Good Morning,

Trump threatened 100% tariffs on EU countries who impose a new Big Tech tax, Google limited Meta's use of Gemini AI models, Meta is exploring partnerships with Polymarket, GameStop ​pledged to pursue its proposed $56B takeover of ‌eBay, and US is seemingly dominating global news (as we always do) in the run up to our 250th anniversary.

Let's dive in.

Before The Bell

As of 6/26/2026 market close.

Learn more about the Litquidity portfolios and subscribe to the strategies on Autopilot.*

Markets

  • US stocks closed slightly lower on Friday as investors continued to rotate out of tech stocks and into defensive sectors

    • Nasdaq fell for a fifth-straight day

  • EM stocks fell 4.4% in their worst week since early-March

  • Hong Kong dollar fell to ten-month low

Earnings

  • What we're watching this week:  

    • Tuesday: Nike

    • Wednesday: General Mills

  • Full calendar here

Prediction Markets

  • For the first time, two Republicans are leading market odds for the 2028 presidential election

  • Trade event contracts on Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market

Headline Roundup

  • AOC calls to break up Apple after chip shortage leads to prices hikes (NYP)

  • US dominates news as 250th anniversary celebrations approach (FT)

  • America seeks its McDonald's model for missile making (FT)

  • US threatens 100% tariff on EU countries who impose new Big Tech tax (RT)

  • US trade deficit swelled to a 14-month high (RT)

  • Tech equity sales renew dot-com bubble comparisons (BBG)

  • US stock market leverage is becoming a growing concern (BBG)

  • AI rout exposes Wall Street's $270B speculation machine (BBG)

  • AI energy crunch has investors searching for next IPO winners (BBG)

  • Hong Kong ECM activity surged to a five-year high (BBG)

  • Hot streak for continuation vehicles is cooling (AX)

  • Bond giants target 5Y 'sweet spot' for new Warsh Fed era (BBG)

  • Hawkish Fed throws down challenge for EM bond rally (BBG)

  • PIMCO flexes muscles with private placements push (FT)

  • SpaceX will join the Nasdaq-100 index next week (RT)

  • Global pension giants rethink investments in UK housing (FT)

  • Polymarket ARR hit $1B (CNBC)

  • Zuck asked Meta to explore partnerships with Polymarket and Kalshi (NYT)

  • US cleared Anthropic's Mythos 5 model for wider use (BBG)

  • OpenAI delays GPT‑5.6 launch at White House request (RT)

  • Google limits Meta's use of Gemini AI models (FT)

  • Cathay Bank's chairman resigned amid governance issues and a fist fight (BBG)

  • Airlines brace for $127B in extra costs from carbon credit shortage (FT)

  • China brokerages push for LME membership to expand global metals role (RT)

A Message from Litquidity

The Litquidity strategies on Autopilot

As most of you know, I've been managing five thematic portfolios on Autopilot to offer investors the chance to invest alongside my highest conviction themes. My AI Alpha Fund and Finance Chad Index are doing particularly well by beating the S&P 500 benchmark by a wide margin:

  • The AI Alpha Fund has been investing in companies across the AI value chain – from semiconductor leaders, infrastructure providers enabling scale, and application innovators. This portfolio is designed for investors who want to ride the AI transformational wave and participate in the upside of this global innovation cycle.

  • My Finance Chad Index embodies the typical 'Chad' who works on Wall Street. It captures a mix of assets reflecting the confidence and trends of finance culture. Where does a Chad spend his money? Where does he work? What products and services does a Chad consume? This is one of my favorite portfolios to manage as it draws on Litquidity's deep insider knowledge (no pun intended lmao) and cultural edge.

I'm also actively managing my Litquidity Alpha Fund, my Basic Becky Index, and a Greenland Portfolio.

Deal Flow

M&A / Strategic

  • GameStop ​pledged to pursue its proposed $56B takeover of ‌eBay 

  • Williams Cos. is in advanced talks to acquire rival natural gas pipeline operator Momentum Midstream from PE firm EnCap Flatrock Midstream for $5.5B

  • Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. emerged as the front-runner to acquire Warburg Pincus and Kayne Anderson-backed WildFire Energy for over $4B

  • Consumer health company Haleon is bidding for ⁠L Catterton-backed supplements firm Thorne, which could fetch a $4B valuation

  • Bain Capital and LY Corp. are poised to make a binding bid for Japanese price-comparison site Kakaku to challenge a $3.7B tender offer from EQT

  • Stonepeak Partners will buy the remainder of a lease of Chicago's parking meters from a group led by Morgan Stanley for $2.5B

