • Bad Bunny is set to headline the Super Bowl half-time show.

  • Trade your predictions on a range of events, only on Kalshi. Sign up with code LIT and get a $20 bonus when you trade $100.

Headline Roundup

  • Israel agreed to 20-point plan to end Gaza war (BBG)

  • JPMorgan and Goldman will advise on EA's record LBO (BBG)

  • US will impose 100% tariffs on movies made outside the country (RT)

  • US gold reserves hit $1T (BBG)

  • PE firms and SWFs are reviving large LBOs (RT)

  • Private credit could amplify shock in next crisis (BBG)

  • Hedge funds logged their biggest Asia EM stocks selloff in five months (RT)

  • Investors worry that the stock market rally is on borrowed time (WSJ)

  • Investors pile into funds betting on elusive market volatility (BBG)

  • Global deal values topped $1T in a Q3 for the second time ever (BBG)

  • US junk bond issuance is expected to see its fifth-busiest month ever (BBG)

  • Convertible bond deals surged to a five-year high (RT)

  • China deployed $70B in new investment stimulus (BBG)

  • Canada's CPPIB is not chasing US stocks on concentration risks (BBG)

  • Deloitte UK's revenues fell for the first time in 15 years (FT)

  • Switzerland and UBS could compromise on capital rules (RT)

  • HSBC chair Mark Tucker will exit (FT)

  • Barrick and Newmont both named new CEOs (FT)

  • Bridgewater picked five finalists for global talent hiring program (RT)

  • Charlie Javice was sentenced to seven years for JPMorgan fraud (FT)

  • New York offices are being converted to housing by most since 2008 (FT)

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Deal Flow

M&A / Investments

  • PE firms Silver Lake and Affinity Partners and Saudi's SWF PIF agreed to take-private video game maker Electronic Arts for $55B at a 25% premium in the largest LBO ever

  • Danish biotech Genmab agreed to acquire Dutch cancer drugmaker Merus for $8B cash at a 40% premium

  • Activist hedge fund Elliott is exploring a $4B sale of its UK-based Ark Data Centres

  • Blackstone agreed to acquire a portfolio of warehouses in France from CRE firms Proudreed for $2.3B

  • French energy company TotalEnergies is weighing a sale of its 20% stake in India’s Adani Green Energy that it acquired for $2B in 2021

  • Australia pension Aware Super has bought a 49% stake in a new venture with Australian real estate firm Goodman Group to invest in a $1.3B package of US industrial properties

  • KKR agreed to acquire a 50% stake in TotalEnergies' North American solar business in at a $1.25B valuation, including debt

  • Advent paid $1.1B in breakup fees for the failed acquisition of contact-lens maker Ginko from EQT

  • Chinese tech giant Alibaba is in talks to buy a partial stake in Hong Kong office One Causeway Bay for $900M

  • KKR agreed to a minority stake in Stirling Square-backed Swedish construction industry software firm Infobric at a $702M valuation

  • South Africa's top development finance firm Industrial Development Corp. submitted an offer to acquire control of global steelmaker ArcelorMittal's South Africa business for $490M, including debt

  • Hines Global Income Trust agreed to acquire Westside, LA mixed-use property The Runway from Invesco Real Estate for $428M

  • UChicago will sell its Center for Research in Security Prices for $375M to shore up its endowment

  • Brookfield-backed Dubai school operator GEMS Education submitted an offer for Saudi Arabia’s Ejialuna Educational Co.

  • PE-backed accounting and advisory firm Grant Thornton agreed to acquire sister firms in France, Spain and Belgium

  • TotalEnergies will purchase a 49% stake in Continental Resources' upstream gas fields in Oklahoma

  • Verizon is in talks to acquire some of EchoStar's wireless spectrum

VC

  • Black Forest Labs, a German AI image partner for Meta, is in talk to raise $200M-$300M at a $4B valuation

  • Rebellions, a Korean AI chip startup, raised a $250M round at a $1.4B valuation led by Arm Holdings and Samsung Ventures

  • Flying Tulip, a full‑stack onchain exchange, raised $200M from Brevan Howard Digital, Susquehanna Crypto, CoinFund, and more

  • Alvys, a cloud TMS startup using AI for freight operations, raised a $40M Series B led by RTP Global

  • LatAm legal AI startup Enter raised a $35M Series A co-led by Founders Fund and Sequoia

  • Yup, a Southeast Asian digital bank, raised a $32M Series C-1 led by Moore Strategic Ventures

  • Sustainable aviation fuel startup OXCCU raised a $28M Series B from new Orlen VC, Safran Corporate Ventures, and more

  • Paid, a value-based billing platform for AI agents, raised a $21.6M seed round led by Lightspeed

  • Open-source data platform Polars raised a $21M Series A led by Accel

  • Restaurant POS startup Petpooja raised a $15.5M Series C led by Dharana Capital

  • Legal-AI startup Lexroom.ai raised a $19M Series A led by Base10 Partners

  • Online education platform MyEdSpace raised a $15M Series A led by White Star Capital

  • Gain, an autonomous procurement AI startup, raised a $12M seed round led by The Garage

  • AI finance automation startup Maximor raised a $9M seed round led by Foundation Capital

  • Anything, an AI platform that turns natural language prompts into production-ready apps, raised an $11M Series A at a $100M valuation led by Footwork

  • Blykalla, a Swedish nuclear reactor maker, raised $5M in a funding round co-led by Oklo