  • French defense group Safran is in exclusive talks to acquire $2.2B-listed sea drone maker Exail Technologies at a 20% premium

  • A Kenyan court will allow African telecoms giant Vodacom Group to buy a 15% stake in peer Safaricom from Kenya for $2B

  • Diagnostics firm QuidelOrtho is looking to sell its point-of-care testing unit for $1.5B, with Advent, SK Capital Partners, and Archimed expressing interest

  • $1.5B-listed Biolife Solutions attracted takeover interest from parties including diagnostics company Repligen

  • Canadian product testing and certification company CSA Group is exploring a $1.4B sale

  • Navis Capital Partners is planning a $600M sale of nuts and snacks company Dan-D Foods

  • EMMA Capital will acquire a 20% stake in UK-based gambling group Entain's CEE business for $485M

  • China Three Gorges is in talks to buy a German wind portfolio from NEAG Norddeutsche Energie at an over $345M valuation, including debt

  • PE firms TPG and Leonard Green are exploring a sale of Rory McIlroy-backed golf course operator Troon Golf

  • Elon Musk won regulatory approval to acquire startup Mesh Optical Technologies, an optical data center communication technology startup led by ex-SpaceX engineers

  • Walmart heir Lukas Walton will acquire a minority stake in NBA's Chicago Bulls and the United Center

  • KKR agreed to buy the North America renewables unit of French state-owned utility EDF

VC

  • General Intuition, an AI lab training models on gameplay clips, raised a $320M Series A at a $2.3B valuation led by Khosla Ventures

  • Anyverse Dynamics, a general embodied robotics firm, raised a $200M angel round co-led by a fund affiliated with JD.com, C Capital, Hony Capital

  • Quantifind, an AI-native risk intelligence company, raised a $200M growth investment led by Summit Partners 

  • PollyGraph AI, a decentralized platform to translate bird language into corporate English, raised a $100M seed round 

  • Reed Semiconductor, a turnkey power solutions for AI infrastructure, raised a $100M funding round 

  • Warp, an AI-native payroll, HR and IT automation platform, raised a $60M Series B led by Battery Ventures

  • Arca Wealth, an AI-native wealth management company, raised a $48.5M Series A led by General Catalyst 

  • OnyxOZ, a prediction market app, raised a $20M Series A led by Kraken at a $220M valuation

  • Aseon Labs, a robotics startup building pod-based infrastructure for robotaxis, raised a $10M seed round led by Crane Venture Partners

  • Askari Defense, a defense tech startup building drone interceptors, raised a $9M seed round led by Builders VC

Access the complete VC deal flow and data on Fundable

IPOs / Listings / Issuances / Block Trades

  • H&F-backed insurance broker Hub International confidentially filed for an IPO; the firm was valued at $29B last year

  • KKR-backed German aerospace firm OHB raised $900M in a share sale 

Bankruptcy / Restructuring / Distressed

  • Luxury retailer Saks Global will slash debt by 75% to emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy and rebrand itself as Exemplar Luxury Group

  • Lenders to bankrupt Indian edtech BYJU'S are seeking a 30% stake in a settlement

  • Bankrupt sleep away camp owner Simad Holdings won court permission to put its camps up for sale and start tapping $60M in DIP financing to keep operating in the summer

Funds / Secondaries

  • VC Daybreak raised $100M across its second flagship pre-seed and seed fund and a related follow-on and opportunistic fund

  • Voya Investment Management filed for a debut private credit secondaries fund

Crypto Sum Snapshot

  • Crypto's ETF boom gets $4.5B reality check in brutal week

  • Bitcoin bottom hunters fear fresh pain after $1.3T rout

  • Binance founder CZ wants to make US the 'capital of crypto'

  • CZ surpassed Bill Gates in net worth

Crypto Sum compiles the most important stories on everything crypto. Read it here.

Exec’s Picks

Financial Services Recruiting 💼

If you're a junior banker looking for your next career move, check out Litney Partners, a recruiting firm established by Litquidity and Whitney Partners (the oldest purely financial services executive search and consulting firm).

We aim to place strong candidates across private equity, hedge funds, venture capital, growth equity, credit, and investment banking.

We're currently seeking talent for some incredible roles. Head over to Litney Partners to drop your resume / create your profile and we'd love to get in touch!

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot Advisers, LLC ("Autopilot"), an SEC-registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks, including loss of principal. As always, be smart out there. Litquidity is compensated to promote AutoPilot. Compensation details available upon request.

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