IPO / Direct Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • $230B-listed UK-based biotech giant AstraZeneca is planning a full US listing

  • Hellman & Friedman-backed security services firm Verisure is seeking to raise $3.6B at a $16.3B valuation in its Sweden IPO

  • Zijin Gold International, the international unit of China's biggest miner, will debut in Hong Kong after raising $3.2Bin the world's largest IPO since May

  • Tata Capital, the financial services unit of Indian conglomerate Tata, is seeking to raise $1.7B in what may be India’s largest listing this year

  • Prosthetics maker Ottobock is seeking to raise $823M at a $5B valuation in a Germany IPO

  • BDT & MSD Partners-backed washer maker Alliance Laundry is seeking to raise $750M at a $4.3B valuation in its US IPO

  • Rick Perry's energy REIT Fermi is seeking to raise $715M at a $13B valuation in an upsized IPO

  • Finland's national postal service operator Posti Group is seeking to raise $100M at a $354M valuation in a Finland IPO

  • Activist hedge fund Irenic Capital Management built a 2% stake in $4.7B-listed financial reporting software maker Workiva for $94M

  • EV aircraft firm Beta Technologies filed for a US IPO

  • Jennifer Garner's organic baby food company Once Upon a Farm filed for an IPO

  • Insurtech Exzeo filed for an IPO 

  • Automated digital wealth management firm Wealthfront filed for an IPO

  • Chinese autonomous driving developer Momenta is considering shifting its IPO from New York to Hong Kong 

  • Etsy will move its stock listing from Nasdaq to NYSE

Debt

  • JPMorgan will lend $20B for Silver Lake, Affinity Partners, and PIF's $55B LBO of Electronic Arts in what is the largest debt commitment ever by a single bank

  • French lender BNP Paribas is planning two SRTs linked to $5.3B of corporate loans and leasing contracts

  • Spain’s fourth-largest lender Banco Sabadell is selling at least six portfolios of soured loans worth $510M

  • Canadian steelmaker Algoma Steel raised $359M in loans from Canada

  • Air India raised $215M from StanChart and Bank of India for a refinancing

  • Indian minerals conglomerate Vedanta Resources is planning a dollar bond sale to repay private credit

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • UK car maker Jaguar Land Rover will start production again after it received $4.7B in loan commitments to grapple with the crippling cyberattack

  • Auto parts maker First Brands Group filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy after lender scrutiny

  • A group of international creditors including VR Capital, Farallon Capital, and Morgan Stanley Investment Management began restricted talks with Ethiopia to restructure a $1B defaulted bond

  • Plant-based meat producer Beyond Meat offered creditors a debt-for-equity swap to eliminate $800M of outstanding notes

  • Chipmaker Wolfspeed exited Chapter 11 bankruptcy after cutting total debt by 70% and lowering annual interest expenses by 60%

  • UK retail-focused PE firm Modella Capital bought about half of teen budget jewelry retailer Claire's UK stores out of bankruptcy

  • Brazilian waste management company Ambipar is working with Brazil Seneca Evercore to work on a debt restructuring deal

  • Apollo-owned Italian packaging firm Reno de Medici is working with an adviser on a cost-cutting plan as it grapples with cash burn

Fundraising / Secondaries

  • Lower MM European investment firm Verdane raised $2.3B for its seventh growth fund

  • Nordic B2B software investor Monterro raised $2B for two new funds

  • PE firm Avenue Capital raised $1B for a sports-focused fund

  • National security-focused growth equity firm Razor's Edge raised $560M for its fourth fund

  • UK VC Evantic Capital raised $400M for its debut tech fund

  • Indian PE firm Kadaara Capital raised $300M for its first multi-asset continuation vehicle for eyewear IPO-bound business Lenskart Solutions and Care Health Insurance

  • Chinese PE firm GL Capital raised $200M for a continuation vehicle for SciClone Pharmaceuticals led by SWF ADIA

  • UK multi-strat Eisler Capital will wind down and return capital after weak returns and ballooning costs

Crypto Sum Snapshot

  • US and eurozone central bankers are divided over stablecoins

  • Swift will launch a blockchain in response to rise of stablecoins

  • BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF surpassed Deribit as top Bitcoin options venue

  • Vanguard is weighing whether to allow trading of crypto ETFs

  • SEC halted trading of advertising firm QMMM after shares surged 960% on a crypto treasury plan

Crypto Sum summarizes the most important stories on crypto daily. Read it here.

Exec’s Picks

  • Stop Reading. Start Closing Deals. Turn hours of manual research into minutes of actionable insights with Brightwave's AI-powered analysis — try free for 7 days.

  • Ben Carlson wrote a great piece explaining how bear markets work. Highly relevant with investors everywhere worrying about a bubble.

Upcoming Events🥂

  • Blueflame × Litquidity Play & Pour #2 – Wednesday, October 15, NYC

    Lit, Blueflame, and our network of PE professionals are getting together at T Squared Social to test our skills on a multi-sport golf simulator. It's going to be an evening of some meaningful conversations and fun rivalries. You should definitely join. RSVP here.

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Litney Partners

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Next Play

If you're down bad, realizing finance isn't for you, and want to explore the world of startups (BizOps, chief of staff, strategic finance, etc.), fill out this form. Next Play will reach out to schedule a 1:1 video call if they think they can help as your own, personal startup matchmaker. They've grown their community to over 50k talented professionals and have deep relationships across the tech ecosystem.

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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